AU - Ballarat Synthetic - Race 6

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Benchmark

Synthetic

GOOD

15.5K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

THINKING SENSATION (2) resumed with a nice win in a Coleraine highweight race. This is a bit tougher but he'll kick up from the inside and take catching. CALL ME MAURA (9) has had four runs to date but is showing promise and did win her maiden well here over 5 ½f. Hard to hold out. MISS TOP GUN (8) hasn't fired of late but this is easier and she can improve onto synthetic for the first time. BATTLE OF THE ICE (4) was poor here last time but can bounce back.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Third-up today. First-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Bm62 on July 14 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Whitson with 129lbs at $14. Second run from a spell raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Swan Hill Bm62 on July 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Sunday Fun Day carrying 129lbs at $4.20. Ready to win now and should go close. 1st Pick 6 Bonfire Jimmy Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Shane Jackson J: Non Runner T: Shane Jackson	181	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Third-up today. First-up ran on from midfield, 2nd of 10 at this track Bm62 on July 14 over 5f, 0.8 len behind Whitson with 129lbs at $14. Second run from a spell raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 11 at Swan Hill Bm62 on July 28 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Sunday Fun Day carrying 129lbs at $4.20. Ready to win now and should go close.
2	Second-up. First-up after seven months won by 1.3 len at Coleraine Bm56 Hwgt July 19 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating State Of Maine carrying 155lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 2nd of 12 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on September 20 over 6 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Davida carrying 131lbs at $8. Has come back well and should go close. 2nd Pick 2 Thinking Sensation Jockey: Chelsea Thompson Trainer: Matt Cumani J: Chelsea Thompson T: Matt Cumani	95	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after seven months won by 1.3 len at Coleraine Bm56 Hwgt July 19 over 6 ½f on a soft track defeating State Of Maine carrying 155lbs at $5.50. Previously second-up 2nd of 12 at Echuca Mdn-Sw on September 20 over 6 ½f, slow going 0.5 len behind Davida carrying 131lbs at $8. Has come back well and should go close.
9	At the latest run 6th of 13 at Swan Hill Bm62 on July 28 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Sacramental carrying 127lbs at $4. The race before that 5th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Bm64 on July 8 over 6f, in the wet, 10 len behind Queen Peta carrying 130lbs at $13. Hard to hold out. 3rd Pick 9 Call Me Maura Jockey: Will Gordon Trainer: Taige Weir J: Will Gordon T: Taige Weir	152	-	-	-	63%
Analysis At the latest run 6th of 13 at Swan Hill Bm62 on July 28 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Sacramental carrying 127lbs at $4. The race before that 5th of 9 at Sandown-Lakeside 3yo F Bm64 on July 8 over 6f, in the wet, 10 len behind Queen Peta carrying 130lbs at $13. Hard to hold out.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.