AU - Flemington - Race 5

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

12.4f

Unknown

Turf

GOOD 4

216.9K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

A Melbourne Cup ticket is on the line here but found it very hard to split NEARCO FROD (3) and LITZDEEL (2) who head the betting. Sided with Nearco Frod who is just a winning machine, scoring in his past four by racing on speed and showing a nice turn of foot. It's simple stuff but it wins races, especially in these staying contests where they tend to go quite slowly. LITZDEEL has been very good in two runs back over shorter and looks primed third up. Does have to rise in the weights and give male counterparts a few kilos but will stay strongly and try to apply the pressure on the danger. JENNIVAMOOSE (4) and SHOCKLETZ (6) were both very good closers in a 1 ¼m race at Caulfield last time, both are suited to this trip now and there's little between them but Jenni's run was slightly better last time. THINK GIANT (9) has been okay his past couple without threatening, better ground and a quicker tempo could suit.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
3	On a four run winning streak. Last start favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len in a Hcp at Sandown-Hillside on August 22 over 1 ½m on a heavy track defeating Go Daddy with 119lbs at $2.40. Before that favourite, won by 1.75 len in a Bm84 at this track on August 1 over 1/16m defeating Urban Outlook with 126lbs at $2.50. Keeps winning and gets every chance again. 1st Pick 3 Nearco Frod Jockey: Craig Williams Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Craig Williams T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	202	-	-	-	34%
Analysis On a four run winning streak. Last start favourite, raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len in a Hcp at Sandown-Hillside on August 22 over 1 ½m on a heavy track defeating Go Daddy with 119lbs at $2.40. Before that favourite, won by 1.75 len in a Bm84 at this track on August 1 over 1/16m defeating Urban Outlook with 126lbs at $2.50. Keeps winning and gets every chance again.
2	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 10 in a Bm100 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind First Chorus with 126lbs at $11. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 15 in a Qlty at Caulfield on August 29 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Saint George with 122lbs at $8.50. Ready to peak up in trip now, go close. 2nd Pick 2 Litzdeel Jockey: Blake Shinn Trainer: Danny O'brien J: Blake Shinn T: Danny O'brien	165	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming 4th of 10 in a Bm100 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind First Chorus with 126lbs at $11. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 15 in a Qlty at Caulfield on August 29 over 1 ¼m, on a slow track, 1.3 len behind Saint George with 122lbs at $8.50. Ready to peak up in trip now, go close.
4	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 10 in a Bm100 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind First Chorus carrying 122lbs at $17. Last start settled towards the rear 3rd of 15 in a Qlty at Caulfield on August 29 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2.5 len behind Saint George carrying 119lbs at $21. Coming along well and ready to peak up in trip. 3rd Pick 4 Jennivamoose Jockey: Jett Stanley Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Jett Stanley T: Ciaron Maher	122	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 3rd of 10 in a Bm100 at Caulfield Heath on August 8 over 1m, slow going 2 len behind First Chorus carrying 122lbs at $17. Last start settled towards the rear 3rd of 15 in a Qlty at Caulfield on August 29 over 1 ¼m, slow going 2.5 len behind Saint George carrying 119lbs at $21. Coming along well and ready to peak up in trip.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Workout

A workout is a timed sprint over varying distances prior to a race, meant to get a horse fit enough for competition.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.