AU - Seymour - Race 4

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

7.1f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.2K

VIEW

Verdict

ABRAFO (3) resumes. He was just fair in one run last time in but it was in a much stronger maiden than this and he was only beaten three lengths. The debut effort prior was solid when in the market at Geelong and he looks to have come back better off a trial win. Suspect he'll go close. ZAYYANO (7) ran a solid race first up at Pakenham, boxing on for fourth. He was first up over a mile there and now comes back in trip which is interesting but he should be fitter and can improve. PICK A SYMPHONY (2) is knocking on the door with four minor placings this time in. He won't need to improve much to be breaking through. SUNBURNT COUNTRY (6) can be an improver fresh, now with the Freedman yard.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation 9th of 13 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Mdn-Sw on September 3 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Engine Of War with 128lbs at $8.50. When resuming last campaign 4th of 9 at Geelong 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 23 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Green Spaces with 128lbs at $3.50. Won a Cranbourne jump-out on January 26. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Has ability and looks to have come back better. 1st Pick 3 Abrafo Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Mark Walker J: Craig Williams T: Mark Walker	85	-	-	-	56%
Analysis Back from a spell. Only had one start last preparation 9th of 13 at Sandown-Hillside 3yo Mdn-Sw on September 3 over 7 ½f, 3 len behind Engine Of War with 128lbs at $8.50. When resuming last campaign 4th of 9 at Geelong 2yo Mdn-Sw on April 23 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Green Spaces with 128lbs at $3.50. Won a Cranbourne jump-out on January 26. Looks forward enough after a recent trial win. Has ability and looks to have come back better.
7	Third race start. First start second last of 11 at Benalla Mdn-Sw on September 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 11 len behind The Narrator carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Returned from break tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Pakenham 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 16 over 1m, 3 len behind Miss Maranda with 128lbs at $16. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time. 2nd Pick 7 Zayyano Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Michael Dee T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	118	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third race start. First start second last of 11 at Benalla Mdn-Sw on September 2 over 6f, on a slow track, 11 len behind The Narrator carrying 126lbs at $2.90. Returned from break tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 8 at Pakenham 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 16 over 1m, 3 len behind Miss Maranda with 128lbs at $16. Fitter for that run and expected to be in the finish this time.
2	Recent form sound. At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Leveraged Buyout with 131lbs at $6.50. The run before that made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 12 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on December 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Maketime carrying 131lbs at $3.90. Keeps racing well and will be hard to hold out. 3rd Pick 2 Pick A Symphony Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Patrick & Michelle Payne J: Will Gordon T: Patrick & Michelle Payne	195	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run held ground to the line 3rd of 9 at Pakenham Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Leveraged Buyout with 131lbs at $6.50. The run before that made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 12 at Wangaratta Mdn-Sw on December 22 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Maketime carrying 131lbs at $3.90. Keeps racing well and will be hard to hold out.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.