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3:50 AM

NZ - Otaki - Race 8

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
10.4f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
22.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

STEADFAST (2) has put in solid runs from midfield to place in both starts after a spell, both at 1m with a 6f trail in between. Trip to Riccarton for latest could be of benefit too. Take beating here. JOAN'S JOKER (1) had a nice trailing run close to the speed but was held up on the run before running on strongly on the inner for a close 2nd last time. Tougher draw here but form should stack up from that solid race. CHELSEA ROSE (9) didn't fire up as usual first-up at Waverley but up to this trip she stayed handy on a genuine tempo and fought hard for 3rd here last start. Include. CRAFTSMAN (8) ran home strongly from the tail for 3rd over this trip at Woodville two back but disappointed last time out. Place claims on best form. FASHION SAVVY (5) freshened up before running on late for a 2.3L 7th over 7f then charged home wide to score over 1 m last time. Beaten 3l 5th only start over the distance range when held up back in March 2025. Don't dismiss.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
15
Djibouti silk

Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Te Aroha on October 21 over 1m on a soft track defeating Dun Talkin' with 125lbs at $3. The run before that 3rd of 13 at Taupo on October 9 over 1m, slow going long-neck behind Escape Room carrying 125lbs at $2.90. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

1st Pick
15

Djibouti

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Kurtis Pertab

J: Non Runner

T: Kurtis Pertab

92---1%

Scratched

Analysis

Dual acceptor. Form hard to fault. Most recently favourite, came from midfield and won by 0.5 len at Te Aroha on October 21 over 1m on a soft track defeating Dun Talkin' with 125lbs at $3. The run before that 3rd of 13 at Taupo on October 9 over 1m, slow going long-neck behind Escape Room carrying 125lbs at $2.90. Key runner who is expected to be in the finish.

1
Joan's Joker silk

At the latest run sat on the pace when 2nd of 14 at this track on October 17 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Legacy with 131lbs at $7.30. The start before that 10th of 14 at Hastings on September 26 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 8 len behind Pacific Princess with 132lbs at $11.80. Leading prospect.

2nd Pick
1

Joan's Joker

Jockey: Tom Wigram

Trainer: Gary Vile

J: Tom Wigram

T: Gary Vile

137---14%13/2

Analysis

At the latest run sat on the pace when 2nd of 14 at this track on October 17 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 0.8 len behind Legacy with 131lbs at $7.30. The start before that 10th of 14 at Hastings on September 26 over 1 5/16m, on a slow track, 8 len behind Pacific Princess with 132lbs at $11.80. Leading prospect.

2
Steadfast silk

Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 12 at Hawera on October 3 over 1m, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Meloni carrying 126lbs at $20. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 17 at Riccarton Park on October 24 over 1m, 2 len behind Chino's Boy with 127lbs at $11.20. Well placed and sure to be in the finish.

3rd Pick
2

Steadfast

Jockey: Floor Moerman

Trainer: Kevin Myers

J: Floor Moerman

T: Kevin Myers

128---19%9/2

Analysis

Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 12 at Hawera on October 3 over 1m, in the wet, 1.5 len behind Meloni carrying 126lbs at $20. Second-up made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 17 at Riccarton Park on October 24 over 1m, 2 len behind Chino's Boy with 127lbs at $11.20. Well placed and sure to be in the finish.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.