NZ - Otaki - Race 6

Thoroughbred

15 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

22.8K

VIEW

Verdict

TESTWIN (2) had a handy run 3 back on the rail before working into the clear and trying hard behind Indian Pacific here last time. Meets Indian Pacific 3kgs better off here. Take beating. INDIAN PACIFIC (4) got back beyond midfield when first-up and loomed up on the run and got home best at $21 here last start. Has a win and a placing from 4 starts this trip and has also win over 1 5/16m. Danger despite the weight increase. AFTERGLO (6) got well back early and gradually improved before unleashing a big run to score over 1m at Matamata last time. Right in this from the inside alley. PLOY (7) resumed on a winning note when tracked the leaders and sprinted well when 1st-up over 7f at Te Rapa but just a run from the back in G3 company last time. Won her only 3rd-up start. CROIX DE GUERRE (9) fought on best after leading for two wins on the Synthetic track in August and fought on well for 4th over 1 5/16m when back on turf last time. Place claims from the wide gate here.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up won by a 0.3 len at Hastings on August 22 over 6f in the wet defeating Procul Boy with 127lbs at $5.70. Second run from a spell made ground from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on October 17 over 7f, slow going 0.4 len behind Indian Pacific carrying 132lbs at $10.20. Leading prospect. 1st Pick 2 Testwin Jockey: Jonathan Riddell Trainer: Guy Lowry & Leah Zydenbos J: Jonathan Riddell T: Guy Lowry & Leah Zydenbos	151	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up won by a 0.3 len at Hastings on August 22 over 6f in the wet defeating Procul Boy with 127lbs at $5.70. Second run from a spell made ground from midfield, 2nd of 14 at this track on October 17 over 7f, slow going 0.4 len behind Indian Pacific carrying 132lbs at $10.20. Leading prospect.
4	Second run back. First-up after five months came from midfield and won by a 0.4 len at this track on October 17 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Testwin carrying 122lbs at $22.40. Previously second-up 5th of 10 at this track on December 19 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Top Of The Pack carrying 129lbs at $8.80. Likely to come on from that run. 2nd Pick 4 Indian Pacific Jockey: Lily Sutherland Trainer: Geoff Haigh J: Lily Sutherland T: Geoff Haigh	135	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months came from midfield and won by a 0.4 len at this track on October 17 over 7f on a rain affected track defeating Testwin carrying 122lbs at $22.40. Previously second-up 5th of 10 at this track on December 19 over 6f, on a slow track, 3 len behind Top Of The Pack carrying 129lbs at $8.80. Likely to come on from that run.
6	Most recently was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 0.5 len at Matamata on October 3 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Bella's Boy carrying 121lbs at $19.30. Before that 8th of 14 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 1m, slow going 5.5 len behind Monologue carrying 122lbs at $19. Hard to beat on that latest effort. 3rd Pick 6 Afterglo Jockey: Floor Moerman Trainer: Stephen Autridge J: Floor Moerman T: Stephen Autridge	154	-	-	-	16%	11/2
Analysis Most recently was well back until straightening, raced back then made ground from the turn, won by 0.5 len at Matamata on October 3 over 1m on a rain affected track defeating Bella's Boy carrying 121lbs at $19.30. Before that 8th of 14 at Ellerslie on September 5 over 1m, slow going 5.5 len behind Monologue carrying 122lbs at $19. Hard to beat on that latest effort.

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