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6:37 AM

AU - Morphettville - Race 8

Thoroughbred
18 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
35.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

CRADLE OF JAZZ (15) was a barnstorming winner here at the midweeks over this trip last start, coming with a big run home after turning 5L off them. Will likely drift back again from her draw but if the pace is genuine she can finish over the top of them again. STRATUM PRIDE (16) is yet to threaten this campaign but has finished off well from tricky spots. If they can be more prominent from the inside this time he can play a major role. HEAD OF THE HERD (1) lacks early speed but possesses a strong turn of foot on his day. Will be hoping they overdo it in front so he can launch late. MAXILDO (3) should look to spear across from his wide draw and take up the running on the quick back-up. Has been well supported in his last two without saluting. Maybe worth one more chance. CROWN MINT (7) doesn't win often but continues to finish thereabouts. Keeping in mind for a minor spot.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
15
Cradle Of Jazz silk

Last start came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at this track 0-58 July 8 over 1m in soft going defeating Chance Taken carrying 126lbs at $13. The run before that 7th of 9 at Port Augusta Bm72 on June 21 over 1m, 4 len behind Fox Dunnett with 119lbs at $4.20. Can make it two on the bounce.

1st Pick
15

Cradle Of Jazz

Jockey: Andrew Stead

Trainer: Roslyn Day

J: Andrew Stead

T: Roslyn Day

161---8%12/1

Analysis

Last start came from midfield and won by 1.75 len at this track 0-58 July 8 over 1m in soft going defeating Chance Taken carrying 126lbs at $13. The run before that 7th of 9 at Port Augusta Bm72 on June 21 over 1m, 4 len behind Fox Dunnett with 119lbs at $4.20. Can make it two on the bounce.

16
Stratum Pride silk

Most recently 5th of 12 at Morphettville Parks 4yo+ 0-68 on July 18 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Calypso King with 119lbs at $31. The race before that 4th of 12 at Murray Bridge Bm56 on July 7 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Ironbar carrying 130lbs at $9.50. Peaking now and gets her chance.

2nd Pick
16

Stratum Pride

Jockey: Brooke King

Trainer: Philippe Huserot

J: Brooke King

T: Philippe Huserot

83---6%16/1

Analysis

Most recently 5th of 12 at Morphettville Parks 4yo+ 0-68 on July 18 over 7 ¾f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Calypso King with 119lbs at $31. The race before that 4th of 12 at Murray Bridge Bm56 on July 7 over 7f, slow going 2 len behind Ironbar carrying 130lbs at $9.50. Peaking now and gets her chance.

1
Head Of The Herd silk

Last start settled towards the rear 2nd of 11 at Murray Bridge 4yo+ 0-68 on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Brave Star carrying 128lbs at $10. The race before that 5th of 13 at this track 0-64 on May 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Nicajon carrying 132lbs at $4.80. Watch for him late.

3rd Pick
1

Head Of The Herd

Jockey: Connor Murtagh

Trainer: Sarah Rutten

J: Connor Murtagh

T: Sarah Rutten

131---11%17/2

Analysis

Last start settled towards the rear 2nd of 11 at Murray Bridge 4yo+ 0-68 on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Brave Star carrying 128lbs at $10. The race before that 5th of 13 at this track 0-64 on May 30 over 1m, on a slow track, 4 len behind Nicajon carrying 132lbs at $4.80. Watch for him late.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.