AU - Morphettville - Race 7

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 7

45.5K

VIEW

Verdict

LOMAX (8) has returned in career-best touch this campaign and relishes the mile. Finds another suitable contest and gets the booking of Newitt. Could land in a tricky spot from the inside draw but watch for Froggy bursting through late on him. JANDAMI (9) progressed nicely second-up when making relatively light work of them on the Parks track. Fitter third-up and gets in light with the 4lbs claim. Can raise the bar again. BRAVE STAR (5) was back to somewhere near his best last start when scoring with a bit in hand at Murray Bridge. Loves getting his toe into it, so will be hoping the rain comes. A SAMURAI MIND (1) doesn't win out of turn and while he was poor last time when sent forward at Caulfield, his prior form stacks right up. Drawn cosy on the inside and gets in well at the weights with the 7lbs claimer engaged. Not underestimating. WILLYBEAFACTOR (4) was a deserved winner last time and rarely finishes too far away. Tougher here but he could fill a minor spot.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Recent form sound. At the latest run ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 11 at Murray Bridge 4yo+ 0-68 on July 4 over 1m, slow going 2.5 len behind Brave Star with 132lbs at $14. The race before that was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 0.9 len at Murray Bridge Bm68 June 13 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Budjik Boy with 126lbs at $3.50. In career best touch and loves the mile. 1st Pick 8 Lomax Jockey: Craig Newitt Trainer: Paul Carey J: Craig Newitt T: Paul Carey	106	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run ran on strongly from last on the turn, 4th of 11 at Murray Bridge 4yo+ 0-68 on July 4 over 1m, slow going 2.5 len behind Brave Star with 132lbs at $14. The race before that was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 0.9 len at Murray Bridge Bm68 June 13 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Budjik Boy with 126lbs at $3.50. In career best touch and loves the mile.
9	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming from last on the turn 7th of 9 at Bordertown Bm66 on June 28 over 6f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Layin' Up carrying 128lbs at $5. Second-up won by 1.1 len at Morphettville Parks Bm62 July 11 over 1m in the wet defeating Pierroplane with 132lbs at $7.50. Taking seriously. 2nd Pick 9 Jandami Jockey: Alysha Warren Trainer: Darryl Dodson J: Alysha Warren T: Darryl Dodson	108	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming from last on the turn 7th of 9 at Bordertown Bm66 on June 28 over 6f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Layin' Up carrying 128lbs at $5. Second-up won by 1.1 len at Morphettville Parks Bm62 July 11 over 1m in the wet defeating Pierroplane with 132lbs at $7.50. Taking seriously.
5	Racing well recently. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at Murray Bridge 4yo+ 0-68 July 4 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Head Of The Herd carrying 132lbs at $7.50. Before that 4th of 10 at Morphettville Parks Bm76 on June 6 over 7 ¾f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Mystic Wonder carrying 119lbs at $4.40. Could make it two on the bounce. 3rd Pick 5 Brave Star Jockey: Jason Holder Trainer: Phillip Stokes J: Jason Holder T: Phillip Stokes	128	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run tracked the speed and boxed on steadily, won by 1.5 len at Murray Bridge 4yo+ 0-68 July 4 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Head Of The Herd carrying 132lbs at $7.50. Before that 4th of 10 at Morphettville Parks Bm76 on June 6 over 7 ¾f, in the wet, 3.5 len behind Mystic Wonder carrying 119lbs at $4.40. Could make it two on the bounce.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.