Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

150.5K

VIEW

Verdict

CORLEONE (4) was knocking on the door of a maiden win last season but just couldn't stick his nose in front. His two trials coming into this have been very good and Bowman hops back in the saddle for his return to racing. Maps to get every chance and can get the job done this time. CHAIN OF GOLD (2) stormed home from well back to finish 1.5L off the winner as a $12 chance here 21 days ago. Draws softer this time and can sit much closer in the run today. Ticking along nicely and he can end his winning drought. STORMI (11) was only fair on resumption when in the market. He's better than he showed there however and looks an improver with that run under his belt. May get back in the run but if they roll along up front,. he'll be coming home with a wet sail. CONSPIRACY WITNESS (9) just missed last start a fortnight ago in an improved performance. Right in this if he can run up to his latest effort.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
4	Resuming. Finished off last preparation fifth of 11 at this track January 15 over 1 m, 3.5 len behind Take Action carrying 129lbs at $5.20. On debut third of 14 at Sha Tin October 20 2024 over 7f, 3 len behind Win Speed with 127lbs at $29. This is an ideal race to kick off. Expecting a bright start to the campaign. 1st Pick 4 Corleone Jockey: Hugh Bowman Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Hugh Bowman T: Caspar Fownes	82	-	-	-	19%	9/2
Analysis Resuming. Finished off last preparation fifth of 11 at this track January 15 over 1 m, 3.5 len behind Take Action carrying 129lbs at $5.20. On debut third of 14 at Sha Tin October 20 2024 over 7f, 3 len behind Win Speed with 127lbs at $29. This is an ideal race to kick off. Expecting a bright start to the campaign.
2	Most recently made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 12 at this track on October 15 over 1 m, 1.5 len behind Celtic Times with 132lbs at $12. The run before that 6th of 12 at this track on September 10 over 1 m, 2.75 len behind Viva Graciousness with 131lbs at $16. Going well and rates highly. 2nd Pick 2 Chain Of Gold Jockey: Derek Leung Trainer: W K Mo J: Derek Leung T: W K Mo	127	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Most recently made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 12 at this track on October 15 over 1 m, 1.5 len behind Celtic Times with 132lbs at $12. The run before that 6th of 12 at this track on September 10 over 1 m, 2.75 len behind Viva Graciousness with 131lbs at $16. Going well and rates highly.
11	Second run back. First-up after three months 8th of 12 at this track on October 8 over 1 m, 4 len behind Sturdy Ruby with 119lbs at $8.40. Previously second-up ran last of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on January 12 over 6f, 8 len behind Mask Rider carrying 123lbs at $30. Fitter and can break through. 3rd Pick 11 Stormi Jockey: Jerry Chau Trainer: W K Mo J: Jerry Chau T: W K Mo	88	-	-	-	8%	12/1
Analysis Second run back. First-up after three months 8th of 12 at this track on October 8 over 1 m, 4 len behind Sturdy Ruby with 119lbs at $8.40. Previously second-up ran last of 12 at Sha Tin All Weather on January 12 over 6f, 8 len behind Mask Rider carrying 123lbs at $30. Fitter and can break through.

Upcoming Races

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Exacta

A bet selecting the first and second horses in a race in the correct order. An exacta box refers to paying a little more to ensure they can finish in either order.

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.