AU - Newcastle - Race 4

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

Class 1

Turf

GOOD 4

27.3K

VIEW

Verdict

COPACABANA (1) back in class today after resuming with a slashing third to Smashing Time over 6f at Kembla Grange from the sticky draw. Proven at this trip and his lone victory came second-up. The one to beat. VIKTOR (2) returned from a lengthy break with a respectable fourth over 7f at Kembla Grange. Was snagged back on that occasion and expect to see him race closer from the low draw. Shapes as the main danger. HIGHLY TEMPTED (8) Taree-trained gelding unlucky not to have a few more wins on his CV. Returned from a let-up with a slashing fourth over 6f at Rosehill in Highway grade. Drops further in weight with Grima's claim and gets his chance. ZOUCRATIC (5) has come back a much stronger gelding this time in and at his top for this. Sat on the speed when a game third over 7f at Kembla Grange. Lugging-bit goes on and worth thought.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
1	Second run back. First-up after a year made ground from midfield, 3rd of 13 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on November 4 over 6f, 2 len behind Smashing Time carrying 132lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up won by 1.75 len at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw August 29 2024 over 7f defeating Wexford Miss carrying 130lbs at $1.30. Frustrating gelding who looks set for a good preparation. 1st Pick 1 Copacabana Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: M, W & J Hawkes J: Zac Lloyd T: M, W & J Hawkes	155	-	-	-	67%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after a year made ground from midfield, 3rd of 13 at Kembla Grange Bm64 on November 4 over 6f, 2 len behind Smashing Time carrying 132lbs at $4.40. Previously second-up won by 1.75 len at this track 4yo+ Mdn-Sw August 29 2024 over 7f defeating Wexford Miss carrying 130lbs at $1.30. Frustrating gelding who looks set for a good preparation.
2	Second-up. First-up after six months 4th of 9 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on November 4 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Storm Season with 128lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at Randwick Kensington Super Mdn-Sw on March 26 over 6 ½f, 1.75 len behind Fleeting Spirit with 129lbs at $12. Will race closer from the good draw and improve sharply. 2nd Pick 2 Viktor Jockey: Dylan Gibbons Trainer: Bjorn Baker J: Dylan Gibbons T: Bjorn Baker	169	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Second-up. First-up after six months 4th of 9 at Kembla Grange Cl1 on November 4 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Storm Season with 128lbs at $7.50. Previously second-up 3rd of 8 at Randwick Kensington Super Mdn-Sw on March 26 over 6 ½f, 1.75 len behind Fleeting Spirit with 129lbs at $12. Will race closer from the good draw and improve sharply.
8	Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 5th of 12 at Taree Ctry Cl2-Sw on October 17 over 6 ¼f, 2.5 len behind De Forza carrying 126lbs at $3.70. Last start 4th of 12 at Rosehill Highway-C3 on November 8 over 6f, 2 len behind Lunaite with 119lbs at $31. Capable of a better showing. Back in grade and well placed with the claim. 3rd Pick 8 Highly Tempted Jockey: Siena Grima Trainer: Tony Ball J: Siena Grima T: Tony Ball	102	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Third-up today and placed third-up previously. First-up 5th of 12 at Taree Ctry Cl2-Sw on October 17 over 6 ¼f, 2.5 len behind De Forza carrying 126lbs at $3.70. Last start 4th of 12 at Rosehill Highway-C3 on November 8 over 6f, 2 len behind Lunaite with 119lbs at $31. Capable of a better showing. Back in grade and well placed with the claim.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Breeder

The owner of a horse’s dam – or mother - at the time a horse is foaled.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.