AU - Naracoorte - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

5.5f

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 8

13.6K

VIEW

Verdict

STAR FORTIAN (9) was much better fourth-up when chasing gamely into the placings at Bordertown at a big quote. Gets a key switch in Crowther and rates a leading player. JUST LIKE LISA (5) doesn't win out of turn but is knocking on the door. Has the early pace to cross from the wide alley and be prominent throughout. Her best can break a long run of outs. MELISSA KATE (10) was beaten a fair way in fourth but it was tough going. Form prior stacks up, though the wide draw could see her get a long way back. GRUMPYOLDCOL (7) battled away soundly into a midfield finish in his stable debut. Gets in light again with the 9lbs claimer engaged and is one to keep in mind.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
9	Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Bordertown 0-54 on June 28 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 1.1 len behind Refreshing with 127lbs at $31. The start before that faded in the straight 6th of 10 at Devonport Synthetic Bm60 on May 31 over 6 ¾f, 4 len behind Alpine Blast carrying 120lbs at $14. Rates highly and can break through. 1st Pick 9 Star Fortian Jockey: Kayla Crowther Trainer: Cameron Thompson J: Kayla Crowther T: Cameron Thompson	106	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Most recently ran on from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Bordertown 0-54 on June 28 over 5 ½f, on heavy track, 1.1 len behind Refreshing with 127lbs at $31. The start before that faded in the straight 6th of 10 at Devonport Synthetic Bm60 on May 31 over 6 ¾f, 4 len behind Alpine Blast carrying 120lbs at $14. Rates highly and can break through.
5	Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Balaklava Bm56 on July 15 over 6f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Costless with 127lbs at $4. The start before that 8th of 11 at Murray Bridge 0-56 on July 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Kalosyni with 128lbs at $11. Encouraging effort last start. Jumps from a wide draw but she is right in this. 2nd Pick 5 Just Like Lisa Jockey: Margaret Collett Trainer: Margaret Collett J: Margaret Collett T: Margaret Collett	118	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Balaklava Bm56 on July 15 over 6f, in the wet, 1.75 len behind Costless with 127lbs at $4. The start before that 8th of 11 at Murray Bridge 0-56 on July 7 over 6f, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Kalosyni with 128lbs at $11. Encouraging effort last start. Jumps from a wide draw but she is right in this.
10	Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 11 at Mt Gambier 0-56 on July 12 over 6f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Gusty Way carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Before that won by 1.3 len at Casterton Bm56 July 5 over 5 ½f in the wet defeating Stargust carrying 119lbs at $10. Capable enough on her day and is expected to run well. 3rd Pick 10 Melissa Kate Jockey: Kate Walters Trainer: Wayne Walters J: Kate Walters T: Wayne Walters	132	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 11 at Mt Gambier 0-56 on July 12 over 6f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Gusty Way carrying 123lbs at $6.50. Before that won by 1.3 len at Casterton Bm56 July 5 over 5 ½f in the wet defeating Stargust carrying 119lbs at $10. Capable enough on her day and is expected to run well.

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