AU - Cranbourne - Race 4

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

4.7f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

39.6K

VIEW

Verdict

Tricky sprint. BLACKBERRY BOMB (6) ran a solid race first up over 6f at Caulfield Heath in a stronger race, beaten 1.4 lengths into fifth. She mixed her form last time in but the best of it reads well for this and she can hold a spot from the low gate. PACIFIC GLAMOUR (8) resumed with an easy maiden win on wet ground at Ballarat, scoring by 3.5 lengths. She can kick up from barrier one and her natural upside sees her firmly in the mix. AUCKLAND (2) is flying, winning his past four, all over 5f. This is harder again going from a BM56 to a BM66 but he has to be respected. CONDOR (1) struggled last time but stuck on fairly well fresh and the 4 ¾f is right up his alley. PER IVY (7) won well at Pakenham last time and is in the mix.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Second run back. First-up after five months raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm70 on November 12 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Wings Of Desire carrying 125lbs at $31. Previously second-up won by 0.8 len at this track F&M Bm64 May 2 over 6f defeating Ahha Ahha carrying 130lbs at $7.50. Good there and best form goes close. 1st Pick 6 Blackberry Bomb Jockey: Ryan Houston Trainer: Simon Zahra J: Ryan Houston T: Simon Zahra	129	-	-	-	6%	17/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 10 at Caulfield Heath F&M Bm70 on November 12 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Wings Of Desire carrying 125lbs at $31. Previously second-up won by 0.8 len at this track F&M Bm64 May 2 over 6f defeating Ahha Ahha carrying 130lbs at $7.50. Good there and best form goes close.
8	Second-up. First start 6th of 8 at Moonee Valley 2yo Hcp on February 21 over 5f, 6 len behind Eternal Darkness with 122lbs at $4.80. Returned from break favourite, won by 3.5 len at Ballarat Mdn-Sw November 3 over 5f in heavy going defeating Where's My Sock carrying 123lbs at $2.40. On the up and can win again. 2nd Pick 8 Pacific Glamour Jockey: Beau Mertens Trainer: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy J: Beau Mertens T: Tony & Calvin Mcevoy	179	-	-	-	35%	15/8
Analysis Second-up. First start 6th of 8 at Moonee Valley 2yo Hcp on February 21 over 5f, 6 len behind Eternal Darkness with 122lbs at $4.80. Returned from break favourite, won by 3.5 len at Ballarat Mdn-Sw November 3 over 5f in heavy going defeating Where's My Sock carrying 123lbs at $2.40. On the up and can win again.
2	Most recently came from midfield and won by a neck at Mornington Bm56 November 10 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Over Boost carrying 139lbs at $5.50. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at Echuca Bm56 October 20 over 5f defeating Zemgrinda with 134lbs at $2.80. More depth again but is flying, can figure. 3rd Pick 2 Auckland Jockey: Teo Nugent Trainer: Simone Walker J: Teo Nugent T: Simone Walker	140	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Most recently came from midfield and won by a neck at Mornington Bm56 November 10 over 5f on a rain affected track defeating Over Boost carrying 139lbs at $5.50. The start before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.8 len at Echuca Bm56 October 20 over 5f defeating Zemgrinda with 134lbs at $2.80. More depth again but is flying, can figure.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Silks

The colorful jacket and cap worn by a jockey which features the design of the owner.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.