AU - Rockhampton - Race 8

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

15.1K

VIEW

Verdict

TEN CARAT LUCY (10) deserves a win. Has never missed the frame in seven starts here, and has placed 3/3 course and distance. Since winning on debut has racked up six straight minors. Leading rider back aboard who did win on her on debut and looks hard to beat again. ITZA MOTZA (11) settled well back last start and made little impact in the straight when seventh over this journey at Kilcoy. Best figures measure up nicely. Drops in weight and should play a big role. UNDERRATED (4) resumed two weeks ago over 5 ¼f at this track and was only beaten 1.2 lengths into fourth. Has never missed the placings at the second run back. Fitter this time. Hard to beat in this suitable race. HE'S THE ONE (3) hasn't been far away and is among the main chances. MOISSANITE (7) is overdue and is worth some thought again.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 31-day let-up. Last start 2nd in a small field at this track 0 - 60 on May 5 over 5 ½f, head behind Darth Invader with 123lbs at $1.40. The run before that 2nd of 7 at this track Bm58 on April 24 over 5 ¼f, slow going 0.9 len behind Neverenoughlego carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Long overdue and with leading rider back aboard gets chance. 1st Pick 10 Ten Carat Lucy Jockey: Ryan Wiggins Trainer: Clinton Taylor J: Ryan Wiggins T: Clinton Taylor	174	-	-	-	37%	7/4
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes here off a 31-day let-up. Last start 2nd in a small field at this track 0 - 60 on May 5 over 5 ½f, head behind Darth Invader with 123lbs at $1.40. The run before that 2nd of 7 at this track Bm58 on April 24 over 5 ¼f, slow going 0.9 len behind Neverenoughlego carrying 121lbs at $5.50. Long overdue and with leading rider back aboard gets chance.
11	Most recently second last of 8 at Kilcoy Bm60 on May 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Faithinher with 123lbs at $6. The race before that 5th of 10 at Ipswich 0 - 60 on May 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Wayburn carrying 123lbs at $16. Drops in weight and should play a big role. 2nd Pick 11 Itza Motza Jockey: Mckenzie Apel Trainer: Billy Healey J: Mckenzie Apel T: Billy Healey	146	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Most recently second last of 8 at Kilcoy Bm60 on May 22 over 6f, on a slow track, 5 len behind Faithinher with 123lbs at $6. The race before that 5th of 10 at Ipswich 0 - 60 on May 9 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.4 len behind Wayburn carrying 123lbs at $16. Drops in weight and should play a big role.
4	Second run back. First-up after five months 4th of 11 at this track Bm55 on May 21 over 5 ¼f, 1.2 len behind Scruffy with 129lbs at $13. Previously second-up won by 4 len at Mackay 0 - 55 October 15 over 6f defeating Holy Crown with 131lbs at $1.60. Strips fitter and is among the better hopes. 3rd Pick 4 Underrated Jockey: Tom Orr Trainer: Leaonie Horstman J: Tom Orr T: Leaonie Horstman	89	-	-	-	11%	17/2
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months 4th of 11 at this track Bm55 on May 21 over 5 ¼f, 1.2 len behind Scruffy with 129lbs at $13. Previously second-up won by 4 len at Mackay 0 - 55 October 15 over 6f defeating Holy Crown with 131lbs at $1.60. Strips fitter and is among the better hopes.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Dead Heat

Two or more horses finishing so close at the wire, that they were unable to be separated on a photo finish and deemed to have tied.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.