NZ - Otaki - Race 7

Thoroughbred

7 Runners

OPEN

Turf

SOFT 6

29.2K

VIEW

Verdict

BRIDAL TRAIN (4) won fresh up at New Plymouth, and then motored home too late when finishing fourth here nearly 4 weeks ago. The step up to a mile for her peak run, and with 4lbs less to carry, she is the one to beat in a small sized field. HARD TOO THINK (7) is a durable veteran who franked some good trial form with a bold effort for second fresh up at Tauherenikau 16 days ago. He drops 8lbs, and also gets Bruni Queiroz in the saddle this time. Stick with him on an each-way basis. HE'S A DOOZY (1) is a very consistent veteran gelding when fit, and he was only narrowly beaten by a head here last time out on this track. This is his pet trip, and he is nearing another win. ELECTRON (2) has been mixing her form, but is unbeaten on this track in 3 starts, including her penultimate start over a mile. She drops back from G2 company, and she will be hard to hold out. RUSTY LANE (3) ran on late for fourth fresh up at Trentham, and he usually improves with more racing. Include in all combos.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming came from midfield and won by a head at New Plymouth Raceway November 5 over 7f defeating Super Wraith with 123lbs at $5.50. Last start 4th of 14 at this track on November 30 over 7f, 3 len behind Renovations carrying 123lbs at $10.10. Well placed. Strong formlines for this type of race, the testing material. 1st Pick 4 Bridal Train Jockey: Kelly Myers Trainer: Allan Sharrock J: Kelly Myers T: Allan Sharrock	85	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming came from midfield and won by a head at New Plymouth Raceway November 5 over 7f defeating Super Wraith with 123lbs at $5.50. Last start 4th of 14 at this track on November 30 over 7f, 3 len behind Renovations carrying 123lbs at $10.10. Well placed. Strong formlines for this type of race, the testing material.
7	Second-up. First-up after 11 months raced on the pace when 2nd of 12 at Tauherenikau on December 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Psyclone carrying 127lbs at $7.80. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Trentham on January 18 over 1m, 3 len behind Khanshe with 127lbs at $34.90. Further improvement in store. 2nd Pick 7 Hard Too Think Jockey: Bruno Queiroz Trainer: Kevin & Stephen Gray, Copper Belt Lodge J: Bruno Queiroz T: Kevin & Stephen Gray, Copper Belt Lodge	129	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after 11 months raced on the pace when 2nd of 12 at Tauherenikau on December 10 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Psyclone carrying 127lbs at $7.80. Previously second-up 5th of 12 at Trentham on January 18 over 1m, 3 len behind Khanshe with 127lbs at $34.90. Further improvement in store.
1	Last start 3rd of 9 at this track on November 30 over 1m, neck behind Electron with 126lbs at $12.70. The run before that struggled in the run home, second last of 13 at Riccarton Park in the G3 Churchill (Coupland's Mile) Stakes on November 12 over 1m, on a slow track, 11 len behind Mystic Park carrying 123lbs at $28.50. Impressed last start. Worth including. 3rd Pick 1 He's A Doozy Jockey: Amber Riddell Trainer: Lisa Latta J: Amber Riddell T: Lisa Latta	127	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Last start 3rd of 9 at this track on November 30 over 1m, neck behind Electron with 126lbs at $12.70. The run before that struggled in the run home, second last of 13 at Riccarton Park in the G3 Churchill (Coupland's Mile) Stakes on November 12 over 1m, on a slow track, 11 len behind Mystic Park carrying 123lbs at $28.50. Impressed last start. Worth including.

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Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.