AU - Seymour - Race 2

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

11.1f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

23.3K

VIEW

Verdict

BURLINGTON GATE (7) put in a much better effort third up at Wodonga when finding the line well for a narrow fifth over 1 ¼m. She drops a notch in class for this and should be ready to peak rising in trip with the in-form Luke Currie booked to ride. GIRLS GIRLS GIRLS (10) can be hit or miss. She was poor at Geelong last time but the country cups form prior is good and she could be an improver. BUDDONG (1) was outclassed and beaten a long way at Cranbourne last time. She was a winner in this grade prior and sets up nicely from the soft gate. REBADGE (8) has had a mid-prep trial since an even effort at Pakenham second up. He should be at peak fitness now and could prove hard to hold out. MAKHANDA (11) broke through for a narrow maiden win last time and could measure up.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	At the latest run 5th of 11 at Wodonga Bm66 on November 28 over 1 ¼m, 2.75 len behind Expeetee carrying 128lbs at $4.80. The race before that second last of 9 at Kyneton Bm66 on November 5 over 1m, on a wet track, 5 len behind Durban Harbour carrying 129lbs at $3.10. Can improve again. Finds the right race and should take holding out. 1st Pick 7 Burlington Gate Jockey: Luke Currie Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Luke Currie T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	102	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 11 at Wodonga Bm66 on November 28 over 1 ¼m, 2.75 len behind Expeetee carrying 128lbs at $4.80. The race before that second last of 9 at Kyneton Bm66 on November 5 over 1m, on a wet track, 5 len behind Durban Harbour carrying 129lbs at $3.10. Can improve again. Finds the right race and should take holding out.
10	At the latest run ran last of 13 at Geelong Bm62 on November 26 over 1 ½m, 9 len behind Eagle Angel carrying 130lbs at $8. Before that 6th of 9 at Ararat Ararat Cup on November 9 over 1m, 7 len behind Cable Dancer with 120lbs at $16. Best form would see her right there. 2nd Pick 10 Girls Girls Girls Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Andrew Bobbin J: Harry Coffey T: Andrew Bobbin	125	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 13 at Geelong Bm62 on November 26 over 1 ½m, 9 len behind Eagle Angel carrying 130lbs at $8. Before that 6th of 9 at Ararat Ararat Cup on November 9 over 1m, 7 len behind Cable Dancer with 120lbs at $16. Best form would see her right there.
1	At the latest run ran last of 13 at Cranbourne Bm70 on November 22 over 1/16m, 27 len behind Black Peppermint with 126lbs at $19. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at Mornington Bm62 November 2 over 1 ½m defeating Highland Glory with 130lbs at $5. This is easier, respecting. 3rd Pick 1 Buddong Jockey: Rhys Mcleod Trainer: Patrick Kearney J: Rhys Mcleod T: Patrick Kearney	123	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis At the latest run ran last of 13 at Cranbourne Bm70 on November 22 over 1/16m, 27 len behind Black Peppermint with 126lbs at $19. The race before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at Mornington Bm62 November 2 over 1 ½m defeating Highland Glory with 130lbs at $5. This is easier, respecting.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.