Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 7

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

362.0K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

JUMBO TREASURE (9) has the right profile to take beating after winning two back in C3 company at Sha Tin, then finishing fourth as favourite behind Ka Ying Attack when beaten only a length and held up at a vital stage. His record at this track and distance is sound, the weight relief helps. The one to beat. RISING FORCE (3) is the most reliable danger on exposed 6f figures, having been beaten just under a length last start. Yuen's in form and with a favourable barrier, he can land the knockout blow. TURQUOISE VELOCITY (4) has finished second at both runs this campaign and again commands respect, though he has had chances as a fancied runner. LUCKY WITH YOU (1) comes back from G3 company and is proven at 6f, so the easier grade gives him a genuine place-to-winning foothold if he sharpens up.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
9	Had excuses when fourth to Ka Ying Attack at Sha Tin last start, beaten a length as favourite after being short of room near the top of the straight. That followed a Class 3 win at Sha Tin, where he beat Public Attention by half a length at big odds. Weight relief and track-and-distance form make him the one to beat. 1st Pick 9 Jumbo Treasure Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: W K Mo J: Derek Leung T: W K Mo	99	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Had excuses when fourth to Ka Ying Attack at Sha Tin last start, beaten a length as favourite after being short of room near the top of the straight. That followed a Class 3 win at Sha Tin, where he beat Public Attention by half a length at big odds. Weight relief and track-and-distance form make him the one to beat.
3	Closed in on a win last start when third to Ka Ying Attack at Sha Tin, beaten just under a length after pressing forward and being headed late. The run prior was only seventh behind Victor The Winner, but he was still within just under three lengths and had market respect. Strong chance if he reproduces that latest effort. 2nd Pick 3 Rising Force Jockey: Nichola Yuen Trainer: P F Yiu J: Nichola Yuen T: P F Yiu	150	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Closed in on a win last start when third to Ka Ying Attack at Sha Tin, beaten just under a length after pressing forward and being headed late. The run prior was only seventh behind Victor The Winner, but he was still within just under three lengths and had market respect. Strong chance if he reproduces that latest effort.
4	Has returned in excellent order with two seconds at Sha Tin, most recently beaten just under a length by Ka Ying Attack after being well placed into the straight. He was also favourite when a length behind Victor The Winner start prior, so the near misses are starting to build. Has been costly, but the form is clearly good enough. 3rd Pick 4 Turquoise Velocity Jockey: Karis Teetan Trainer: K W Lui J: Karis Teetan T: K W Lui	102	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Has returned in excellent order with two seconds at Sha Tin, most recently beaten just under a length by Ka Ying Attack after being well placed into the straight. He was also favourite when a length behind Victor The Winner start prior, so the near misses are starting to build. Has been costly, but the form is clearly good enough.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.