AU - Seymour - Race 2

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

22.2K

VIEW

Verdict

OCEANELLA (7) won't get many better chances than this to break through. She was sent out favourite here last start and was okay in fourth but the two runs prior when narrowly beaten read very well. This doesn't look very strong and she should go close. SO STAR (4) ran a good race on debut here behind Tarzing who has won well again since and looks very promising. So Star can improve off that and will take catching here. PRIVATEER (12) was in the market first up at Werribee and ran well for fourth. She should improve now and can measure up. RIP CURRENT (1) is a 4yo gelding by Toronado on debut for the Matt Ivill yard. He's jumped out quite well and the booking of Damian Lane for a relatively small-time trainer is interesting. Watch the betting. WHITE SPORTSCOAT (11) is a filly by Reward For Effort on debut who can run well off a jumpout win here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on January 15 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind Mr Epozino carrying 127lbs at $2.40. The race before that 2nd of 10 at Mornington F&M Mdn-Sw on January 1 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Sheanadh with 128lbs at $2.80. Going well and rates highly here. 1st Pick 7 Oceanella Jockey: Thomas Stockdale Trainer: Simon Zahra J: Thomas Stockdale T: Simon Zahra	215	-	-	-	42%	7/5
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run 4th of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on January 15 over 6 ½f, 3 len behind Mr Epozino carrying 127lbs at $2.40. The race before that 2nd of 10 at Mornington F&M Mdn-Sw on January 1 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Sheanadh with 128lbs at $2.80. Going well and rates highly here.
4	At debut, raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Tarzing carrying 128lbs at $6. Expecting that form to hold up strongly. 2nd Pick 4 So Star Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Patrick & Michelle Payne J: Michael Dee T: Patrick & Michelle Payne	112	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At debut, raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 12 at this track Mdn-Sw on December 28 over 6 ½f, 3.5 len behind Tarzing carrying 128lbs at $6. Expecting that form to hold up strongly.
12	Second-up. First start second last of 8 at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on August 17 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Shinjina with 123lbs at $19. Returned from break 4th of 12 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on January 12 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind Pure Silk with 123lbs at $3.90. Plenty of improvement to come, can take this out. 3rd Pick 12 Privateer Jockey: Daniel Stackhouse Trainer: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr J: Daniel Stackhouse T: Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr	121	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Second-up. First start second last of 8 at Sale 3yo Mdn-Sw on August 17 over 5 ½f, 5.5 len behind Shinjina with 123lbs at $19. Returned from break 4th of 12 at Werribee Mdn-Sw on January 12 over 5 ½f, 2.25 len behind Pure Silk with 123lbs at $3.90. Plenty of improvement to come, can take this out.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.