AU - Morphettville - Race 5

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

36.2K

VIEW

Verdict

NAVY ROK (1) is a progressive type who was off the mark with an effortless maiden win two back then just edged out on the Parks track last time behind Maxildo. Tricky gate but will push forward and expected to go close. DIRTY DEAL (3) ran on well to score the maiden win two back then not far away here last time. Has the ability and drawn for a good run. HYSTERICAL LADY (12) has the ability but has to overcome the tricky draw. Will give a start but storm home, MRS PENNY CRACKER (13) is finding it hard to break through, finishing sixth last time out over 7f at Morphettville Parks. Is ready to win after two runs back and will also be doing her best work late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a Bm64 at Morphettville Parks on August 22 over 1m, on a slow track, neck behind Maxildo with 128lbs at $2.35. Before that favourite, won by 4 len in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Strathalbyn on July 29 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Winston's Pride with 127lbs at $1.35. Promising type expected to go close despite a tricky gate. 1st Pick 1 Navy Rok Jockey: Noel Callow Trainer: Phillip & Tommy Stokes J: Noel Callow T: Phillip & Tommy Stokes	145	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Last start came from midfield, 2nd of 9 in a Bm64 at Morphettville Parks on August 22 over 1m, on a slow track, neck behind Maxildo with 128lbs at $2.35. Before that favourite, won by 4 len in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Strathalbyn on July 29 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Winston's Pride with 127lbs at $1.35. Promising type expected to go close despite a tricky gate.
3	At the latest run 6th of 13 in a 0-66 at this track on August 29 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Tyusix with 127lbs at $17. The run before that was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 1.4 len in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Murray Bridge on August 12 over 7f in the wet defeating Khorasan with 128lbs at $6. Has ability and is a top-three hope off the good draw. 2nd Pick 3 Dirty Deal Jockey: Rochelle Milnes Trainer: Jake Stephens J: Rochelle Milnes T: Jake Stephens	132	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 13 in a 0-66 at this track on August 29 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Tyusix with 127lbs at $17. The run before that was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 1.4 len in a 3yo+ Mdn-Sw at Murray Bridge on August 12 over 7f in the wet defeating Khorasan with 128lbs at $6. Has ability and is a top-three hope off the good draw.
4	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 10 in a Cg&E Bm64 at Morphettville Parks on August 1 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind The Cosmic One with 128lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell 5th of 12 in a Cg&E 0-68 at Morphettville Parks on August 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Fast Tempo carrying 123lbs at $15. Well placed. Has the ability and a bold showing is expected. 3rd Pick 4 Top Of The Ridge Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Sue & Jason Jaensch J: Non Runner T: Sue & Jason Jaensch	114	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 10 in a Cg&E Bm64 at Morphettville Parks on August 1 over 6 ¼f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind The Cosmic One with 128lbs at $7.50. Second run from a spell 5th of 12 in a Cg&E 0-68 at Morphettville Parks on August 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Fast Tempo carrying 123lbs at $15. Well placed. Has the ability and a bold showing is expected.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.