AU - Newcastle - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

6.5f

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

29.4K

VIEW

Verdict

EMBRACE THE WIND (5) gets the nod in a strong Class 1. Went okay on debut in a deep form race at Randwick then met with good support and was most impressive at the Beaumont track last start, coming from well back to easily account for his rivals at the end of 5 ¾f. Can see him improving further out to this trip. ALIGNED (1) ended off last campaign with a string of placings and should be ready to go off a couple of trials. Could be a big improver this time in. FIRE 'N' STONE (10) was a shade disappointing in the run home at Kembla last start. The stable persists with her maiden prep so give her another chance. PRINCE HARRISON (3) was readied with a win in a city trial so keep safe.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
5	Raced two times to date. At big odds at debut, 9th of 12 at Randwick 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 26 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Performance with 122lbs at $31. Last start favourite, settled well back, won by 2.5 len at Beaumont (Newcastle) Mid Mdn January 15 over 5 ¾f on a rain affected track defeating Tendi with 129lbs at $2. Terrific chance to make it two wins on the trot. 1st Pick 5 Embrace The Wind Jockey: Keagan Latham Trainer: John P Thompson J: Keagan Latham T: John P Thompson	157	-	-	-	36%
Analysis Raced two times to date. At big odds at debut, 9th of 12 at Randwick 3yo Mdn-Sw on December 26 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Performance with 122lbs at $31. Last start favourite, settled well back, won by 2.5 len at Beaumont (Newcastle) Mid Mdn January 15 over 5 ¾f on a rain affected track defeating Tendi with 129lbs at $2. Terrific chance to make it two wins on the trot.
4	Second run back. First-up after six months won by 2.75 len at Kembla Grange Super Mdn-Sw January 10 over 6 ½f defeating Rockthevelio with 123lbs at $2.35. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at this track 2yo Mdn on July 12 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind San Giovanni with 120lbs at $8. Only needs to hold that form to be winning again. Heading the right way and should measure up again. 2nd Pick 4 Watson Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott J: Non Runner T: Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	181	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months won by 2.75 len at Kembla Grange Super Mdn-Sw January 10 over 6 ½f defeating Rockthevelio with 123lbs at $2.35. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at this track 2yo Mdn on July 12 over 6f, on a slow track, 1.5 len behind San Giovanni with 120lbs at $8. Only needs to hold that form to be winning again. Heading the right way and should measure up again.
8	Was well-supported at debut, won won by 2.5 len at Beaumont (Newcastle) Super Mdn January 15 over 6 ¾f in soft going defeating Impuriteze carrying 125lbs at $2.30. Has upside and can make it back-to-back wins. 3rd Pick 8 Asilah Jockey: Non Runner Trainer: Chris Waller J: Non Runner T: Chris Waller	127	-	-	-	1%	Scratched
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, won won by 2.5 len at Beaumont (Newcastle) Super Mdn January 15 over 6 ¾f in soft going defeating Impuriteze carrying 125lbs at $2.30. Has upside and can make it back-to-back wins.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Objection

Claim of foul lodged by a jockey for perceived dangerous or illegal riding by a rival.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.