Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.8K

VIEW

Verdict

WINNING MONEY (8) has led them up his past couple and has only been caught late, finishing 0.3L off the winner most recently. He'll have the speed to work across from out wide and if he can get a breather through the middle stages, he'll be very hard to mow down. LAKESHORE HERO (6) got the job done by a half-length here fresh and has turned in a quiet trial since then. The wide draw is a query, although he did storm home from beyond midfield to win fresh. Can repeat the dose without surprising. GOLDEN LUCK (10) can land just off the speed from a good draw after a slightly disappointing effort last start. His run here two back was great and a return to that level would see him right in the finish again. VICTOR THE RAPID (2) flew home last start dropping back to this grade last time out. Likely to get back from the draw, but can storm home over the top.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
8	Recent form sound. At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 12 at this track on December 10 over 6f, neck behind Free Pony carrying 122lbs at $3.90. Before that crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 12 at this track on November 19 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Lakeshore Hero carrying 121lbs at $7.40. A win is on the cards. 1st Pick 8 Winning Money Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: K W Lui J: Zac Purton T: K W Lui	142	-	-	-	36%	9/5
Analysis Recent form sound. At the latest run tried to lead throughout but was claimed late 3rd of 12 at this track on December 10 over 6f, neck behind Free Pony carrying 122lbs at $3.90. Before that crossed from a wide gate to lead but couldn't hold on when 2nd of 12 at this track on November 19 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Lakeshore Hero carrying 121lbs at $7.40. A win is on the cards.
6	Second-up. First-up after five months won by 0.5 len at this track November 19 over 6f defeating Winning Money with 118lbs at $5. Previously second-up 9th of 14 at Sha Tin on June 14 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Harold Win with 122lbs at $7.90. Looks the testing material. 2nd Pick 6 Lakeshore Hero Jockey: Andrea Atzeni Trainer: David Hall J: Andrea Atzeni T: David Hall	98	-	-	-	4%	24/1
Analysis Second-up. First-up after five months won by 0.5 len at this track November 19 over 6f defeating Winning Money with 118lbs at $5. Previously second-up 9th of 14 at Sha Tin on June 14 over 7f, 5.5 len behind Harold Win with 122lbs at $7.90. Looks the testing material.
10	Most recently 5th of 12 at this track on November 26 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Somelovefromabove with 121lbs at $4.50. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at this track on October 22 over 6f, neck behind Silver Spurs with 122lbs at $11. Hard to beat on his best form. 3rd Pick 10 Golden Luck Jockey: Hollie Doyle Trainer: Manfred Man J: Hollie Doyle T: Manfred Man	112	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Most recently 5th of 12 at this track on November 26 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Somelovefromabove with 121lbs at $4.50. Before that held ground to the line 2nd of 12 at this track on October 22 over 6f, neck behind Silver Spurs with 122lbs at $11. Hard to beat on his best form.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Minus Pool

A pari-mutuel pool – typically a show pool - where one horse is so heavily bet that after deductions there is not enough money left to cover the prescribed minimum on each bet.

Synthetic Surface

A racing surface comprised of silica sand and fibers, such as recycled carpet or spandex. The mixture is then sealed with wax.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.