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4:10 AM

AU - Naracoorte - Race 3

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
6f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
13.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

EL PASO CITIE (2) returned to winning form last start, scoring comfortably over this journey at Bordertown. Goes well over this trip and is expected to measure right up again. THE MARINER (5) was much better last time at Horsham when sticking on gamely into fourth over this journey. Drops in weight on the quick back-up and is drawn favourably. Doesn't need to improve much to get the verdict. PORT LOUIS (4) went better than the form suggests at Horsham when doing his best work late. Is another that backs up quickly and will appreciate the added trip. Can play a major role. SUNSET PRAYER (7) has made a bright start to her career and keep the ball rolling with added fitness. Nearing peak now and should be very competitive. YOURAWAY (3) was a barnstorming winner fresh. Hasn't quite been able to go on with it yet but strips fitter and gets a good chance to give this a shake from the low draw.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
El Paso Citie silk

Form hard to fault. Most recently ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Bordertown Bm66 December 14 over 6f defeating Santastico carrying 122lbs at $10. The race before that came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Mt Gambier Bm68 on November 28 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Hedonist with 120lbs at $11. Hard to beat on her best form.

1st Pick
2

El Paso Citie

Jockey: Kate Walters

Trainer: Sue Murphy

J: Kate Walters

T: Sue Murphy

102---34%2/1

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Most recently ran on from midfield and won by 1.5 len at Bordertown Bm66 December 14 over 6f defeating Santastico carrying 122lbs at $10. The race before that came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Mt Gambier Bm68 on November 28 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Hedonist with 120lbs at $11. Hard to beat on her best form.

5
The Mariner silk

Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Horsham 0 - 56 on December 21 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Little Sandy with 125lbs at $8.50. Before that failed to make an impression, second last of 11 at Geelong Bm66 on December 12 over 5f, 7 len behind Tango Jewel with 122lbs at $151. Certainly worth another chance.

2nd Pick
5

The Mariner

Jockey: Alysha Warren

Trainer: Stephen Lenehan

J: Alysha Warren

T: Stephen Lenehan

119---29%5/2

Analysis

Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Horsham 0 - 56 on December 21 over 6f, slow going 2.25 len behind Little Sandy with 125lbs at $8.50. Before that failed to make an impression, second last of 11 at Geelong Bm66 on December 12 over 5f, 7 len behind Tango Jewel with 122lbs at $151. Certainly worth another chance.

4
Port Louis silk

Last start from last on the turn second last of 8 at Horsham Bm56 on December 21 over 5 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Sunburnt with 133lbs at $6. The run before that second last of 14 at Kyneton Bm56 on December 11 over 6f, 10 len behind Bons To Riches carrying 136lbs at $19. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

3rd Pick
4

Port Louis

Jockey: Kayla Crowther

Trainer: Denis Daffy & Harriet Place

J: Kayla Crowther

T: Denis Daffy & Harriet Place

162---23%7/2

Analysis

Last start from last on the turn second last of 8 at Horsham Bm56 on December 21 over 5 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Sunburnt with 133lbs at $6. The run before that second last of 14 at Kyneton Bm56 on December 11 over 6f, 10 len behind Bons To Riches carrying 136lbs at $19. Best form stacks up nicely so worth another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.