AU - Albany - Race 5

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 5

16.9K

VIEW

Verdict

BEAUMONT MISS (7) has the most appealing recent profile, having followed a Geraldton Mdn win over Black Irish with a sound third in a CL1 at Belmont, beaten just under three lengths. She comes back from mid-week company to an easier assignment and is the one to beat. HEY TRUE BLUE (3) is the clear danger: his Ascot sixth in 1MW company reads better with the steadied-at-5f note, and his earlier Kalgoorlie fourth in CL2 grade was close enough to keep him right in this. APPARATUS (6) gets significant weight relief after a slow-starting fifth at York, and his wet-track record gives him a genuine place-to-winning platform if he uses the 7 ½f more effectively second-up. WARRALEA LASS (1) was plain in BM66+ grade at Belmont, but her previous third at that level, proven track-and-trip credentials and recent Albany trial keep her in calculations despite the top weight. BONDI EXPRESS (5) can fire a shot first-up with two trials under his belt.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Comes off a solid third in a Class 1 at Belmont, beaten just under three lengths, and now finds an easier assignment after tackling mid-week company. That followed a Geraldton Mdn win where she beat Black Irish by a head and showed the right turn of foot late. Finds the right race to convert. 1st Pick 7 Beaumont Miss Jockey: Natasha Faithfull Trainer: Misty Bazeley J: Natasha Faithfull T: Misty Bazeley	123	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Comes off a solid third in a Class 1 at Belmont, beaten just under three lengths, and now finds an easier assignment after tackling mid-week company. That followed a Geraldton Mdn win where she beat Black Irish by a head and showed the right turn of foot late. Finds the right race to convert.
3	Had genuine excuse value in a 1 Metro Win at Ascot, where he was steadied approaching the 5f before finishing sixth, beaten just over three lengths. He had earlier run fourth in a Class 2 at Kalgoorlie, beaten just under two lengths, so the recent form is stronger than the numbers suggest. Back to a track-and-trip win setup with the winning rider returning, he looks a major chance. 2nd Pick 3 Hey True Blue Jockey: Troy Turner Trainer: Steve Wolfe J: Troy Turner T: Steve Wolfe	130	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Had genuine excuse value in a 1 Metro Win at Ascot, where he was steadied approaching the 5f before finishing sixth, beaten just over three lengths. He had earlier run fourth in a Class 2 at Kalgoorlie, beaten just under two lengths, so the recent form is stronger than the numbers suggest. Back to a track-and-trip win setup with the winning rider returning, he looks a major chance.
6	Finished fifth first-up in a BM44+ at York, beaten four and a half lengths, after beginning slowly and giving himself work to do before closing off. This is a stronger grade, but he drops sharply from 133lbs to 119lbs and has handled wet ground well enough to suit the soft track. Weight relief and wet-track form give him a sound each-way platform. 3rd Pick 6 Apparatus Jockey: Jason Lyon Trainer: Dylan Bairstow J: Jason Lyon T: Dylan Bairstow	110	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Finished fifth first-up in a BM44+ at York, beaten four and a half lengths, after beginning slowly and giving himself work to do before closing off. This is a stronger grade, but he drops sharply from 133lbs to 119lbs and has handled wet ground well enough to suit the soft track. Weight relief and wet-track form give him a sound each-way platform.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.