AU - Cranbourne - Race 8

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

6.5f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

39.6K

VIEW

Verdict

AL PRANCER (5) is a consistent 4yo who has been in fine form this time in, winning 2/3 including a tough victory here last time out in fast time. He drops slightly in grade for this hence the rise in weight and rates highly again. REGAL TYCOON (7) is another in flying form this time in, winning 2/4 and just missing in the others. He proved too strong on speed for a handy one at Geelong last time and should get all the map favours again. MATAWAI (3) resumes. She goes very well fresh and has run good races in better company than this. If she runs to her best she'll be right there. ILLUMINANCE (12) can mix her form but has ability on her day and is in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Recent form sound. Most recently won by a nose at this track Bm70 November 22 over 6 ½f defeating Stealth Of Night with 121lbs at $10. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Bm66 on October 31 over 7f, head behind Miss Playlounge carrying 126lbs at $11. Brings good form to this, go close again. 1st Pick 5 Al Prancer Jockey: Luke Nolen Trainer: Ken & Kasey Keys J: Luke Nolen T: Ken & Kasey Keys	155	-	-	-	27%	11/4
Analysis Recent form sound. Most recently won by a nose at this track Bm70 November 22 over 6 ½f defeating Stealth Of Night with 121lbs at $10. The race before that made ground from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track Bm66 on October 31 over 7f, head behind Miss Playlounge carrying 126lbs at $11. Brings good form to this, go close again.
7	Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by 0.5 len at Geelong Bm66 November 14 over 6 ½f defeating Chewing Gum carrying 128lbs at $2.80. Before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 at Mornington Bm66 on October 23 over 6f, slow going nose behind Shaalute with 128lbs at $2.50. Will take plenty of catching again. 2nd Pick 7 Regal Tycoon Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: John Mcardle J: Jamie Mott T: John Mcardle	203	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. At the latest run favourite, won by 0.5 len at Geelong Bm66 November 14 over 6 ½f defeating Chewing Gum carrying 128lbs at $2.80. Before that set the pace for much of the race 2nd of 7 at Mornington Bm66 on October 23 over 6f, slow going nose behind Shaalute with 128lbs at $2.50. Will take plenty of catching again.
9	Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 8 at Flemington 2yo Hcp June 21 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Buccleuch with 123lbs at $6. On debut won by 2 len Wodonga 2yo Hcp May 24 over 6f slow track defeating Brenlyn's Legacy with 128lbs at $1.85. Has upside and should take plenty of beating. 3rd Pick 9 Impending War Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes J: Non Runner T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes	98	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Resuming after a five-and-a-half months break. Finished off last campaign fourth of 8 at Flemington 2yo Hcp June 21 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Buccleuch with 123lbs at $6. On debut won by 2 len Wodonga 2yo Hcp May 24 over 6f slow track defeating Brenlyn's Legacy with 128lbs at $1.85. Has upside and should take plenty of beating.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.