Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 5

Thoroughbred

10 Runners

8.9f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

261.8K

VIEW

Verdict

ACE WAR (8) won two in a row at Class 4 level then stepped up to this grade last start and just failed to match the finishing burst of this evening's rival The Auspicious. Has thrived since joining the Newnham yard and he looks perfectly placed to return to the winner's circle. LIVEANDLETLIVE (1) led but couldn't hold off Ace War and The Auspicious here three weeks ago. It's been over a year since the last win. Should enjoy a nice run on the speed and will be there at the business end again. THE AUSPICIOUS (6) staged a form reversal to get the cash here last time over a couple of this evening's key rivals. Up sharply in the weights but gets a cosy run from gate two and will be strong late again. KEEFY (2) brings a different form line and he has each-way claims based on some sound recent efforts.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Racing well recently. Most recently settled towards the rear 2nd of 12 at this track on April 22 over 1m, 0.5 len behind The Auspicious with 119lbs at $3. The run before that favourite, won by 2.25 len at this track March 18 over 1m defeating Kingly Demeanor with 129lbs at $1.70. As honest as they come and is the testing material again. 1st Pick 8 Ace War Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Zac Purton T: Mark Newnham	148	-	-	-	34%	2/1
Analysis Racing well recently. Most recently settled towards the rear 2nd of 12 at this track on April 22 over 1m, 0.5 len behind The Auspicious with 119lbs at $3. The run before that favourite, won by 2.25 len at this track March 18 over 1m defeating Kingly Demeanor with 129lbs at $1.70. As honest as they come and is the testing material again.
1	Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at this track on April 22 over 1m, 1.3 len behind The Auspicious with 130lbs at $4.10. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Sha Tin on April 6 over 1 ¼m, 0.8 len behind Aerodynamics carrying 130lbs at $3.90. On-pacer who is one of the major hopes. 2nd Pick 1 Liveandletlive Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: A S Cruz J: Hugh Bowman T: A S Cruz	115	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Last start held ground to the line 3rd of 12 at this track on April 22 over 1m, 1.3 len behind The Auspicious with 130lbs at $4.10. The start before that sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 2nd of 11 at Sha Tin on April 6 over 1 ¼m, 0.8 len behind Aerodynamics carrying 130lbs at $3.90. On-pacer who is one of the major hopes.
6	Most recently won by 0.5 len at this track April 22 over 1m defeating Ace War carrying 119lbs at $10. The race before that eased back early on 6th of 11 at Sha Tin on April 6 over 1 ¼m, 2.5 len behind Aerodynamics carrying 121lbs at $9.80. Will go back again but is sure to be charging home late. 3rd Pick 6 The Auspicious Jockey: Alex Badel Trainer: Y S Tsui J: Alex Badel T: Y S Tsui	106	-	-	-	13%	7/1
Analysis Most recently won by 0.5 len at this track April 22 over 1m defeating Ace War carrying 119lbs at $10. The race before that eased back early on 6th of 11 at Sha Tin on April 6 over 1 ¼m, 2.5 len behind Aerodynamics carrying 121lbs at $9.80. Will go back again but is sure to be charging home late.

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A medication for the treatment of bleeding in horses that is legal in North America, but not all worldwide jurisdictions.