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Resulted

AU - Pinjarra Scarpside - Race 6

Thoroughbred
15 Runners
9.9f
OPEN
Turf
GOOD 4
19.7K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WAR MATTERS (5) flew home at Ascot last start after jumping the race favourite, finishing 2.6L off the winner in a CL3. Out to 1 ¼m now looks a good move, as does getting to a spacious track like Pinjarra. Can sit much closer than we've seen in recent events and he looks a key player. FULMINE (13) stepped out to 1 5/16m last start and got the job done impressively at Belmont, running over the top to score by 0.8L. Fiore rides now, though she remains down in the weights and she's open to plenty of improvement again with this being just her fifth start. May need some luck from the inside barrier, but she's good enough to knock this over. DANDY'S GEM (6) wasn't beaten far last start over 1 ?m at Ascot when stepping into Saturday grade. Back to this level looks ideal now and the 7lbs claim gets her in nicely at the weights. Can sit handy and be hard to hold out. REEL SERENITY (9) can fire a shot third-up. MODELISTIC (7) can improve now third-up and out in trip.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
War Matters silk

Most recently 3rd of 10 at Ascot Cl3 on November 4 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Opal Tango with 129lbs at $3.50. The start before that 8th of 12 at Ascot 0Mwly on October 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Exquisite Taste with 121lbs at $13. Better run last time and will be tough to mow down out in trip.

1st Pick
5

War Matters

Jockey: Chris Parnham

Trainer: Darren Mcauliffe

J: Chris Parnham

T: Darren Mcauliffe

105---19%

Analysis

Most recently 3rd of 10 at Ascot Cl3 on November 4 over 1m, 2.5 len behind Opal Tango with 129lbs at $3.50. The start before that 8th of 12 at Ascot 0Mwly on October 25 over 1m, on a slow track, 4.5 len behind Exquisite Taste with 121lbs at $13. Better run last time and will be tough to mow down out in trip.

13
Fulmine silk

Last start won by 0.8 len at Belmont Park Mdn November 19 over 1 5/16m defeating Macho Arquero carrying 119lbs at $6.50. The run before that 7th of 12 at Bunbury Mdn on November 13 over 1 m, 6 len behind Herault with 119lbs at $21. Big win last start and can go on with the job.

2nd Pick
13

Fulmine

Jockey: Clint Johnston-Porter

Trainer: Adam Durrant

J: Clint Johnston-Porter

T: Adam Durrant

114---8%

Analysis

Last start won by 0.8 len at Belmont Park Mdn November 19 over 1 5/16m defeating Macho Arquero carrying 119lbs at $6.50. The run before that 7th of 12 at Bunbury Mdn on November 13 over 1 m, 6 len behind Herault with 119lbs at $21. Big win last start and can go on with the job.

6
Dandy's Gem silk

Last start 7th of 15 at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ on November 15 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Summer's Legacy with 120lbs at $9. Before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.5 len at Belmont Park Rtg 50+ October 29 over 1 5/16m defeating Startling Star with 126lbs at $5.50. Can bounce back to her best.

3rd Pick
6

Dandy's Gem

Jockey: Holly Nottle

Trainer: Embroja-Lee Altieri

J: Holly Nottle

T: Embroja-Lee Altieri

103---34%

Analysis

Last start 7th of 15 at Ascot Grad Hcp 60+ on November 15 over 1m, 1.75 len behind Summer's Legacy with 120lbs at $9. Before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 0.5 len at Belmont Park Rtg 50+ October 29 over 1 5/16m defeating Startling Star with 126lbs at $5.50. Can bounce back to her best.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.