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Resulted

AU - Newcastle - Race 6

Thoroughbred
9 Runners
7f
Benchmark
Turf
GOOD 4
29.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

Nice race with plenty of hopes. CALTSAR (1) returned with a barnstorming win at the Beaumont track then raced wide and should be forgiven his failure over this distance at Randwick last start. Promising four-year-old who has won three from five and with the help of the inside alley can make it four from six. AHELLBENDA (6) contested the same race as Caltsar at headquarters 17 days ago and was easily accounted for in the end after leading the field for home. Draws a better gate and can bounce back on her return to the provincials. Veteran GENERAL SOHO (3) hasn't won for a while but saves his best for Newcastle. Even effort over the mile at Warwick Farm last time. Can never be underestimated at this level. JAGERBOMB (7) didn't miss a place at the maiden campaign. Could go through the grades this time in.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Caltsar silk

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up won by a nose at Beaumont (Newcastle) Cg&E Bm64 December 26 over 6 ¾f defeating Wizards with 127lbs at $3.60. Second-up sat on the pace before fading 8th of 10 at Randwick Kensington Bm72 on January 14 over 7f, 7 len behind New Business with 129lbs at $9.50. Nicely placed back at the provincials and should be in the finish.

1st Pick
1

Caltsar

Jockey: Shannen Llewellyn

Trainer: Nathan Doyle

J: Shannen Llewellyn

T: Nathan Doyle

188---39%

Analysis

Third-up today and won third-up previously. First-up won by a nose at Beaumont (Newcastle) Cg&E Bm64 December 26 over 6 ¾f defeating Wizards with 127lbs at $3.60. Second-up sat on the pace before fading 8th of 10 at Randwick Kensington Bm72 on January 14 over 7f, 7 len behind New Business with 129lbs at $9.50. Nicely placed back at the provincials and should be in the finish.

6
Ahellbenda silk

Last start 7th of 10 at Randwick Kensington Bm72 on January 14 over 7f, 3.5 len behind New Business with 119lbs at $10. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Randwick Midway Bm72 on December 27 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Oui Oui Oui carrying 115lbs at $51. Sure to run well from a better draw this time.

2nd Pick
6

Ahellbenda

Jockey: Mitchell Bell

Trainer: Richard Litt

J: Mitchell Bell

T: Richard Litt

185---34%

Analysis

Last start 7th of 10 at Randwick Kensington Bm72 on January 14 over 7f, 3.5 len behind New Business with 119lbs at $10. The run before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at Randwick Midway Bm72 on December 27 over 7f, 0.9 len behind Oui Oui Oui carrying 115lbs at $51. Sure to run well from a better draw this time.

3
General Soho silk

Last start 5th of 10 at Warwick Farm E&G Bm72 on January 7 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Man Of Worth carrying 121lbs at $71. The race before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 10 at Canterbury Bm72 on December 12 over 1 ³/16m, 4.5 len behind Happiness carrying 129lbs at $21. Certainly worth another chance.

3rd Pick
3

General Soho

Jockey: Aaron Bullock

Trainer: Paul Perry

J: Aaron Bullock

T: Paul Perry

165---17%

Analysis

Last start 5th of 10 at Warwick Farm E&G Bm72 on January 7 over 1m, 2.75 len behind Man Of Worth carrying 121lbs at $71. The race before that sat behind the speed prior to fading 8th of 10 at Canterbury Bm72 on December 12 over 1 ³/16m, 4.5 len behind Happiness carrying 129lbs at $21. Certainly worth another chance.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.

Handicap

A race where a handicapper has assigned weights to be carried by all runners on the basis of their past racing efforts.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.