AU - Wagga - Race 5

Thoroughbred

16 Runners

8.9f

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

17.9K

VIEW

Verdict

Competitive. MISS DEFY (9) appeals most, presenting off a comfortable win at Canberra in a CL1. She enjoyed the step up to 1 ¼m and Nick Heywood continues his association with the mare. She is well placed to go on with the job. MIDNIGHT AFFAIR (8) is also Canberra-trained and brings near misses from the Sapphire Coast and Canberra over 1m. They stack right up, and she maps for the run of the race. PRIDE OF JEZZA (3) was heavily supported winning here over a mile. He picked up impressively and the extra 1f will suit. Draws awkwardly but will come hard. PARABELLUM (12) had been knocking on the door before a plain effort at Wangaratta. May have had excuses and a better effort is likely. He always needs some luck, but is worth including at a price. The hopes don't end there.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Last start came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Canberra Cl1-Sw December 12 over 1 ¼m on a soft track defeating Bo Cougar with 128lbs at $8. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Canberra Cl1-Sw on December 5 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind De Louviere carrying 128lbs at $8. Hard to beat again. 1st Pick 9 Miss Defy Jockey: Nick Heywood Trainer: Luke Pepper J: Nick Heywood T: Luke Pepper	135	-	-	-	14%	13/2
Analysis Last start came from midfield and won by 1.3 len at Canberra Cl1-Sw December 12 over 1 ¼m on a soft track defeating Bo Cougar with 128lbs at $8. The race before that raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 9 at Canberra Cl1-Sw on December 5 over 1m, slow going 4.5 len behind De Louviere carrying 128lbs at $8. Hard to beat again.
8	Last start raced on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Canberra Bm60 on December 12 over 1m, slow going head behind Ohtani with 127lbs at $2.90. Before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Sapphire Coast Bm58 on December 1 over 1m, slow going 0.5 len behind Hard To Go Wrong carrying 128lbs at $3.50. Maps well and is knocking on the door. 2nd Pick 8 Midnight Affair Jockey: Jess Taylor Trainer: Nick Olive J: Jess Taylor T: Nick Olive	118	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Last start raced on the pace when 3rd of 8 at Canberra Bm60 on December 12 over 1m, slow going head behind Ohtani with 127lbs at $2.90. Before that made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 10 at Sapphire Coast Bm58 on December 1 over 1m, slow going 0.5 len behind Hard To Go Wrong carrying 128lbs at $3.50. Maps well and is knocking on the door.
3	Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 12 at this track Cl1 on November 29 over 7f, 2 len behind Ample Time with 129lbs at $2.90. Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.6 len at this track Ctry Cl1-Sw December 9 over 1m defeating Heart Balm with 130lbs at $2.50. Profiles nicely. Rates highly and should prove hard to beat. 3rd Pick 3 Pride Of Jezza Jockey: Jeff Penza Trainer: Gary Colvin J: Jeff Penza T: Gary Colvin	98	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 12 at this track Cl1 on November 29 over 7f, 2 len behind Ample Time with 129lbs at $2.90. Last start favourite, ran on from midfield and won by 0.6 len at this track Ctry Cl1-Sw December 9 over 1m defeating Heart Balm with 130lbs at $2.50. Profiles nicely. Rates highly and should prove hard to beat.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Colt

A male horse that is four years of age or under.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.