AU - Cranbourne - Race 4

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

10.2f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

41.8K

VIEW

Verdict

Tricky race. If POWERFUL TORQUE (5) replicates what he did last time at Sandown Hillside they'll struggle to beat him. He went to the front there and never looked like losing as a $21 chance, scoring by 1.5 lengths. If they ride him similarly here he can repeat the dose. MOZU MARCASSIN (4) doesn't win out of turn but wasn't far away last time at Sandown Lakeside in a stronger race behind Scintillante. If he can hold a spot from the inside gate he'll take holding out. THINKING GOLD (3) struggled up in grade at Flemington last start but had been in good form prior and should be far better placed rising in trip now. WARCHIME (1) won well at Seymour last time in a form reversal and has to be considered off that. MOTIVER (6) stuck on well over further last start and could continue to progress.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Racing well recently. Most recently won by 1.5 len at Sandown-Hillside 0 - 62 January 21 over 1m defeating Squander carrying 128lbs at $21. The race before that got back early second last in a small field at Colac Bm62 on January 6 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Cat Noir carrying 129lbs at $4.80. A repeat of last start goes close here. 1st Pick 5 Powerful Torque Jockey: Jake Noonan Trainer: David & Coral Feek J: Jake Noonan T: David & Coral Feek	105	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently won by 1.5 len at Sandown-Hillside 0 - 62 January 21 over 1m defeating Squander carrying 128lbs at $21. The race before that got back early second last in a small field at Colac Bm62 on January 6 over 1m, 2.25 len behind Cat Noir carrying 129lbs at $4.80. A repeat of last start goes close here.
4	At the latest run 4th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 0 - 66 on January 8 over 1 5/16m, 2 len behind Scintillante carrying 130lbs at $9.50. The start before that ran last of 13 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm66 on December 26 over 1 5/16m, 7 len behind Expeetee with 132lbs at $26. Hard to hold out. 2nd Pick 4 Mozu Marcassin Jockey: Eoin Walsh Trainer: Matt Cumani J: Eoin Walsh T: Matt Cumani	116	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis At the latest run 4th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 0 - 66 on January 8 over 1 5/16m, 2 len behind Scintillante carrying 130lbs at $9.50. The start before that ran last of 13 at Sandown-Lakeside Bm66 on December 26 over 1 5/16m, 7 len behind Expeetee with 132lbs at $26. Hard to hold out.
3	At the latest run 11th of 15 at Flemington Bm70 on January 17 over 1m, 10 len behind Fiorenot carrying 128lbs at $21. The run before that won by a nose at Seymour Bm62 December 28 over 1m defeating Itsukushima with 132lbs at $3.40. Can bounce back to form. 3rd Pick 3 Thinking Gold Jockey: Luke Nolen Trainer: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman J: Luke Nolen T: Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman	153	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At the latest run 11th of 15 at Flemington Bm70 on January 17 over 1m, 10 len behind Fiorenot carrying 128lbs at $21. The run before that won by a nose at Seymour Bm62 December 28 over 1m defeating Itsukushima with 132lbs at $3.40. Can bounce back to form.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.