Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

150.4K

VIEW

Verdict

ROMAN CROWN (10) finished off well from midfield to finish 1L off the winner at this track and trip. This looks to shape similarly for him and he's knocking on the door of another win. Can build on his latest effort to finish one better. NEWBORN MIRACLE (11) was 1.3L off the winner at this track and trip last time out in a strong effort. He was off a 32-day break there and will no doubt be better for that performance. Lightly raced and rates a leading chance on that effort. FATAL BLOW (1) disappointed last time out on the All Weather surface when getting well back and failing to get into the race. He drops back in class today and returns to the scene of his two career wins. Everything points to a forward showing. ALABAMA SONG (3) is better than he showed last time out and can improve.

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Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	At the latest run ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on November 5 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Tourbillon Golfer with 123lbs at $5.80. Before that 6th of 14 at Sha Tin on October 4 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Strathpeffer carrying 123lbs at $12. Genuine type who is among the leading hopes. 1st Pick 10 Roman Crown Jockey: Hollie Doyle Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Hollie Doyle T: Pierre Ng	92	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis At the latest run ran on from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on November 5 over 6f, 1.0 len behind Tourbillon Golfer with 123lbs at $5.80. Before that 6th of 14 at Sha Tin on October 4 over 7f, 2.25 len behind Strathpeffer carrying 123lbs at $12. Genuine type who is among the leading hopes.
11	Last start 4th of 12 at this track on November 5 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Run Run Smart carrying 120lbs at $9.30. Before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 14 at Sha Tin on October 4 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Strathpeffer with 122lbs at $12. Capable of sharp improvement. 2nd Pick 11 Newborn Miracle Jockey: Matthew Chadwick Trainer: P F Yiu J: Matthew Chadwick T: P F Yiu	64	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Last start 4th of 12 at this track on November 5 over 6f, 1.3 len behind Run Run Smart carrying 120lbs at $9.30. Before that raced behind the speed prior to fading 7th of 14 at Sha Tin on October 4 over 7f, 2.75 len behind Strathpeffer with 122lbs at $12. Capable of sharp improvement.
1	Third-up today. Resuming crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on October 12 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Mr Energia with 118lbs at $15. Last start 9th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on October 30 over 6f, 7 len behind Super Joy N Fun carrying 117lbs at $4.60. Can improve. Has the ability and a bold showing is expected. 3rd Pick 1 Fatal Blow Jockey: Luke Ferraris Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Luke Ferraris T: Mark Newnham	107	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis Third-up today. Resuming crossed from a wide gate to settle just off the pace but gave ground when 4th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on October 12 over 6f, 4.5 len behind Mr Energia with 118lbs at $15. Last start 9th of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on October 30 over 6f, 7 len behind Super Joy N Fun carrying 117lbs at $4.60. Can improve. Has the ability and a bold showing is expected.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Bolt

A sudden veering to the inside or outside rail, often caused by the horse spooking or shying from something.

Trifecta

A wager picking the first, second and third horses in the exact order. A trifecta box means paying more to ensure the horses can finish in any order in the top three spots.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.