AU - Swan Hill - Race 4

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.6K

VIEW

Verdict

EGYPTIAN THORN (5) is ready to win off narrow defeats at Kyneton last time, when he led over 7 ¼f, and Seymour on debut, when he charged home from the back. Uses the inside gate, and Coffey is a key jockey booking. Steps up to the mile and he can manage that. ZOUDEADLY (10) was quickly back on track, beaten only 1.5 lengths over 7f at Cranbourne. That's good form and he had plenty to do. Finds an easier assignment and can take the next step. HALF SCOTCH (14) returns after a minor placing over 7f at Warrnambool five weeks ago. Has a low gate and some gear chances, and has more up her sleeve. Gives every indication that the step up to 1m will suit. ROMUALD (3) is a likely improver in good hands and has jumped out well since last seen. Keep a close eye on the betting with the Weir-trained debutant KINGS REFLECTION (6), who has been well educated and won his latest jumpout. Keeps Gordon from that, but he has an awkward gate to manage.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Having third race start. At debut, 2nd of 14 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on February 20 over 6 ½f, head behind Vim Vitae carrying 130lbs at $20. Last start gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on March 13 over 7 ¼f, long-neck behind Yauson with 130lbs at $3.10. Tough to beat. 1st Pick 5 Egyptian Thorn Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Lloyd Kennewell J: Harry Coffey T: Lloyd Kennewell	215	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Having third race start. At debut, 2nd of 14 at Seymour Mdn-Sw on February 20 over 6 ½f, head behind Vim Vitae carrying 130lbs at $20. Last start gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 9 at Kyneton Mdn-Sw on March 13 over 7 ¼f, long-neck behind Yauson with 130lbs at $3.10. Tough to beat.
10	Most recently 3rd of 9 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on March 20 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Let It Beel with 130lbs at $6.50. The run before that eased back early on 7th of 12 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on March 5 over 7f, 7 len behind Labelmaker carrying 130lbs at $9.50. One of the chief contenders. 2nd Pick 10 Zoudeadly Jockey: Lachlan King Trainer: Jason Warren J: Lachlan King T: Jason Warren	99	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Most recently 3rd of 9 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on March 20 over 7f, 1.5 len behind Let It Beel with 130lbs at $6.50. The run before that eased back early on 7th of 12 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on March 5 over 7f, 7 len behind Labelmaker carrying 130lbs at $9.50. One of the chief contenders.
14	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 11 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on February 17 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Purple Streak carrying 126lbs at $6. Second-up came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Warrnambool 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 9 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Till Queen with 123lbs at $7.50. Racing well. Key chance who can play a major role. 3rd Pick 14 Half Scotch Jockey: Liam Riordan Trainer: Mark Young J: Liam Riordan T: Mark Young	102	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 11 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on February 17 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Purple Streak carrying 126lbs at $6. Second-up came from midfield, 3rd of 10 at Warrnambool 3yo Mdn-Sw on March 9 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Till Queen with 123lbs at $7.50. Racing well. Key chance who can play a major role.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.