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5:00 AM

AU - Nowra - Race 5

Thoroughbred
14 Runners
8f
Maiden
Turf
HEAVY 10
19.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

MASTER OF WAR (4) struggled to run the 1 ¼m out when fifth at Taree in the heavy going. Finished a narrow second two-back at Wyong and can bounce back quickly today. Go close. KHARIF (2) blinkers go on for this after he did a few things wrong when jumping in trip for a poor last over 1 ³/16m at Newcastle. Fourth-up now and look for a better effort with the blinkers going on. WILL THE THINKER (10) settled well back and covered plenty of ground with an even sixth over 7f at Wagga. Ready for the 1m and the map looks much kinder today. Each way. PROPHET'S PROMISE (5) returned in good style with a fast finishing third over 6 ½f at Canberra. Ready for the 1m and shouldn't be a Maiden for long. SO SUPERIOR (7) fitter now and can sneak into the minor money.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
4
Master Of War silk

Last start 5th of 11 at Taree Cl1-Sw on May 5 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 13 len behind Simply Gold carrying 125lbs at $3.80. The run before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 at Wyong Mdn on April 16 over 1m, head behind Sunset Belle with 127lbs at $4.40. Back in trip and class and deserves another chance.

1st Pick
4

Master Of War

Jockey: Ashley Morgan

Trainer: Matthew Smith

J: Ashley Morgan

T: Matthew Smith

198---34%2/1

Analysis

Last start 5th of 11 at Taree Cl1-Sw on May 5 over 1 ¼m, in the wet, 13 len behind Simply Gold carrying 125lbs at $3.80. The run before that raced on the pace when 2nd of 9 at Wyong Mdn on April 16 over 1m, head behind Sunset Belle with 127lbs at $4.40. Back in trip and class and deserves another chance.

2
Kharif silk

Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 10 at Newcastle Mdn-Sw on May 2 over 1 ³/16m, 9 len behind Canjustify carrying 123lbs at $10. The start before that 6th of 9 at Wyong Mdn on April 16 over 1m, 2 len behind Sunset Belle with 128lbs at $3.40. Blinkers go on and can turn things around in this class.

2nd Pick
2

Kharif

Jockey: Keagan Latham

Trainer: Ciaron Maher

J: Keagan Latham

T: Ciaron Maher

142---14%13/2

Analysis

Most recently raced behind the speed prior to fading to run last of 10 at Newcastle Mdn-Sw on May 2 over 1 ³/16m, 9 len behind Canjustify carrying 123lbs at $10. The start before that 6th of 9 at Wyong Mdn on April 16 over 1m, 2 len behind Sunset Belle with 128lbs at $3.40. Blinkers go on and can turn things around in this class.

10
Will The Thinker silk

At the latest run 6th of 13 at Wagga Ctry Mdn on April 30 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Reef Road carrying 130lbs at $8. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Queanbeyan Ctry Mdn-Sw on April 21 over 7 ¼f, 2 len behind Initiate with 129lbs at $3.30. Finds a nice race this time and looks hard to beat from the draw.

3rd Pick
10

Will The Thinker

Jockey: Pierre Boudvillain

Trainer: B Joseph & P & M Jones

J: Pierre Boudvillain

T: B Joseph & P & M Jones

122---20%4/1

Analysis

At the latest run 6th of 13 at Wagga Ctry Mdn on April 30 over 7f, 3.5 len behind Reef Road carrying 130lbs at $8. The start before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 11 at Queanbeyan Ctry Mdn-Sw on April 21 over 7 ¼f, 2 len behind Initiate with 129lbs at $3.30. Finds a nice race this time and looks hard to beat from the draw.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bleeder

A horse that bleeds due to a ruptured blood vessel during a race or workout. The medication Lasix can fix this problem.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.