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3:55 AM

AU - Wyong - Race 3

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
6.7f
Class 1
Turf
GOOD 4
29.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

PURPLE ROSE (3) led all the way and gave nothing else a chance when resuming over 6 ½f at Canberra last start. The trial form leading up to that win was faultless so it came as no surprise. Won't find too many weaker Class 1 races so she is a big chance to go back-to-back. LIAMENA AVENUE (2) went to the front and defied all challengers to collect his maiden win over 6f at Queanbeyan a fortnight ago. Won't have any trouble with the extra trip and with the confidence up he is expected to run well. LAST DRUID (1) brings the genuine provincial form to the table, his latest offering a game second in a similar race here just ten days ago. Sure to give a good account. KERMALICIOUS (7) won a lowly maiden at Wauchope last time out when lining up for the 15th time. Hard to see her winning this but in a race with little depth she is one for the exotics. CARBROOK (6) has a terrible strike rate but is another worth including in trifectas and first fours.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
3
Purple Rose silk

Second run back. First-up after five months favourite, won by 2.25 len at Canberra Mdn-Sw November 4 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Silver Touch with 122lbs at $1.70. Previously second-up 3rd in a small field at Goulburn 3yo Mdn on May 22 over 6f, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind Faceoff with 127lbs at $51. Great chance to make it two in a row. Might have turned the corner this prep and is worth following.

1st Pick
3

Purple Rose

Jockey: Zac Lloyd

Trainer: John P Thompson

J: Zac Lloyd

T: John P Thompson

159---62%8/13

Analysis

Second run back. First-up after five months favourite, won by 2.25 len at Canberra Mdn-Sw November 4 over 6 ½f on a rain affected track defeating Silver Touch with 122lbs at $1.70. Previously second-up 3rd in a small field at Goulburn 3yo Mdn on May 22 over 6f, on rain affected going, 1.0 len behind Faceoff with 127lbs at $51. Great chance to make it two in a row. Might have turned the corner this prep and is worth following.

2
Liamena Avenue silk

Third-up today. Resuming held ground to the line 3rd of 9 at Sapphire Coast Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Zoucat with 130lbs at $2.60. Second run from a spell won by 0.9 len at Queanbeyan Mdn November 11 over 6f defeating Pick A Symphony carrying 118lbs at $4.20. Racing well. Starting to put it together and looks a big chance again.

2nd Pick
2

Liamena Avenue

Jockey: Mollie Fitzgerald

Trainer: Theresa Bateup

J: Mollie Fitzgerald

T: Theresa Bateup

125---11%17/2

Analysis

Third-up today. Resuming held ground to the line 3rd of 9 at Sapphire Coast Mdn-Sw on October 30 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Zoucat with 130lbs at $2.60. Second run from a spell won by 0.9 len at Queanbeyan Mdn November 11 over 6f defeating Pick A Symphony carrying 118lbs at $4.20. Racing well. Starting to put it together and looks a big chance again.

1
Last Druid silk

Recent form sound. Most recently raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 at this track Cg&E Cl1 on November 16 over 6 ¾f, 1.5 len behind Bold And Blazen carrying 125lbs at $16. The start before that 4th of 8 at this track Cg&E Cl1 on October 30 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Sociable carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Best figures read favourably so he must be considered.

3rd Pick
1

Last Druid

Jockey: Reece Jones

Trainer: Tracey Bartley

J: Reece Jones

T: Tracey Bartley

226---37%7/4

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 at this track Cg&E Cl1 on November 16 over 6 ¾f, 1.5 len behind Bold And Blazen carrying 125lbs at $16. The start before that 4th of 8 at this track Cg&E Cl1 on October 30 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Sociable carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Best figures read favourably so he must be considered.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Overlay

A horse going off at higher odds than his recent efforts show that he deserves.

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.