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8:30 AM

AU - Albany - Race 5

Thoroughbred
10 Runners
7.5f
Class 2
Turf
SOFT 5
15.5K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

POLYVANOVA (2) brings strong relative numbers from York over this distance and hits this race at peak. She races forward and has Nottle's handy 4lbs claim. She deserves another win and finds the right race. LORDGIVEMESTRENGTH (5) was prominent from the outset, holding on to place here over this trip second-up. She presents fitter again and keeps the handy 4lbs claim. A live chance with average luck from the awkward gate. NICCY'S AFFAIR (6) made sharp improvement, leading and comfortably winning that contest. She draws the inside gate today and despite carrying 4lbs more, will give a big sight holding that level of form. COATACHINO (9) went close in the same race and also has claims. Carries 10lbs more today with Faithfull replacing the apprentice.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Polyvanova silk

Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at York on November 9 over 7 ½f, 1.75 len behind Rivercrest Magic with 121lbs at $3.70. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 at York on October 9 over 7 ½f, 1.0 len behind Rubick Lass with 128lbs at $4.20. Best form stacks up nicely and she will be hard to beat.

1st Pick
2

Polyvanova

Jockey: Holly Nottle

Trainer: Mitchell Pateman

J: Holly Nottle

T: Mitchell Pateman

136---16%11/2

Analysis

Last start raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at York on November 9 over 7 ½f, 1.75 len behind Rivercrest Magic with 121lbs at $3.70. The run before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 12 at York on October 9 over 7 ½f, 1.0 len behind Rubick Lass with 128lbs at $4.20. Best form stacks up nicely and she will be hard to beat.

5
Lordgivemestrength silk

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming eased back early on 9th of 13 at Ascot Cl1 on October 15 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Fine Star with 126lbs at $26. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at this track Cl2 on November 15 over 7 ½f, 2.75 len behind Niccy's Affair carrying 121lbs at $4.80. Well placed. Leading hope this time.

2nd Pick
5

Lordgivemestrength

Jockey: Rosie Mahony

Trainer: Steve Wolfe

J: Rosie Mahony

T: Steve Wolfe

115---19%9/2

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming eased back early on 9th of 13 at Ascot Cl1 on October 15 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Fine Star with 126lbs at $26. Last start sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 3rd of 10 at this track Cl2 on November 15 over 7 ½f, 2.75 len behind Niccy's Affair carrying 121lbs at $4.80. Well placed. Leading hope this time.

6
Niccy's Affair silk

At the latest run won by 1.4 len at this track Cl2 November 15 over 7 ½f defeating Coatachino with 120lbs at $11. The race before that 5th of 8 at this track Cl1 on November 2 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Cavill Tycoon carrying 125lbs at $8.50. Chance to go in if she holds the form from the latest.

3rd Pick
6

Niccy's Affair

Jockey: Elisha Whittington

Trainer: Roy Rogers

J: Elisha Whittington

T: Roy Rogers

147---19%9/2

Analysis

At the latest run won by 1.4 len at this track Cl2 November 15 over 7 ½f defeating Coatachino with 120lbs at $11. The race before that 5th of 8 at this track Cl1 on November 2 over 5f, 5.5 len behind Cavill Tycoon carrying 125lbs at $8.50. Chance to go in if she holds the form from the latest.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.