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4:05 AM

AU - Wyong - Race 4

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
6.7f
Maiden
Turf
GOOD 4
42.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PROVIDENCE (5) is a promising stayer fresh from a spell and on the Derby path. Made up plenty of ground in the last two runs of his Spring campaign, finishing second in the Moonee Valley Vase and fifth in the VRC Derby. Has trialled twice so should be forward enough to test this field despite 6 ¾f being way short of his optimal trip. MOORDYUP (11) got going late to clock in fifth when resuming over 6f here last start. Nicely placed out to this trip with that run under the belt. The claim for Mitch Stapleford brings her in beautifully. OVERSHADOW (12) overcame an early check to get up for third last start over 7f at the Kensington track. Major player out of gate one with winkers applied for the first time. SO D'ORO (15) has not raced since showing pace then tiring on debut over 6 ¼f at Newcastle last September. Has trialled twice and should run a cheeky race. GUS THE GREAT (2) went well first-up at Warwick Farm and will appreciate the longer journey today.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Providence silk

Colt back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 16 at Flemington in the G1 Vic Derby November 1 over 1/16m, 2.5 len behind Observer carrying 126lbs at $5. Previously first up, second last of 7 at Rosehill in the G3 Up&Coming August 30 over 6 ½f, soft track, 6 len behind Grand Prairie with 125lbs at $5. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign.

1st Pick
5

Providence

Jockey: Jason Collett

Trainer: Chris Waller

J: Jason Collett

T: Chris Waller

216---50%1/1

Analysis

Colt back from a spell of three-and-a-half months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last campaign fifth of 16 at Flemington in the G1 Vic Derby November 1 over 1/16m, 2.5 len behind Observer carrying 126lbs at $5. Previously first up, second last of 7 at Rosehill in the G3 Up&Coming August 30 over 6 ½f, soft track, 6 len behind Grand Prairie with 125lbs at $5. Expecting him to hit the ground running this campaign.

11
Moordyup silk

Third race start. First start 5th of 7 at Randwick Kensington 2yo F Mdn-Sw on July 16 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Custom with 123lbs at $18. Went for a break before returning got back early 5th of 8 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on January 25 over 6f, 3 len behind In Limbo carrying 125lbs at $8. Plenty of improvement to come.

2nd Pick
11

Moordyup

Jockey: Mitch Stapleford

Trainer: Joseph Pride

J: Mitch Stapleford

T: Joseph Pride

110---3%40/1

Analysis

Third race start. First start 5th of 7 at Randwick Kensington 2yo F Mdn-Sw on July 16 over 5 ½f, slow going 7 len behind Custom with 123lbs at $18. Went for a break before returning got back early 5th of 8 at this track F&M Mdn-Sw on January 25 over 6f, 3 len behind In Limbo carrying 125lbs at $8. Plenty of improvement to come.

12
Overshadow silk

Lining up for just third start. At debut, 5th of 8 at Canterbury 3yo F Mdn on December 12 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Mareth with 130lbs at $13. Second-up 3rd of 7 at Randwick Kensington Mdn on January 21 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Castagnola carrying 121lbs at $2.90. Progressing well and is a major player.

3rd Pick
12

Overshadow

Jockey: Tyler Schiller

Trainer: M, W & J Hawkes

J: Tyler Schiller

T: M, W & J Hawkes

105---13%7/1

Analysis

Lining up for just third start. At debut, 5th of 8 at Canterbury 3yo F Mdn on December 12 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 2.25 len behind Mareth with 130lbs at $13. Second-up 3rd of 7 at Randwick Kensington Mdn on January 21 over 7f, slow going 1.5 len behind Castagnola carrying 121lbs at $2.90. Progressing well and is a major player.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.