AU - Newcastle - Race 2

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

4.5f

Maiden

Turf

GOOD 4

39.1K

VIEW

Verdict

TRUMPER (6) nice type from the Kris Lees' yard gelded over the break. Fitted with the two excellent trials and no surprise to see him finish over the top of these. Tongue-tie goes on and sure to go close. PRECIOUS GIRL (11) comes here in peak form after the two courageous on-pace seconds on the provincial circuit. Andrew Gibbons keeps the ride and will prove hard to run down again over the 4 ½f. APOLLO RIDGE (1) resumed with the two solid trial wins under the belt for a fighting on-speed second over 5f at Kembla Grange. Gets map favours and shapes as a leading contender. AETERNUM (3) Tassort colt from a Nicconi mare on debut for the Kristen Buchanan yard. Has shown a turn of foot in both trial wins and ticks plenty of boxes.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
6	Resuming after a break, only one run when 4th in a small field at Taree Mdn on June 30 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Expido carrying 125lbs at $6. Gelded over the break and expected to sprint well fresh 1st Pick 6 Trumper Jockey: Adam Hyeronimus Trainer: Kris Lees J: Adam Hyeronimus T: Kris Lees	76	-	-	-	13%
Analysis Resuming after a break, only one run when 4th in a small field at Taree Mdn on June 30 over 5f, on a slow track, 3.5 len behind Expido carrying 125lbs at $6. Gelded over the break and expected to sprint well fresh
11	Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 11 at this track Super Mdn-Sw on October 18 over 4 ½f, slow going head behind Straight Sets carrying 121lbs at $11. Second-up gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 8 at Gosford 3yo Mdn on November 6 over 5f, nose behind Fine Wine with 122lbs at $3.20. Well placed. Nice filly who looks close to shedding her maiden tag. 2nd Pick 11 Precious Girl Jockey: Andrew Gibbons Trainer: Denim Wynen J: Andrew Gibbons T: Denim Wynen	194	-	-	-	23%
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming 2nd of 11 at this track Super Mdn-Sw on October 18 over 4 ½f, slow going head behind Straight Sets carrying 121lbs at $11. Second-up gave a sight but was run down late 2nd of 8 at Gosford 3yo Mdn on November 6 over 5f, nose behind Fine Wine with 122lbs at $3.20. Well placed. Nice filly who looks close to shedding her maiden tag.
1	Second run back. First-up after six months 2nd in a small field at Kembla Grange Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 5f, 2 len behind Hinzel with 130lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up ran last of 7 at Scone Mdn on May 16 over 5f, on a slow track, 10 len behind I Am Brave with 129lbs at $3.30. Solid return and doesn't need to improve much to win this. 3rd Pick 1 Apollo Ridge Jockey: Tom Sherry Trainer: Annabel & Rob Archibald J: Tom Sherry T: Annabel & Rob Archibald	158	-	-	-	50%
Analysis Second run back. First-up after six months 2nd in a small field at Kembla Grange Mdn-Sw on November 4 over 5f, 2 len behind Hinzel with 130lbs at $2.70. Previously second-up ran last of 7 at Scone Mdn on May 16 over 5f, on a slow track, 10 len behind I Am Brave with 129lbs at $3.30. Solid return and doesn't need to improve much to win this.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.

Pari-Mutuel

A pool style wagering system, where all money input through betting is divided among those with winning tickets (save for various deductions by the track operators).