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12:10 noon

Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 4

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Restricted
Turf
150.3K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

ACE POWER (7) wound up strongly last time out to finish just over a length from the winner in third over 6f at this track. He has had a quiet trial since then and will have the services of Zac Purton from a superior gate this time. On top for us. SUPERB BOY (4) was out of the money two runs back then again missed the frame last start over 6f at this track, finishing not far away in sixth. He has his share of talent. Hard to beat in this suitable race. MEGA BONUS (6) finished less than a length from the winner in fourth last start after being prominent at the corner over 6f at this track. Each way claims this time. FATAL BLOW (1) missed the placings two runs back then battled on well enough last start when finishing sixth over 6f at this track. Better than recent efforts suggest so include him in all combinations.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Ace Power silk

Returns from a 35-day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 12 at this track on December 3 over 6f, 1.3 len behind California Blitz with 127lbs at $20. The race before that 10th of 12 at this track on October 22 over 6f, 6 len behind Silver Spurs carrying 131lbs at $12. Can improve again. Major player.

1st Pick
7

Ace Power

Jockey: Zac Purton

Trainer: D Whyte

J: Zac Purton

T: D Whyte

97---19%9/2

Analysis

Returns from a 35-day let-up. Most recently 3rd of 12 at this track on December 3 over 6f, 1.3 len behind California Blitz with 127lbs at $20. The race before that 10th of 12 at this track on October 22 over 6f, 6 len behind Silver Spurs carrying 131lbs at $12. Can improve again. Major player.

4
Superb Boy silk

Most recently 6th of 12 at this track on December 17 over 6f, 2 len behind Flash Star carrying 133lbs at $12. The run before that 6th of 14 at Sha Tin on November 30 over 5f, 3 len behind Packing Glory with 134lbs at $32. Rates highly and is right in the mix again.

2nd Pick
4

Superb Boy

Jockey: Maxime Guyon

Trainer: Y S Tsui

J: Maxime Guyon

T: Y S Tsui

132---23%7/2

Analysis

Most recently 6th of 12 at this track on December 17 over 6f, 2 len behind Flash Star carrying 133lbs at $12. The run before that 6th of 14 at Sha Tin on November 30 over 5f, 3 len behind Packing Glory with 134lbs at $32. Rates highly and is right in the mix again.

6
Mega Bonus silk

Last start 4th of 12 at this track on December 17 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Flash Star carrying 129lbs at $18. The start before that led to the turn then faded 7th of 12 at this track on November 26 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Meowth with 125lbs at $17. Expected to feature.

3rd Pick
6

Mega Bonus

Jockey: Derek Leung

Trainer: P F Yiu

J: Derek Leung

T: P F Yiu

109---13%7/1

Analysis

Last start 4th of 12 at this track on December 17 over 6f, 0.8 len behind Flash Star carrying 129lbs at $18. The start before that led to the turn then faded 7th of 12 at this track on November 26 over 6f, 2.5 len behind Meowth with 125lbs at $17. Expected to feature.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Stewards

The officials watching every race at a meet to enforce the rules.

Also Eligible

A horse that is entered but does not draw into the body of the field due to too many entries, and thus is not permitted to start unless there are enough scratches to shrink the field size.