AU - Newcastle - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Benchmark

Turf

GOOD 4

29.4K

VIEW

Verdict

OAKFIELD MAMSELLE (5) found 6 ¾f a bit short when fresh from a spell at the Beaumont track last start but she did put in some big strides late. Drops a couple of kilos to take on the boys and this is a more suitable trip. Can improve enough to take this out. THROTTLE RESPONSE (8) was history a long way from home last time out over 1 ³/16m at Canterbury. Has been in work for a long while so Waller keeping him going suggests that last run can be turned around. On his best form is the clear top pick on ratings. POWERHOUSE (6) started favourite and although out of the placings was only 1.2 lengths adrift when resuming over 6 ¾f at the Beaumont recently. Has only fired on heavy tracks to date but is lightly raced and deserves another chance. TASSRON (2) should be peaking third-up and is a big chance back at the provincials.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Second run back. First-up after five months 5th of 9 at Beaumont (Newcastle) F&M Bm64 on January 15 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Miss Busslinger carrying 133lbs at $19. Previously second-up ran last of 11 at Hawkesbury Bm64 on July 3 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Oh Golly Gosh carrying 129lbs at $61. Plenty of improvement to come - this is not out of reach. 1st Pick 5 Oakfield Mamselle Jockey: Aaron Bullock Trainer: Kris Lees J: Aaron Bullock T: Kris Lees	153	-	-	-	15%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after five months 5th of 9 at Beaumont (Newcastle) F&M Bm64 on January 15 over 6 ¾f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Miss Busslinger carrying 133lbs at $19. Previously second-up ran last of 11 at Hawkesbury Bm64 on July 3 over 1m, slow going 6 len behind Oh Golly Gosh carrying 129lbs at $61. Plenty of improvement to come - this is not out of reach.
8	Most recently 8th of 12 at Canterbury Bm64 on January 16 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Allegro Miss carrying 129lbs at $4.40. The race before that 4th of 9 at Gold Coast Cl2 on December 19 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Sir Lamorak with 128lbs at $1.85. Nicely placed and expected to go a lot better. 2nd Pick 8 Throttle Response Jockey: Lee Magorrian Trainer: Chris Waller J: Lee Magorrian T: Chris Waller	127	-	-	-	19%
Analysis Most recently 8th of 12 at Canterbury Bm64 on January 16 over 1 ³/16m, on a slow track, 9 len behind Allegro Miss carrying 129lbs at $4.40. The race before that 4th of 9 at Gold Coast Cl2 on December 19 over 1m, slow going 2.75 len behind Sir Lamorak with 128lbs at $1.85. Nicely placed and expected to go a lot better.
6	Second-up. First-up after four months 4th of 7 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Cg&E Bm64 on January 15 over 6 ¾f, slow going 1.2 len behind Angara carrying 129lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at Kembla Grange Mdn-Sw on August 7 over 6f, on heavy track, 1.0 len behind Barbarossa with 125lbs at $11. Fitter and is worth following up. 3rd Pick 6 Powerhouse Jockey: Keagan Latham Trainer: Peter Snowden J: Keagan Latham T: Peter Snowden	144	-	-	-	29%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after four months 4th of 7 at Beaumont (Newcastle) Cg&E Bm64 on January 15 over 6 ¾f, slow going 1.2 len behind Angara carrying 129lbs at $2.80. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at Kembla Grange Mdn-Sw on August 7 over 6f, on heavy track, 1.0 len behind Barbarossa with 125lbs at $11. Fitter and is worth following up.

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