AU - Morphettville - Race 7

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

8.9f

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

42.1K

VIEW

Verdict

They've been spacing the runs of TOWER OF TUSCANY (10) this spring and it seems to be working. Although he hasn't cracked it for that elusive second win, he's racing very well and looks to have found a winnable assignment here. Milnes sticks and she should be able to find a spot in the first half of the field with cover. He can win. FLAMING NAVY (5) looks one of the leaders and he's definitely going to take some beating. He's won two from six and looks progressive. If he can get across from the wide gate without doing too much work, he can hold on. Happy to forgive the last start run of COLLATED (4), who was well supported and looked to have every chance. His prior form is good and he looks capable of rising through the grades. WORSFOLD (2) hasn't done much wrong since joining the new stable and looks a top-three chance again, while ENLIST (9) is an old warrior that can run a cheeky race for exotics and quaddies.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Recent form sound. Last start sat on the pace when 3rd of 10 at this track Nmw-Ly Bm64 on November 4 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Grinzinger Bishop with 127lbs at $4.20. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at this track 4yo+ Cl2 on October 4 over 1m, long-neck behind Grinzinger Halo with 123lbs at $7.50. Big chance to break through. 1st Pick 10 Tower Of Tuscany Jockey: Rochelle Milnes Trainer: Kirsten Mooney J: Rochelle Milnes T: Kirsten Mooney	111	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start sat on the pace when 3rd of 10 at this track Nmw-Ly Bm64 on November 4 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Grinzinger Bishop with 127lbs at $4.20. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at this track 4yo+ Cl2 on October 4 over 1m, long-neck behind Grinzinger Halo with 123lbs at $7.50. Big chance to break through.
5	Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at this track Bm68 on November 1 over 1m, 4 len behind Bolt By carrying 122lbs at $1.95. The race before that favourite, scored a big 6 len win at Balaklava Cl1 October 15 over 1m defeating Utah with 130lbs at $3.30. Hard to go past in this suitable contest. 2nd Pick 5 Flaming Navy Jockey: Caitlin Tootell Trainer: Travis Doudle J: Caitlin Tootell T: Travis Doudle	135	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 10 at this track Bm68 on November 1 over 1m, 4 len behind Bolt By carrying 122lbs at $1.95. The race before that favourite, scored a big 6 len win at Balaklava Cl1 October 15 over 1m defeating Utah with 130lbs at $3.30. Hard to go past in this suitable contest.
4	Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 10 at this track Nmw-Ly Bm64 on November 4 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Grinzinger Bishop carrying 126lbs at $2.80. Before that favourite, won by 3 len at Gawler Bm56 October 24 over 1 ¹/16m on a soft track defeating Cut No Ice with 130lbs at $2.80. Hard to beat if he brings his A-game. 3rd Pick 4 Collated Jockey: Alysha Warren Trainer: Matthew Seyers J: Alysha Warren T: Matthew Seyers	109	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Form hard to fault. Most recently 4th of 10 at this track Nmw-Ly Bm64 on November 4 over 1m, slow going 1.5 len behind Grinzinger Bishop carrying 126lbs at $2.80. Before that favourite, won by 3 len at Gawler Bm56 October 24 over 1 ¹/16m on a soft track defeating Cut No Ice with 130lbs at $2.80. Hard to beat if he brings his A-game.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.