AU - Nowra - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

5.5f

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 6

19.0K

VIEW

Verdict

BATTLE WARRIOR (8) returned from a let-up with a fading fourth over 5 ½f here on the heavy (9) surface. Molly Bourke stays on and strips fitter now. Each way contender from the sticky gate. CUBAN RAIN (3) gets a better set-up for this from the inside gate and will relish the drop in class. No match for the smart Aisle Two with a plugging seventh over 6f at Kembla Grange. Tongue-tie comes off and capable of taking this out. BRAVE XENA (9) slick debut winner over this course and distance on the heavy (9) track. Has the upside to test some of these. Worth thought. MISS MIKKI ISLE (7) is better than she showed last start at the Sapphire Coast and can bounce back today with the blinkers on.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Resuming after a break, only one run when favourite, won by 2.5 len at Leeton Ctry Mdn September 23 over 5 ¼f defeating Commanding Shadow with 125lbs at $1.80. Looks set for an effective return. 1st Pick 4 Howie Do It Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Danielle Seib J: Non Runner T: Danielle Seib	100	-	-	-	1%	1000/1
Analysis Resuming after a break, only one run when favourite, won by 2.5 len at Leeton Ctry Mdn September 23 over 5 ¼f defeating Commanding Shadow with 125lbs at $1.80. Looks set for an effective return.
8	Recent form sound. Last start 4th in a small field at this track Bm58 on February 8 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind La Mer Bleue carrying 128lbs at $2.90. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at this track Cl1 on December 14 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Sea Admiral carrying 121lbs at $3.70. Best form stacks up nicely and worth another chance. 2nd Pick 8 Battle Warrior Jockey: Molly Bourke Trainer: Amanda Turner J: Molly Bourke T: Amanda Turner	75	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start 4th in a small field at this track Bm58 on February 8 over 5 ½f, in the wet, 4.5 len behind La Mer Bleue carrying 128lbs at $2.90. Before that tracked the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 8 at this track Cl1 on December 14 over 5f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Sea Admiral carrying 121lbs at $3.70. Best form stacks up nicely and worth another chance.
9	At debut, won won by 1.3 len at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw February 8 over 5 ½f in heavy going defeating Millie's Memory with 125lbs at $5.50. Open to improvement and expected to run well again. 3rd Pick 9 Brave Xena Jockey: Keagan Latham Trainer: Luke Pepper J: Keagan Latham T: Luke Pepper	148	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis At debut, won won by 1.3 len at this track Ctry Mdn-Sw February 8 over 5 ½f in heavy going defeating Millie's Memory with 125lbs at $5.50. Open to improvement and expected to run well again.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.

Filly

A female horse that is four years of age or under.