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Resulted

AU - Nowra - Race 4

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8f
Benchmark
Turf
SOFT 7
19.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

WINNING POINT (2) fitter after two runs back and gets map favours with the claim. Jumped quickly in trip second-up with a plugging sixth over 1 ?m at Grafton. Anywhere near her best could win this. FIERCENESS (4) deep into the campaign after he chipped away late when third in a solid rating race over this trip at Kembla Grange. Desperate for a fast tempo and not without each way claims. THAT A BOY (5) won well first-up, and has mixed his form in three runs since. Kept fresh again with winning rider going back aboard. Can take a hand in the finish. BRANNUM (6) thrown in the deep end again with a struggling ninth over 1m at Randwick in Midway class. Can do much better.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
2
Winning Point silk

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming got back early 7th of 11 at Grafton Sthgrafcup on July 12 over 1m, 6 len behind Mr Chaplin carrying 119lbs at $151. Last start 6th of 9 at Grafton Rural Cl6 on July 15 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Barazin with 121lbs at $11. Finding it hard to break through but is perfectly placed over this trip.

1st Pick
2

Winning Point

Jockey: Matt Kirk

Trainer: Michelle Ritchie

J: Matt Kirk

T: Michelle Ritchie

117---10%

Analysis

Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. Resuming got back early 7th of 11 at Grafton Sthgrafcup on July 12 over 1m, 6 len behind Mr Chaplin carrying 119lbs at $151. Last start 6th of 9 at Grafton Rural Cl6 on July 15 over 1m, 5.5 len behind Barazin with 121lbs at $11. Finding it hard to break through but is perfectly placed over this trip.

4
Fierceness silk

Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 9 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on July 16 over 1m, 7 len behind Aethelwulf carrying 127lbs at $26. The run before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 7 at Newcastle Cl1 on June 27 over 7f, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Free And Fast carrying 127lbs at $20. Made headway last time. Sure to run his usual honest race.

2nd Pick
4

Fierceness

Jockey: Ashley Morgan

Trainer: Matthew Smith

J: Ashley Morgan

T: Matthew Smith

131---42%

Analysis

Recent form sound. Most recently 3rd of 9 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on July 16 over 1m, 7 len behind Aethelwulf carrying 127lbs at $26. The run before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 7 at Newcastle Cl1 on June 27 over 7f, on heavy track, 1.3 len behind Free And Fast carrying 127lbs at $20. Made headway last time. Sure to run his usual honest race.

5
That A Boy silk

Returns from a 33-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 7 at Canberra Acton Bm65 on July 8 over 1 ¹/16m, 4.5 len behind Bombelleistic with 131lbs at $13. The run before that 4th of 10 at Canberra Acton Bm65 on June 12 over 1 ¹/16m, 0.9 len behind Tavijewel with 131lbs at $8.50. Capable of sharp improvement.

3rd Pick
5

That A Boy

Jockey: Damon Budler

Trainer: Paul Facoory

J: Damon Budler

T: Paul Facoory

82---8%

Analysis

Returns from a 33-day let-up. At the latest run 5th of 7 at Canberra Acton Bm65 on July 8 over 1 ¹/16m, 4.5 len behind Bombelleistic with 131lbs at $13. The run before that 4th of 10 at Canberra Acton Bm65 on June 12 over 1 ¹/16m, 0.9 len behind Tavijewel with 131lbs at $8.50. Capable of sharp improvement.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Stakes Race

Stakes Races are known as better class races, with higher purses and often accompanies by trophies.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

Blinkers

A hood worn on a horse’s head to limit side vision, which can improve concentration. Blinkers are added or removed to relax a horse or give it more focus.