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1:02 AM

NZ - Otaki - Race 4

Thoroughbred
20 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 6
22.8K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

JACOBITE RISING (6) flashed home down the outside from midfield but came up a bit short at Hasting when fresh. Well back but wasn't comfortable on the better track last start. Won his only start here and can atone. PEE BEE GIRL (13) improved effort 2nd-up here last start when up to this trip and worked home well from a handy spot October 17. Won her lone 3rd-up start. BEAN A PLEASURE (5) worked up wide to stay handy in the open and fought hard for 1.7L 5th at Hastings when fresh. Sound claims if not flattened by that tough run 1st-up. ONLY THE LONELY (11) sound form early in her career and comes off a nice trial win, sprinting along the rail under her own steam. Keep safe. SANT MAURICI (12) hasn't been far away in either defeat and won on debut in her other start. Ran on fairly from midfield 1st-up at Rotorua. Improver.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Puddle Of Mudd silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 14 at Hawera on October 3 over 6f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Fancypants carrying 125lbs at $17.90. Second run from a spell 5th of 9 at this track on October 17 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Ebony Bassett with 130lbs at $4.40. Must come into consideration over this longer journey.

1st Pick
3

Puddle Of Mudd

Jockey: Non Runner

Trainer: Bryce Revell

J: Non Runner

T: Bryce Revell

132---1%1000/1

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up 2nd of 14 at Hawera on October 3 over 6f, on rain affected going, 3.5 len behind Fancypants carrying 125lbs at $17.90. Second run from a spell 5th of 9 at this track on October 17 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Ebony Bassett with 130lbs at $4.40. Must come into consideration over this longer journey.

6
Jacobite Rising silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Hastings on September 12 over 7f, on rain affected going, neck behind Whiskey N' Rye with 128lbs at $10.80. Last start 9th of 13 at Hastings on October 10 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Mercy with 130lbs at $4.20. Fitter and expected to bounce back.

2nd Pick
6

Jacobite Rising

Jockey: Jonathan Riddell

Trainer: John Bary

J: Jonathan Riddell

T: John Bary

120---12%8/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Hastings on September 12 over 7f, on rain affected going, neck behind Whiskey N' Rye with 128lbs at $10.80. Last start 9th of 13 at Hastings on October 10 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Mercy with 130lbs at $4.20. Fitter and expected to bounce back.

13
Pee Bee Girl silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 6th of 14 at Hawera on October 3 over 6f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Fancypants with 125lbs at $19.70. Second-up 3rd of 12 at this track on October 17 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Marriage Vows carrying 123lbs at $6. Fitter now and making headway. Sure to measure up here.

3rd Pick
13

Pee Bee Girl

Jockey: Lily Sutherland

Trainer: Bill Thurlow

J: Lily Sutherland

T: Bill Thurlow

105---17%5/1

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming 6th of 14 at Hawera on October 3 over 6f, on rain affected going, 6 len behind Fancypants with 125lbs at $19.70. Second-up 3rd of 12 at this track on October 17 over 7f, on a slow track, 2.75 len behind Marriage Vows carrying 123lbs at $6. Fitter now and making headway. Sure to measure up here.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Starter Race

An allowance race restricted to horses who have started for a certain claiming price recently.