AU - Nowra - Race 5

Thoroughbred

14 Runners

Class 1

Turf

SOFT 7

19.1K

VIEW

Verdict

Tough race. TESSY TEE (6) backed-up quickly when back in trip for an improved on-pace third over 5 ½f at Goulburn in C3 grade. Can hold a forward position and go close in this easier contest. ELLISMAYNE (3) was a month between runs when he came out quickly to go under narrowly in a tight finish when third over 6f at the Sapphire Coast. Looks hard to stop again from the inside gate. KOOL KADE (11) winkers go on today after he returned with a battling seventh over 5f at Kembla Grange. Ready for the extra trip in this weaker race. The chances don't end there. ZOU FORCE (8) displayed good ability in his maiden preparation and is a big watch fresh with Loy booked.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Last start set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 10 at Goulburn Cl3 on July 17 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Extrio with 125lbs at $8. The run before that ran last of 9 at Canberra Acton Cl2 on July 8 over 6f, 9 len behind Midnight Moose with 129lbs at $6. Capable on her day and will take catching here. 1st Pick 6 Tessy Tee Jockey: Alysha Collett Trainer: Richard Collett J: Alysha Collett T: Richard Collett	90	-	-	-	12%
Analysis Last start set the pace for much of the race 3rd of 10 at Goulburn Cl3 on July 17 over 5 ½f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind Extrio with 125lbs at $8. The run before that ran last of 9 at Canberra Acton Cl2 on July 8 over 6f, 9 len behind Midnight Moose with 129lbs at $6. Capable on her day and will take catching here.
3	Racing well recently. At the latest run rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 8 at Sapphire Coast Bm66 on July 26 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Hellinda with 128lbs at $3.40. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at Canberra Acton Bm60 on June 26 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Diamond Frost with 134lbs at $3.50. Not far away of late. One of the leading chances from the good gate. 2nd Pick 3 Ellismayne Jockey: Coriah Keatings Trainer: Nick Olive J: Coriah Keatings T: Nick Olive	164	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Racing well recently. At the latest run rolled along in front then was edged out late 3rd of 8 at Sapphire Coast Bm66 on July 26 over 6f, on a slow track, 0.7 len behind Hellinda with 128lbs at $3.40. The race before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at Canberra Acton Bm60 on June 26 over 6f, 0.9 len behind Diamond Frost with 134lbs at $3.50. Not far away of late. One of the leading chances from the good gate.
2	Last start ran second last of 7 at Gosford Cg&E Cl1 on July 18 over 6f, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Stability with 128lbs at $6.50. Before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Wyong Bm64 on July 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Written Scandal carrying 128lbs at $31. Keep safe after the good third two-back. 3rd Pick 2 October Star Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Richard Litt J: Non Runner T: Richard Litt	125	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Last start ran second last of 7 at Gosford Cg&E Cl1 on July 18 over 6f, on rain affected going, 9 len behind Stability with 128lbs at $6.50. Before that made some head-way from midfield, 3rd of 12 at Wyong Bm64 on July 4 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.75 len behind Written Scandal carrying 128lbs at $31. Keep safe after the good third two-back.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Bullet

A bullet, or bullet workout, is a workout that was clocked as the best time for a certain distance on a given day.