GB - Newton Abbot - Race 5

Thoroughbred

4 Runners

25.8f

Handicap Chase

Turf

Good

20.5K

VIEW

Verdict

VIROFLAY and veteran Certainly Red should find themselves quickly at the head of affairs and could dominate, with Viroflay narrowly preferred back in calmer waters having found the Topham all too much last time.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Off the mark in handicaps at the third attempt at Kempton (3m) in December. Didn't jump with his usual fluency over the different fences in the Topham last month but this is easier and he could take some pegging back. 1st Pick 1 Viroflay (Fr) Jockey: Miss Olive Nicholls Trainer: Paul Nicholls J: Miss Olive Nicholls T: Paul Nicholls	99	-	-	-	40%	3/2
Analysis Off the mark in handicaps at the third attempt at Kempton (3m) in December. Didn't jump with his usual fluency over the different fences in the Topham last month but this is easier and he could take some pegging back.
2	Ran really well following 15 months on the sidelines when third in useful 3m Sandown handicap in March, holding on gamely for a place despite a bad mistake 2 out. Clearly retains plenty of ability and enthusiasm and got to be respected in this company. 2nd Pick 2 Certainly Red Jockey: Marc Goldstein Trainer: Lydia Richards J: Marc Goldstein T: Lydia Richards	100	-	-	-	31%	Scratched
Analysis Ran really well following 15 months on the sidelines when third in useful 3m Sandown handicap in March, holding on gamely for a place despite a bad mistake 2 out. Clearly retains plenty of ability and enthusiasm and got to be respected in this company.
3	Good third in Paddy Power Gold Cup at Cheltenham in November but not the most robust and has usually flattered to deceive again since, faltering quickly back from another breathing operation at Ayr last month. Longer trip fine but he's risky. 3rd Pick 3 Hoe Joly Smoke Jockey: Harry Skelton Trainer: Dan Skelton J: Harry Skelton T: Dan Skelton	98	-	-	-	46%	6/5
Analysis Good third in Paddy Power Gold Cup at Cheltenham in November but not the most robust and has usually flattered to deceive again since, faltering quickly back from another breathing operation at Ayr last month. Longer trip fine but he's risky.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

Lasix

A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).