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4:30 AM

AU - Wyong - Race 4

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6.7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
29.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

I AM CARROT (4) raced handy and gave a good kick but found one better when resuming over 5 ½f at Gosford last start. Placed at the Kensington track second-up last prep which is strong form for a moderate maiden. Draws the fence and won't get too many better chances to open his account. HERAION (8) was beaten less than two lengths for the third straight time when just outside the placings over 5 ½f at Hawkesbury recently. Jumps up quickly to 6 ¾f which is a query, but she is racing too well to ignore. LUNE D'EXCELLENCE (9) caught the eye in the closing stages when runner-up over 6 ¼f at Kempsey last time out, her first outing in 18 weeks. Will appreciate the step up in trip and the blinkers going on is a positive sign. RUSTEMO (6) made it three seconds from as many runs this time in work at Kempsey last start. Returning figures that suggest he is not out of place in a race like this. EXCEEDING LIMITS (3) should be ready to peak after two runs back from a break.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
I Am Carrot silk

Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd in a small field at Gosford Super Mdn on November 11 over 5 ½f, 1.2 len behind Jarrito with 129lbs at $6. Previously second-up 3rd of 10 at Randwick Kensington 2yo Hcp on May 14 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Burn The Sky carrying 123lbs at $31. Back in fine order and this looks an easier maiden than last time.

1st Pick
4

I Am Carrot

Jockey: Reece Jones

Trainer: Nacim Dilmi

J: Reece Jones

T: Nacim Dilmi

181---45%5/4

Analysis

Second-up. First-up after five months 2nd in a small field at Gosford Super Mdn on November 11 over 5 ½f, 1.2 len behind Jarrito with 129lbs at $6. Previously second-up 3rd of 10 at Randwick Kensington 2yo Hcp on May 14 over 7f, on rain affected going, 1.5 len behind Burn The Sky carrying 123lbs at $31. Back in fine order and this looks an easier maiden than last time.

8
Heraion silk

Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Hawkesbury Prov 4yo+ Mdn on November 8 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind Ima Capri carrying 125lbs at $3.80. Before that 2nd of 7 at Hawkesbury 4yo+ Mdn on October 23 over 5 ½f, head behind Call Me Sassy carrying 125lbs at $15. Close up at the last three - this step up in distance is the only query.

2nd Pick
8

Heraion

Jockey: Tom Sherry

Trainer: Jason Attard

J: Tom Sherry

T: Jason Attard

154---7%14/1

Analysis

Last start tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 9 at Hawkesbury Prov 4yo+ Mdn on November 8 over 5 ½f, 1.75 len behind Ima Capri carrying 125lbs at $3.80. Before that 2nd of 7 at Hawkesbury 4yo+ Mdn on October 23 over 5 ½f, head behind Call Me Sassy carrying 125lbs at $15. Close up at the last three - this step up in distance is the only query.

9
Lune D'excellence silk

Second run back. First-up after four months 2nd of 7 at Kempsey Mdn on November 7 over 6 ¼f, 1.5 len behind Fast Blue with 130lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up 3rd in a small field at Newcastle Super3y+ Mdn-Sw on May 26 over 7f, on a wet track, 4.5 len behind Blue Willow carrying 126lbs at $6. Steps up a level but the addition of blinkers may have a positive effect.

3rd Pick
9

Lune D'excellence

Jockey: Tommy Berry

Trainer: Kris Lees

J: Tommy Berry

T: Kris Lees

131---17%5/1

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after four months 2nd of 7 at Kempsey Mdn on November 7 over 6 ¼f, 1.5 len behind Fast Blue with 130lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up 3rd in a small field at Newcastle Super3y+ Mdn-Sw on May 26 over 7f, on a wet track, 4.5 len behind Blue Willow carrying 126lbs at $6. Steps up a level but the addition of blinkers may have a positive effect.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Condition Book

A list of upcoming races issued by the racing secretary, where the conditions of races to be run over the next few weeks are written.

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).