AU - Newcastle - Race 3

Thoroughbred

13 Runners

7.5f

Maiden

Turf

HEAVY 8

30.0K

VIEW

Verdict

Most of these have decent claims. SOLID (7) was ridden colder last start and responded by working home well to get up for second over 7 ¼f at Illawarra Grange. Gets a small gear change and should be ready to peak at the third run back. The hardest to beat will be CLANWILLIAM (1) who missed a maiden win by a whisker over 7f here first-up. Unsuited dropping back to 6 ½f at Warwick Farm last time but was only beaten a couple of lengths. This looks the ideal scenario at the third run back. BRITISH GEM (10) has attacked the line with purpose for a couple of close thirds in shorter races to kick off this prep. Gets blinkers for the first time and a bit more ground on a roomier track is ideal. FLYING PARTY (3) made it four minor placings from as many career runs when runner-up to I Am Adonis over 6 ½f at Wyong recently. Will enjoy getting out to this distance for the first time. The promising SUR NOVA CENTAURI (8) is trialling well and looks ready to make a strong comeback.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
7	Third-up today. Resuming led but faded 3rd of 11 at Hawkesbury Mdn on April 14 over 7f, 4 len behind Superata with 128lbs at $3. Last start 2nd of 7 at Illawarra Grange Cg&E Mdn-Sw on May 5 over 7 ¼f, 0.5 len behind Above The Law carrying 130lbs at $5.50. Ready to find peak form. 1st Pick 7 Solid Jockey: Tyler Schiller Trainer: M, W & J Hawkes J: Tyler Schiller T: M, W & J Hawkes	145	-	-	-	17%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming led but faded 3rd of 11 at Hawkesbury Mdn on April 14 over 7f, 4 len behind Superata with 128lbs at $3. Last start 2nd of 7 at Illawarra Grange Cg&E Mdn-Sw on May 5 over 7 ¼f, 0.5 len behind Above The Law carrying 130lbs at $5.50. Ready to find peak form.
1	Third-up today. Resuming made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track Mid Mdn on April 23 over 7f, slow going nose behind Lawless Lucy with 129lbs at $2.10. Second-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Warwick Farm Super 3yo Mdn on May 6 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Condone with 123lbs at $9. Big chance up to this trip in easier company. 2nd Pick 1 Clanwilliam Jockey: Zac Lloyd Trainer: David Payne J: Zac Lloyd T: David Payne	135	-	-	-	63%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track Mid Mdn on April 23 over 7f, slow going nose behind Lawless Lucy with 129lbs at $2.10. Second-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 5th of 7 at Warwick Farm Super 3yo Mdn on May 6 over 6 ½f, on a slow track, 2 len behind Condone with 123lbs at $9. Big chance up to this trip in easier company.
10	Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 9 at Scone Mdn on April 13 over 6 ½f, 1.1 len behind Harry's Boy carrying 123lbs at $2.40. Second run from a spell 3rd of 8 at Wyong Prov Mdn on April 30 over 6 ¾f, slow going long-neck behind Flying Grey with 121lbs at $3.60. Scratched from a couple of other recent engagements to be kept for this. 3rd Pick 10 British Gem Jockey: Kerrin Mcevoy Trainer: Kris Lees J: Kerrin Mcevoy T: Kris Lees	118	-	-	-	5%
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 3rd of 9 at Scone Mdn on April 13 over 6 ½f, 1.1 len behind Harry's Boy carrying 123lbs at $2.40. Second run from a spell 3rd of 8 at Wyong Prov Mdn on April 30 over 6 ¾f, slow going long-neck behind Flying Grey with 121lbs at $3.60. Scratched from a couple of other recent engagements to be kept for this.

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Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.