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6:07 AM

AU - Albany - Race 2

Thoroughbred
16 Runners
6.1f
Maiden
Turf
SOFT 6
13.9K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

UNFORTUNATE LAD (4) missed by 1.5L at Mt Barker last start when closing nicely from a midfield position. The step out to 6f looks ideal for him now and he maps beautifully for Turner. Plenty in his favour here with improvement to come, and he can shed the maiden tag. CASSENITE (8) will find this a little easier than what she's been tackling in town. She's been back to the trial since her last run to get her ticket back and the booking of Faithfull is a good push for her chances. Can make her presence felt. HEAPS TRUE AYE (15) hasn't trialled since June last year and has been switched to the Rogers camp in that time. She must've had an issue in that time, but she showed good ability in her two trials last year and she can feature in this suitable race if right. COSMIC WALTZ (5) just missed last start and Mt Barker and can win if he can negotiate the tricky draw. REGGIO CALABRIA (1) pulled up with an issue last start and can put his best foot forward.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Unfortunate Lad silk

Third-up today. Resuming 9th of 11 at this track Mdn on January 4 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Nailed'em with 125lbs at $17. Last start 4th of 11 at Mt Barker Mdn on January 18 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Prasutagus carrying 125lbs at $8. Promising galloper. Strong last start and can improve again up in trip.

1st Pick
4

Unfortunate Lad

Jockey: Troy Turner

Trainer: Steve Wolfe

J: Troy Turner

T: Steve Wolfe

127---14%13/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming 9th of 11 at this track Mdn on January 4 over 5 ½f, 6 len behind Nailed'em with 125lbs at $17. Last start 4th of 11 at Mt Barker Mdn on January 18 over 5f, 1.5 len behind Prasutagus carrying 125lbs at $8. Promising galloper. Strong last start and can improve again up in trip.

8
Cassenite silk

Most recently got back early 7th of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn F&M on January 15 over 6f, 5 len behind Slick with 126lbs at $6.50. The run before that 6th of 13 at Ascot W/Speed Mdn on December 20 over 6f, 4.5 len behind London's Rascal carrying 123lbs at $17. Easier here and a bold showing is expected.

2nd Pick
8

Cassenite

Jockey: Natasha Faithfull

Trainer: Brett Pope

J: Natasha Faithfull

T: Brett Pope

128---14%13/2

Analysis

Most recently got back early 7th of 12 at Pinjarra Scarpside Mdn F&M on January 15 over 6f, 5 len behind Slick with 126lbs at $6.50. The run before that 6th of 13 at Ascot W/Speed Mdn on December 20 over 6f, 4.5 len behind London's Rascal carrying 123lbs at $17. Easier here and a bold showing is expected.

15
Heaps True Aye silk

Three-year-old filly making debut by A Lot out of True Dane. Was second in a Belmont Park barrier trial over 2f June 23. Has shown glimpses at the trials and this looks a suitable race on debut.

3rd Pick
15

Heaps True Aye

Jockey: Amy Jo Hayes

Trainer: Roy Rogers

J: Amy Jo Hayes

T: Roy Rogers

50---4%25/1

Analysis

Three-year-old filly making debut by A Lot out of True Dane. Was second in a Belmont Park barrier trial over 2f June 23. Has shown glimpses at the trials and this looks a suitable race on debut.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.