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4:05 AM

AU - Morphettville - Race 3

Thoroughbred
13 Runners
12.5f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 5
57.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Terrific staying contest. LIKE A TIGER (1) will be out front and the one to run down. Flying lately including a last start win here in a BM74 and will take catching again. HARLEY'N'ROSE (11) circled before the turn and briefly hit the front but peaked and was run over late here last time behind Retourne. Expected to feature again. ROYAL MILE (3) was below his best last time, finishing sixth and beaten 6 lengths over 1 ³/16m at Morphettville Parks. Is nicely placed and expected to go well off the low draw. HIGH SOCIETY GIRL (7) just missed behind Retourne last time and can turn the tables. Placed 2/3 course and distance.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Suffolk Star silk

Dual acceptor. Is first-up after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign fourth of 14 at Flemington in the LR Ramsden May 16 over 1 ¾m, 1.75 len behind Zakouma with 129lbs at $31. When resuming last campaign fifth of 14 at Sandown-Hillside Bm74 February 25 over 1 ½m, soft track, 1.75 len behind Hurry Curry carrying 121lbs at $81. Placed 3/5 fresh and would go close on form from last campaign.

1st Pick
2

Suffolk Star

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Paul Preusker

J: Non Runner

T: Paul Preusker

122---1%1000/1

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Is first-up after a break of four months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign fourth of 14 at Flemington in the LR Ramsden May 16 over 1 ¾m, 1.75 len behind Zakouma with 129lbs at $31. When resuming last campaign fifth of 14 at Sandown-Hillside Bm74 February 25 over 1 ½m, soft track, 1.75 len behind Hurry Curry carrying 121lbs at $81. Placed 3/5 fresh and would go close on form from last campaign.

1
Like A Tiger silk

Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 1.0 len in a Bm74 at Morphettville Parks on September 5 over 1 ³/16m on a rain affected track defeating Cradle Of Jazz carrying 126lbs at $4.20. Before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 in a Bm74 at Morphettville Parks on August 22 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Cradle Of Jazz with 125lbs at $3.40. Flying lately and expected to take some running down.

2nd Pick
1

Like A Tiger

Jockey: Alysha Warren

Trainer: Matthew Smerdon

J: Alysha Warren

T: Matthew Smerdon

115---34%2/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start favourite, won by 1.0 len in a Bm74 at Morphettville Parks on September 5 over 1 ³/16m on a rain affected track defeating Cradle Of Jazz carrying 126lbs at $4.20. Before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 in a Bm74 at Morphettville Parks on August 22 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 3 len behind Cradle Of Jazz with 125lbs at $3.40. Flying lately and expected to take some running down.

11
Harley'n'rose silk

At the latest run 5th of 10 in a Bm78 at this track on August 29 over 1/16m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Retourne carrying 112lbs at $6. The race before that from last on the turn 5th of 9 in a Bm78 at Morphettville Parks on August 15 over 1 ½m, on heavy track, 1.75 len behind Harsh carrying 112lbs at $16. Weakened final stages after a circling run latest and expected to feature again.

3rd Pick
11

Harley'n'rose

Jockey: Isaac Sit

Trainer: Gordon Richards & Damien Moyle

J: Isaac Sit

T: Gordon Richards & Damien Moyle

82---10%10/1

Analysis

At the latest run 5th of 10 in a Bm78 at this track on August 29 over 1/16m, on a slow track, 2.5 len behind Retourne carrying 112lbs at $6. The race before that from last on the turn 5th of 9 in a Bm78 at Morphettville Parks on August 15 over 1 ½m, on heavy track, 1.75 len behind Harsh carrying 112lbs at $16. Weakened final stages after a circling run latest and expected to feature again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Across the Board

Refers to betting on a horse to finish first, second, and third to cover any of those scenarios happening during a race

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.