Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 9

Thoroughbred

11 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

398.5K

VIEW

Verdict

HELENE FEELING (2) raced for just the second time in three months last start and did a fair job to hold on for fourth over 1m at Sha Tin. Returns to Happy Valley where has won six and placed six times from 20 visits. Fitter for that last run and looks the testing material. SILVERY BREEZE (8) has been kept fresh since a tough win in a Class 3 over this course and distance five weeks ago. Taking on some better types this evening but drops a huge 6.5kgs. Worth following. SPEED DRAGON (1) returns from a seven-week let-up. Form prior to the break was impressive including a Gr 2 placing in the 1 ?m Centenary Vase at Sha Tin. Has won three from five here and goes well fresh so must be considered. BEAUTY ALLIANCE (10) steps up in grade on his last start win but the figures say he can run another forward race. PACKING ANGEL (9) turned in an eye-catcher at Sha Tin last start and is one to watch for in the dying stages.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Last start 4th of 11 at Sha Tin on May 3 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Sky Jewellery with 134lbs at $33. The race before that 7th of 14 at Sha Tin on March 22 over 7f, 6 len behind Winning Ovation with 134lbs at $62. Can run a better race this time at his favoured circuit. 1st Pick 2 Helene Feeling Jockey: Ethan Brown Trainer: Danny Shum J: Ethan Brown T: Danny Shum	166	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Last start 4th of 11 at Sha Tin on May 3 over 1m, slow going 3 len behind Sky Jewellery with 134lbs at $33. The race before that 7th of 14 at Sha Tin on March 22 over 7f, 6 len behind Winning Ovation with 134lbs at $62. Can run a better race this time at his favoured circuit.
8	Recent form sound. Comes off a 35 day let-up. Last start ran on from midfield and won by a head at this track April 8 over 1 m defeating Sky Vino carrying 134lbs at $4.20. The race before that 4th of 12 at this track on March 4 over 1 m, 2 len behind Fivefortwo with 134lbs at $3.40. In a great frame of mind and will go well again. 2nd Pick 8 Silvery Breeze Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: David Eustace J: Andrea Atzeni T: David Eustace	94	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Comes off a 35 day let-up. Last start ran on from midfield and won by a head at this track April 8 over 1 m defeating Sky Vino carrying 134lbs at $4.20. The race before that 4th of 12 at this track on March 4 over 1 m, 2 len behind Fivefortwo with 134lbs at $3.40. In a great frame of mind and will go well again.
1	Form hard to fault. Comes off a 52 day let-up. Last start 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on March 22 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Winning Ovation with 132lbs at $25. The start before that 2nd of 7 at Sha Tin in the G3 Centenary Vase on February 8 over 1m, 2 len behind Numbers carrying 126lbs at $4.90. Consistent performer who is a threat as always. 3rd Pick 1 Speed Dragon Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: K W Lui J: Vincent Ho T: K W Lui	79	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Comes off a 52 day let-up. Last start 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on March 22 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Winning Ovation with 132lbs at $25. The start before that 2nd of 7 at Sha Tin in the G3 Centenary Vase on February 8 over 1m, 2 len behind Numbers carrying 126lbs at $4.90. Consistent performer who is a threat as always.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Yielding

A rain-soaked turf condition often producing a slick or heavy course and slower finish times.