AU - Seymour - Race 3

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

7.1f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.2K

VIEW

Verdict

Two key chances have come out on raceday and that leaves THE FLYING POPOV (5) on top. He has just been fair in two runs back from a spell but should relish getting over a bit more ground now and the Lane/Waller combination has to be respected. Suspect he'll improve quickly here. BILLY THE BOSS (4) was better last time at Yarra Valley when holding his ground for fifth. He'll roll forward in a race without a stack of pressure and give a bold sight. ARCELIA (6) was close up on debut, a bit disappointing last time at Geelong. She'll relish any more ground and gets blinkers on here. Could be an improver at odds. VEINS WITHIN ROCK (3) is having his sixth run of his maiden campaign. He had excuses at Cranbourne and his prior form has him in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
13	Three-year-old gelding (Tivaci - Knew It). Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young has him ready for this with nine recent trials prior to his debut today. Won his most recent trial at Cranbourne over 5f on January 12. Big chance to make an immediate impact. 1st Pick 13 Sabertooth Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young J: Non Runner T: Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young	56	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Three-year-old gelding (Tivaci - Knew It). Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young has him ready for this with nine recent trials prior to his debut today. Won his most recent trial at Cranbourne over 5f on January 12. Big chance to make an immediate impact.
14	Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on January 26 over 7 ¼f, 2.75 len behind Veyepee with 128lbs at $5.50. Before that 5th of 11 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on January 10 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Valedictorian carrying 128lbs at $6. Can improve again. Great chance to break through. 2nd Pick 14 Cuttin' Class Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Non Runner T: Ciaron Maher	220	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Most recently tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 10 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on January 26 over 7 ¼f, 2.75 len behind Veyepee with 128lbs at $5.50. Before that 5th of 11 at Cranbourne Mdn-Sw on January 10 over 7f, 4.5 len behind Valedictorian carrying 128lbs at $6. Can improve again. Great chance to break through.
5	Third-up today. Resuming 8th of 12 at Pakenham 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Cyber Link with 128lbs at $21. Second run from a spell 6th of 9 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on January 20 over 6f, 8 len behind Written Perfect carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Look for a much better performance. 3rd Pick 5 The Flying Popov Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Chris Waller J: Damian Lane T: Chris Waller	126	-	-	-	53%	10/11
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 8th of 12 at Pakenham 3yo Mdn-Sw on January 9 over 6f, 3.5 len behind Cyber Link with 128lbs at $21. Second run from a spell 6th of 9 at Geelong Mdn-Sw on January 20 over 6f, 8 len behind Written Perfect carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Look for a much better performance.

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