AU - Port Macquarie - Race 8

Thoroughbred

18 Runners

7.5f

Benchmark

Turf

SOFT 6

18.8K

VIEW

Verdict

MISCHIEVOUS MOLLY (14) doesn't win out of turn but finally draws a gate and boasts peaks that are good enough. Her record here is also good. Have to take seriously with Looker booked. STROBING (5) doesn't win out of turn but ran a strong race last time out over 1 ?m at this track, finishing a respectable fourth. Not a great deal tougher this time and he gets an important 4lbs claim to aid the big weight. YORIKIRI (9) made considerable ground in the run home last start to finish second over the mile at Taree. Solid record at this track and trip. Set to run well. BONUS TEMPUS (3) has been less effective in his last two against better opposition but did catch the eye three back with a strong closing effort at Rosehill. Will drift back again from the draw but if the pace is genuine he can launch off their backs late.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
14	Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 8 at Muswellbrook Cl3 on July 7 over 7 ¼f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Brazil with 121lbs at $6. Before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Tamworth Cl3 on June 26 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Cheval Chic carrying 121lbs at $7. Sets up well for her this time. 1st Pick 14 Mischievous Molly Jockey: Ben Looker Trainer: Wayne Wilkes J: Ben Looker T: Wayne Wilkes	108	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Most recently raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 6th of 8 at Muswellbrook Cl3 on July 7 over 7 ¼f, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Brazil with 121lbs at $6. Before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Tamworth Cl3 on June 26 over 7f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Cheval Chic carrying 121lbs at $7. Sets up well for her this time.
5	Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at this track Bm50 on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Farraige carrying 140lbs at $6.50. The start before that faded in the straight 7th of 9 at Taree Bm58 on June 30 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 9 len behind Farraige with 136lbs at $9.50. Only has to hold his form. 2nd Pick 5 Strobing Jockey: Amelia Heinrich Trainer: Tony Ball J: Amelia Heinrich T: Tony Ball	131	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 11 at this track Bm50 on July 4 over 1m, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Farraige carrying 140lbs at $6.50. The start before that faded in the straight 7th of 9 at Taree Bm58 on June 30 over 1 ¼m, on a wet track, 9 len behind Farraige with 136lbs at $9.50. Only has to hold his form.
9	Most recently 2nd of 12 at Taree Bm58 on July 21 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Argerich carrying 130lbs at $8. The race before that eased back early on 8th of 10 at Scone Bm58 on July 10 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Maples carrying 132lbs at $31. One of the key chances. 3rd Pick 9 Yorikiri Jockey: Nick Heywood Trainer: Paul Perry J: Nick Heywood T: Paul Perry	115	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Most recently 2nd of 12 at Taree Bm58 on July 21 over 1m, on heavy track, 0.8 len behind Argerich carrying 130lbs at $8. The race before that eased back early on 8th of 10 at Scone Bm58 on July 10 over 1 ¹/16m, on a slow track, 5.5 len behind Maples carrying 132lbs at $31. One of the key chances.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Show Wager

Betting on a horse to finish in the first three spots, which pays out the same whether they win or run second or third.

Exercise Rider

A rider built much like a jockey but is employed for exercising and working out horses in the morning.