AU - Wagga - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

19.0K

VIEW

Verdict

HAY DEER (7) holds top billing after a controlled debut win at Goulburn, where she was well found in betting and beat On The Fly by just over two lengths over this distance. That gives her the cleanest 6f profile among the main chances and she looks capable of taking the next step. GRAYNITA (9) resumes with form that reads well for this grade, having placed in a Class 2 at Corowa before a sound BM58 sixth at Moruya when slow away and forced wide late. Her 6f record is not dominant, but the standard of her last campaign keeps her right in play. HAZARDOUS (6) was favourite on debut at Wodonga and won by two lengths from Magic Royale, so she brings immediate upside and proven good-track form. REBEL TERRA (5) has done little wrong in two starts, improving from an outsider's debut third to a Nowra Mdn win where he overcame a check and still finished with authority.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Controlled her debut at Goulburn, leading and beating On The Fly by just over two lengths over 6f after being near the top of betting. That was a mature first performance, and she is already proven at the distance. Proven at 6f and the one they have to beat. 1st Pick 7 Hay Deer Jockey: Braith Nock Trainer: Matthew Dale J: Braith Nock T: Matthew Dale	179	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Controlled her debut at Goulburn, leading and beating On The Fly by just over two lengths over 6f after being near the top of betting. That was a mature first performance, and she is already proven at the distance. Proven at 6f and the one they have to beat.
9	Returns from a lengthy spell with form that is strong enough for this. She was sixth in a BM58 at Moruya, beaten just over four lengths after beginning slowly and being forced wide late, and the Class 2 third at Corowa before that had substance despite a wide run. The 6f record is only fair, but she brings one of the deeper profiles. 2nd Pick 9 Graynita Jockey: Emma Ly Trainer: Matthew Dale J: Emma Ly T: Matthew Dale	102	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Returns from a lengthy spell with form that is strong enough for this. She was sixth in a BM58 at Moruya, beaten just over four lengths after beginning slowly and being forced wide late, and the Class 2 third at Corowa before that had substance despite a wide run. The 6f record is only fair, but she brings one of the deeper profiles.
6	Made an immediate impact at Wodonga, winning a Mdn by two lengths as favourite after settling midfield and finishing strongly on good ground. That professional debut gives her a solid platform, and one win from one start this season is the right profile for a filly still open to improvement. Wide draw is the query, but the upside is clear. 3rd Pick 6 Hazardous Jockey: Unknown Jockey Trainer: Craig Weeding J: Unknown Jockey T: Craig Weeding	137	-	-	-	31%	9/4
Analysis Made an immediate impact at Wodonga, winning a Mdn by two lengths as favourite after settling midfield and finishing strongly on good ground. That professional debut gives her a solid platform, and one win from one start this season is the right profile for a filly still open to improvement. Wide draw is the query, but the upside is clear.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.