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3:35 AM

AU - Naracoorte - Race 2

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
7.1f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
13.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ARLO'S DREAM (1) finds the maiden win elusive but has returned in good order this campaign. Peaking now fourth-up, though might need some luck from the wide alley. HASTA LA WIZARD (4) went forward last time and looked a chance on the corner but tired to finish sixth at Strathalbyn. Finds a suitable assignment this time and is a great chance to break through. REGAL TIME (10) raced on the speed last time but couldn't finish the race off and clocked-in fourth at Oakbank. Backs up quickly and is worth including in this suitable contest. HELL OF A GENT (5) was well below his best last time but had shown positive signs prior. Draws well and gets a key booking in Crowther. Can play a major role. VIVID REASONING (7) best of the rest.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Arlo's Dream silk

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 12 at Port Lincoln 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 17 over 6f, 2.75 len behind The Last Stand with 125lbs at $4.80. The race before that 2nd of 12 at Port Lincoln 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 5 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Howaboutthis with 128lbs at $5.50. Great chance to atone.

1st Pick
1

Arlo's Dream

Jockey: Connor Murtagh

Trainer: Garret Lynch

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Garret Lynch

81---23%7/2

Analysis

Form hard to fault. Last start 4th of 12 at Port Lincoln 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 17 over 6f, 2.75 len behind The Last Stand with 125lbs at $4.80. The race before that 2nd of 12 at Port Lincoln 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 5 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Howaboutthis with 128lbs at $5.50. Great chance to atone.

4
Hasta La Wizard silk

Last start 6th of 9 at Strathalbyn 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 10 over 1m, 2 len behind Heat Of The Night with 128lbs at $21. The run before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 10 at Bordertown 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 14 over 7 ¾f, head behind Machine Man with 128lbs at $11. Terrific chance to return to form.

2nd Pick
4

Hasta La Wizard

Jockey: Campbell Rawiller

Trainer: Sue Murphy

J: Campbell Rawiller

T: Sue Murphy

115---19%9/2

Analysis

Last start 6th of 9 at Strathalbyn 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 10 over 1m, 2 len behind Heat Of The Night with 128lbs at $21. The run before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 10 at Bordertown 3yo+ Mdn-Sw on November 14 over 7 ¾f, head behind Machine Man with 128lbs at $11. Terrific chance to return to form.

10
Regal Time silk

Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Oakbank 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 19 over 7f, 3 len behind Sangue Rosso carrying 117lbs at $15. Before that second last of 7 at Moulamein Mdn on December 13 over 5f, 10 len behind Mum 'N' Me carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Rates highly today can run a much improved race.

3rd Pick
10

Regal Time

Jockey: Sairyn Fawke

Trainer: Raharna Mcdonald

J: Sairyn Fawke

T: Raharna Mcdonald

64---17%5/1

Analysis

Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at Oakbank 4yo+ Mdn-Sw on December 19 over 7f, 3 len behind Sangue Rosso carrying 117lbs at $15. Before that second last of 7 at Moulamein Mdn on December 13 over 5f, 10 len behind Mum 'N' Me carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Rates highly today can run a much improved race.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.