AU - Seymour - Race 6

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

7.1f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

23.3K

VIEW

Verdict

HOUDINI (3) can run well at each-way odds here. He resumes here for the Bedggood yard who have had a bit of time with him now. They got him to win very well off a let-up on his stable debut at Pakenham last time in before tackling some handy races. Now with a proper spell under the belt and in a winnable race, he should run a good race. HEALING FREQUENCY (11) was a dominant winner on debut at Pakenham, striking deteriorating conditions there last time when in the market in a stronger race. Forgive that, if she's come through that fine she can bounce back strongly. NAITANUI (8) is lightly raced having won well fresh, okay in a Class 1 last time. He should get a nice run midfield and can figure in the finish. TAKA SPEED (4) resumes having shown good ability in his debut campaign. He'll likely get further but has claims. QUEEN OF THE SURF (13) is better placed here and can improve.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
3	Is first-up after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign when last of 11 at Flemington 3yo Hcp June 21 over 1m, 8 len behind Taken with 119lbs at $31. First up last campaign sixth of 9 at Warrnambool Bm64 March 10 over 7f, 3 len behind Longtimedreaming with 128lbs at $19. Best form reads well, should be hard to hold out. 1st Pick 3 Houdini Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Gavin Bedggood J: Jamie Mott T: Gavin Bedggood	126	-	-	-	12%	15/2
Analysis Is first-up after a break of six months and has been in the money when fresh before. Finished off last campaign when last of 11 at Flemington 3yo Hcp June 21 over 1m, 8 len behind Taken with 119lbs at $31. First up last campaign sixth of 9 at Warrnambool Bm64 March 10 over 7f, 3 len behind Longtimedreaming with 128lbs at $19. Best form reads well, should be hard to hold out.
11	Had two starts to date. When well in the market at debut, won by 3.5 len at Pakenham Mdn-Sw November 14 over 6f in soft going defeating Lotta City carrying 123lbs at $4. Second-up 9th of 11 at Pakenham Bm66 on November 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Supernima carrying 121lbs at $6. Can bounce back strongly here. 2nd Pick 11 Healing Frequency Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Chris Waller J: Beau Mertens T: Chris Waller	173	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Had two starts to date. When well in the market at debut, won by 3.5 len at Pakenham Mdn-Sw November 14 over 6f in soft going defeating Lotta City carrying 123lbs at $4. Second-up 9th of 11 at Pakenham Bm66 on November 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Supernima carrying 121lbs at $6. Can bounce back strongly here.
8	Third-up today. First-up won by 1.75 len at Ararat Mdn-Sw November 9 over 6 ½f defeating Hughie's Spirit with 131lbs at $4.60. Second run from a spell 4th of 9 at Pakenham Cl1 on November 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Flag Flyer carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Coming along well and should take beating. 3rd Pick 8 Naitanui Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Luke Currie T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	82	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up won by 1.75 len at Ararat Mdn-Sw November 9 over 6 ½f defeating Hughie's Spirit with 131lbs at $4.60. Second run from a spell 4th of 9 at Pakenham Cl1 on November 28 over 7f, on a slow track, 4 len behind Flag Flyer carrying 131lbs at $3.80. Coming along well and should take beating.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.