Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

150.2K

VIEW

Verdict

KING GLORIOSO (7) got the job done two back before a 2L defeat over this course and distance 21 days ago. He has the speed to roll across from out wide and he looks to have struck a favourable race based on his recent figures. Can bounce back to winning ways. PERFECT GENERAL (2) comes here on the fresh side and has trialled well since his latest effort back in June. The wide draw may see him back in the run, but he's got some strong efforts under his belt at this track and trip last season. Can make an impact on resumption. GIDDY UP (6) has disappointed in his two runs this campaign but has been back to the trials since his latest effort 34 days ago. Back to this track and trip where he's raced well before and a return to form is on the cards. CALIFORNIA DEEPLY (5) looks well suited back to this track and trip with J-Mac on. Can land the knockout blow.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 12 at this track on November 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Team Team Folks with 125lbs at $18. The run before that won by a nose at this track October 15 over 6f defeating Thunder Prince with 122lbs at $10. Encouraging effort last start. Can bounce back. 1st Pick 7 King Glorioso Jockey: Luke Ferraris Trainer: D Whyte J: Luke Ferraris T: D Whyte	119	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run 4th of 12 at this track on November 12 over 6f, 2 len behind Team Team Folks with 125lbs at $18. The run before that won by a nose at this track October 15 over 6f defeating Thunder Prince with 122lbs at $10. Encouraging effort last start. Can bounce back.
2	Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign sixth of 14 at Sha Tin June 22 over 5f, 6 len behind Lightness Of Music with 134lbs at $24. First up last campaign third of 12 at this track January 22 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Happy Trio carrying 134lbs at $5.60. Has the talent to take this out. 2nd Pick 2 Perfect General Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Vincent Ho T: Caspar Fownes	72	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Has won previously first-up and resumes here after a break of five-and-a-half months. Finished off last campaign sixth of 14 at Sha Tin June 22 over 5f, 6 len behind Lightness Of Music with 134lbs at $24. First up last campaign third of 12 at this track January 22 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Happy Trio carrying 134lbs at $5.60. Has the talent to take this out.
6	Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 8th of 12 at Sha Tin on October 12 over 6f, 3 len behind Oldtown carrying 130lbs at $11. Last start led to the turn then faded 8th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on October 30 over 6f, 5 len behind Vulcanus carrying 129lbs at $21. Take catching. 3rd Pick 6 Giddy Up Jockey: M Yeung Trainer: Jamie Richards J: M Yeung T: Jamie Richards	82	-	-	-	9%	11/1
Analysis Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming 8th of 12 at Sha Tin on October 12 over 6f, 3 len behind Oldtown carrying 130lbs at $11. Last start led to the turn then faded 8th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on October 30 over 6f, 5 len behind Vulcanus carrying 129lbs at $21. Take catching.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.