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Resulted

Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 4

Thoroughbred
8 Runners
8.2f
Restricted
Turf
YIELDING
149.2K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LUCKY YEAR (5) has been beaten under a length his past few, missing out by 0.8L at Sha Tin in his past two. Comes to Happy Valley for the first time, but he draws well and his recent form stacks right up. Racing in good order and this presents as a golden opportunity to notch up his maiden win. FORZA TORO (1) missed on the wet deck last start but was building nicely prior to that. He jumped favourite there and has since trialled well under Moreira. Been a while between drinks, but he placed in his only try at this track and trip. Can end his winning drought. STURDY RUBY (2) has had a quiet trial since missing by 0.5L at this track and trip last time out. He maps for a kind run this time around and his best form has come at this track and trip. Can go one better. PRECISION HOPE (6) can go one better today without surprising.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
5
Lucky Year silk

Racing well recently. Last start 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on June 21 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Flying Knight carrying 127lbs at $5.70. The race before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on June 7 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Ace carrying 126lbs at $9.70. Expected to feature.

1st Pick
5

Lucky Year

Jockey: Andrea Atzeni

Trainer: C H Yip

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: C H Yip

101---36%

Analysis

Racing well recently. Last start 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on June 21 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Flying Knight carrying 127lbs at $5.70. The race before that ran on from midfield, 3rd of 14 at Sha Tin on June 7 over 1m, 0.8 len behind Ace carrying 126lbs at $9.70. Expected to feature.

1
Forza Toro silk

Comes off a 52 day let-up. Last start 5th of 14 at Sha Tin on May 17 over 7f, 6 len behind Run Run Smart carrying 133lbs at $3.30. The race before that 2nd of 14 at Sha Tin on April 12 over 7f, head behind Alabama Song with 131lbs at $6.30. Can improve on the latest effort and gets his chance.

2nd Pick
1

Forza Toro

Jockey: Joao Moreira

Trainer: Caspar Fownes

J: Joao Moreira

T: Caspar Fownes

106---34%

Analysis

Comes off a 52 day let-up. Last start 5th of 14 at Sha Tin on May 17 over 7f, 6 len behind Run Run Smart carrying 133lbs at $3.30. The race before that 2nd of 14 at Sha Tin on April 12 over 7f, head behind Alabama Song with 131lbs at $6.30. Can improve on the latest effort and gets his chance.

2
Sturdy Ruby silk

At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on June 10 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind Viva Firecracker with 131lbs at $16. Before that got back early 8th of 12 at this track on May 13 over 1 m, 2.75 len behind The Azure carrying 134lbs at $24. Well placed to play a major role.

3rd Pick
2

Sturdy Ruby

Jockey: Vincent Ho

Trainer: Manfred Man

J: Vincent Ho

T: Manfred Man

118---13%

Analysis

At the latest run came from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on June 10 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind Viva Firecracker with 131lbs at $16. Before that got back early 8th of 12 at this track on May 13 over 1 m, 2.75 len behind The Azure carrying 134lbs at $24. Well placed to play a major role.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.