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6:30 AM

AU - Donald - Race 8

Thoroughbred
17 Runners
8.1f
Benchmark
Turf
HEAVY 8
19.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

SCALABLE (10) flashed home and missed by a whisker first-up over 7f at Pakenham then was 38 days between runs when she failed at Sale last start. New to this trip but strips fitter and gave the impression when resuming that she needs a mile now. Nice chance at odds. TIMEONLEES (12) returned from a lengthy break with an encouraging third over 7 ½f at Ballarat last time out. Yet to miss the placings in three second-up runs. Nicely placed to play a key role. PADDYPIE (3) started favourite on debut recently at Seymour and created a good impression, closing strongly at the end of 6 ½f to get the job done. Needs to go up a rung or two here but the longer trip looks ideal. LISA LASS (11) disappointed last start at Mt Gambier. May be looking for further now but on her best form she can certainly match it with these. SARA'S ROCKET (7) failed on a bog at Moe last time. Won two back over this trip - can turn things around.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
10
Scalable silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 8 at Pakenham F&M Bm62 on April 9 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Cooly carrying 128lbs at $9. Second-up 9th of 12 at Sale 0-62 on May 17 over 7f, 7 len behind Lil Orlov carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Fitter and can make amends.

1st Pick
10

Scalable

Jockey: Will Gordon

Trainer: Emma-Lee & David Browne

J: Will Gordon

T: Emma-Lee & David Browne

73---10%10/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up 2nd of 8 at Pakenham F&M Bm62 on April 9 over 7f, on a slow track, nose behind Cooly carrying 128lbs at $9. Second-up 9th of 12 at Sale 0-62 on May 17 over 7f, 7 len behind Lil Orlov carrying 128lbs at $4.20. Fitter and can make amends.

12
Timeonlees silk

Second run back. First-up after 11 months sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Ballarat Bm62 on May 24 over 7 ½f, 3.5 len behind Terrortorian with 126lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 at Ballarat Synthetic 0 - 58 on April 6 2025 over 7 ½f, 0.8 len behind Lucky Compass with 127lbs at $2.50. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

2nd Pick
12

Timeonlees

Jockey: Damien Thornton

Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

J: Damien Thornton

T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

79---12%15/2

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after 11 months sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 11 at Ballarat Bm62 on May 24 over 7 ½f, 3.5 len behind Terrortorian with 126lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 at Ballarat Synthetic 0 - 58 on April 6 2025 over 7 ½f, 0.8 len behind Lucky Compass with 127lbs at $2.50. Fitter for that run and will be tough to beat.

3
Paddypie silk

Was well-supported at debut, won favourite, won by 0.8 len at Seymour Mdn-Sw May 21 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Blue Shield with 131lbs at $2.60. Likely to be popular with punters and looks very tough to beat again.

3rd Pick
3

Paddypie

Jockey: Billy Egan

Trainer: Patrick Payne

J: Billy Egan

T: Patrick Payne

160---56%4/5

Analysis

Was well-supported at debut, won favourite, won by 0.8 len at Seymour Mdn-Sw May 21 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Blue Shield with 131lbs at $2.60. Likely to be popular with punters and looks very tough to beat again.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Claiming Race

A race in which horses are entered for a certain price, or claiming tag, which is also their sales price. An owner can claim any horse entered for the tag before the race begins, and owns them as soon as the gates open.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.