AU - Cranbourne - Race 7

Thoroughbred

19 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

HEAVY 9

24.3K

VIEW

Verdict

GODTFRED KIRK (7) has just found one better in two runs this time in, back onto turf here should suit and he gets every hope having lugged a big weight last time. One of the main dangers has come out and he shouldn't have to do much more to go one better here. TOO TOUGH (9) lost the rider at the start last time at Sale but had won his maiden well fresh and was firmly in the market last time - have to give another chance with his lightly raced profile. ILLUMINANCE (11) was okay here fresh, her form last time in reads well albeit she doesn't do a whole lot of winning. STELLAR MOFEED (14) is consistent and racing well with each way claims.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Second run back. First-up after nine months ran last of 12 at Bendigo Bm62 on June 25 over 5f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Weapon Clear with 133lbs at $2.90. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at Mornington 3yo Bm64 on September 28 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Cavalry Girl with 131lbs at $3.30. Much better than the first up run, can atone. 1st Pick 5 Star Trip Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Ciaron Maher J: Non Runner T: Ciaron Maher	132	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after nine months ran last of 12 at Bendigo Bm62 on June 25 over 5f, on a slow track, 6 len behind Weapon Clear with 133lbs at $2.90. Previously second-up 2nd in a small field at Mornington 3yo Bm64 on September 28 over 5f, 0.5 len behind Cavalry Girl with 131lbs at $3.30. Much better than the first up run, can atone.
7	Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 9 at Pakenham 0 - 62 on May 22 over 5 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Next Step Iowa carrying 132lbs at $8. Second run from a spell sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm56 on July 6 over 6f, 0.8 len behind You Never Can Tell with 139lbs at $3. Knocking on the door and gets his chance. 2nd Pick 7 Godtfred Kirk Jockey: Jye Mcneil Trainer: Reece Goodwin J: Jye Mcneil T: Reece Goodwin	182	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 9 at Pakenham 0 - 62 on May 22 over 5 ½f, slow going 2 len behind Next Step Iowa carrying 132lbs at $8. Second run from a spell sat on speed throughout when 2nd of 12 at Pakenham Synthetic Bm56 on July 6 over 6f, 0.8 len behind You Never Can Tell with 139lbs at $3. Knocking on the door and gets his chance.
9	Third-up today. First-up won by 1.3 len at Moe Mdn-Sw June 18 over 6f in the wet defeating Bourne Legacy with 131lbs at $1.90. Second run from a spell didn't finish the race at Sale Bm62 July 9 over 6f. Can bounce back strongly. 3rd Pick 9 Too Tough Jockey: Jamie Mott Trainer: Cindy Alderson J: Jamie Mott T: Cindy Alderson	132	-	-	-	40%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up won by 1.3 len at Moe Mdn-Sw June 18 over 6f in the wet defeating Bourne Legacy with 131lbs at $1.90. Second run from a spell didn't finish the race at Sale Bm62 July 9 over 6f. Can bounce back strongly.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.