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4:30 AM

AU - Swan Hill - Race 4

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
8f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
22.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WAZZA (9) produced a nice effort on debut in better company last start over 7 ½f at Ballarat Synthetic when second, beaten a neck. He stayed on strongly there after showing speed and is well placed to break through over the mile today. FIERCE FIASCO (3) is yet to break through after five career starts but has been solid in three runs this time in and the effort at Kilmore on turf two back reads well. Hard to hold out. PAPPA RITCH (5) stepped out on his debut over 6f at Donald and stuck on fairly well for fourth. Quickly up in trip is interesting and don't discount. STREET SMART BOY (14) ended up 9 lengths behind the winner at Echuca when making debut. Can expect a better run.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
9
Wazza silk

Was well-supported at debut, 2nd of 8 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 7 ½f, neck behind Newcombe with 131lbs at $2.70. Huge chance with that run under the belt.

1st Pick
9

Wazza

Jockey: John Allen

Trainer: Mitchell Freedman

J: John Allen

T: Mitchell Freedman

162---40%6/4

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, 2nd of 8 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 7 ½f, neck behind Newcombe with 131lbs at $2.70. Huge chance with that run under the belt.

3
Fierce Fiasco silk

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 8 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 7 ½f, 2.5 len behind Newcombe with 131lbs at $3.60. The run before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind It Matters carrying 131lbs at $5.50. Definite threat over this longer trip.

2nd Pick
3

Fierce Fiasco

Jockey: Ryan Hurdle

Trainer: Andrew Noblet

J: Ryan Hurdle

T: Andrew Noblet

68---15%6/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 8 at Ballarat Synthetic Mdn-Sw on July 12 over 7 ½f, 2.5 len behind Newcombe with 131lbs at $3.60. The run before that sat on the pace when 2nd of 12 at Kilmore Mdn-Sw on June 1 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind It Matters carrying 131lbs at $5.50. Definite threat over this longer trip.

5
Pappa Ritch silk

Was well-supported at debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Donald Mdn-Sw on July 11 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Powering Away with 131lbs at $3.90. Can improve and give a sight.

3rd Pick
5

Pappa Ritch

Jockey: Tom Madden

Trainer: Shane Jackson

J: Tom Madden

T: Shane Jackson

82---14%13/2

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 10 at Donald Mdn-Sw on July 11 over 6f, slow going 2.5 len behind Powering Away with 131lbs at $3.90. Can improve and give a sight.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.