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7:05 AM

AU - Port Hedland - Race 4

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Dirt
GOOD
14.0K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MYSTICAL MAN (2) stepped out in trip last start but was just fair, missing by 4.9L at this track. Back to this distance now is a big tick on his prior form, coming from the back to win here three starts ago. Drawn well here and finds a winnable assignment. OSCAR WINNER (3) couldn't bring up the hat-trick when beaten a long way over further at Roebourne last week. Back to the scene of his last win though and things look to set up favourably for him here. Can bounce back in a big way. HUNDRED YARDS (4) turned in a strong run two starts ago at Carnarvon then failed to back it up over 1 ?m at Roebourne last time when 11th. Looks better placed over this shorter trip so deserves another chance. ANOTHER NEPHEW (1) produced a good run two starts back to finish third but disappointed last time when out of the placings at Roebourne over 1 ?m. Has the class to produce a better result. MY DE GRECE (7) can play a leading role.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Mystical Man silk

Last start 5th of 8 at this track Rtg 68+ on July 12 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Zadar Rock carrying 117lbs at $7.50. The race before that 4th of 8 at Marble Bar Mbar Cup on July 4 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Another Nephew with 117lbs at $5.50. Can return to winning ways dropping back in distance.

1st Pick
2

Mystical Man

Jockey: Sharni Webster

Trainer: Ryan Hill

J: Sharni Webster

T: Ryan Hill

161---6%16/1

Analysis

Last start 5th of 8 at this track Rtg 68+ on July 12 over 1 ¼m, 5 len behind Zadar Rock carrying 117lbs at $7.50. The race before that 4th of 8 at Marble Bar Mbar Cup on July 4 over 1m, 3.5 len behind Another Nephew with 117lbs at $5.50. Can return to winning ways dropping back in distance.

3
Oscar Winner silk

At the latest run 9th of 12 at Roebourne Rtg 55+ on July 25 over 1m, 9 len behind Grundy Three Votes carrying 130lbs at $8. The race before that won by a nose at this track Rtg 56+ July 12 over 1m defeating Holdout carrying 120lbs at $6. He's better than he showed last start and can bounce back.

2nd Pick
3

Oscar Winner

Jockey: Holly Nottle

Trainer: Tom Pike

J: Holly Nottle

T: Tom Pike

114---17%5/1

Analysis

At the latest run 9th of 12 at Roebourne Rtg 55+ on July 25 over 1m, 9 len behind Grundy Three Votes carrying 130lbs at $8. The race before that won by a nose at this track Rtg 56+ July 12 over 1m defeating Holdout carrying 120lbs at $6. He's better than he showed last start and can bounce back.

4
Hundred Yards silk

Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 12 at Roebourne Rtg 55+ on July 25 over 1m, 16 len behind Grundy Three Votes with 127lbs at $2.90. The start before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 14 at Carnarvon Rtg 56+ on July 10 over 1m, nose behind Only Us with 123lbs at $8.50. Disappointing last time but he's better than that and can return to form.

3rd Pick
4

Hundred Yards

Jockey: Natasha Faithfull

Trainer: Brett Pope

J: Natasha Faithfull

T: Brett Pope

107---11%17/2

Analysis

Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading ran second last of 12 at Roebourne Rtg 55+ on July 25 over 1m, 16 len behind Grundy Three Votes with 127lbs at $2.90. The start before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 14 at Carnarvon Rtg 56+ on July 10 over 1m, nose behind Only Us with 123lbs at $8.50. Disappointing last time but he's better than that and can return to form.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Mare

A female horse of five years or more.

Fractions

The times recorded during the race; with timing starting just past the gate or when the gates open, then parroted for the quarter, half, three-quarters etc. Used as an indication of ability and speed.