AU - Flemington - Race 8

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

OPEN

Turf

GOOD 4

703.7K

VIEW

Verdict

The G1 Empire Rose and LADY SHENANDOAH (1) is clearly the one to beat. She's been a rock-solid mare at G1 level over a range of distances but a mile might just be her best trip having burst through under 128lbs to win the G1 Toorak Handicap last start. She's much better placed back to her own sex and a repeat of last start will see her winning again. IDLE FLYER (2) is the one with an established peak to challenge having beaten her in the G1 Queen Of The Turf over this trip in the Autumn. Jury out a bit on how she's going but she did race wide last week and can improve back out to a mile. Certainly not discounting SURFIN' BIRD (3) who is unbeaten over a mile, running fast time two back at Caulfield then sprinting well off a slower speed to win last week. She'll be hard to run down. UNLEESHING (5) finished all over them to win the G3 Angst last time and is progressive. CONCORD CONNIE (10) has had excuses in both runs and should improve to a mile on the big track.

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	1st Pick 1 Lady Shenandoah Jockey: James Mcdonald Trainer: Chris Waller J: James Mcdonald T: Chris Waller	234	-	-	-	56%
2	2nd Pick 2 Idle Flyer Jockey: Mark Zahra Trainer: Matthew Smith J: Mark Zahra T: Matthew Smith	158	-	-	-	9%
3	3rd Pick 3 Surfin' Bird Jockey: Blake Shinn Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Blake Shinn T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	158	-	-	-	20%
4	4 Cilacap Jockey: Michael Dee Trainer: Grahame Begg J: Michael Dee T: Grahame Begg	94	-	-	-	1%
5	5 Unleeshing Jockey: Jason Collett Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Jason Collett T: Bjorn Baker	109	-	-	-	10%
6	6 Pondalowie Jockey: Harry Coffey Trainer: Emma-Lee & David Browne J: Harry Coffey T: Emma-Lee & David Browne	84	-	-	-	2%
7	7 Jenni Multabella Jockey: Declan Bates Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Declan Bates T: Ciaron Maher	82	-	-	-	2%
8	8 Salty Pearl Jockey: Ben Allen Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Ben Allen T: Ciaron Maher	112	-	-	-	4%
9	9 Sass Appeal Jockey: Damian Lane Trainer: Danny O'brien J: Damian Lane T: Danny O'brien	121	-	-	-	9%
10	10 Concord Connie Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Charlotte Littlefield J: Craig Williams T: Charlotte Littlefield	105	-	-	-	17%
11	11 Pillow Fight Jockey: William Pike Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: William Pike T: Bjorn Baker	123	-	-	-	4%

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Allowance Race

A race with non-claiming conditions set by the racing secretary. They are meant to be a step down from stakes racing.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.