Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 4

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

150.3K

VIEW

Verdict

TOP TIME (1) flew home from the back of the pack at this track and trip 28 days ago, finishing 1.5L off the winner. Purton hops in the saddle now in a big push for his chances. Might need some luck from the draw, but if he can run up to what he did last start, he can go one better. MADE FOR LIFE (5) jumped favourite on debut over 6f at Sha Tin, beaten 2L after sitting close to the speed. He jumps right up to 1 m now which is the query, though he has shown plenty of class through his early career. Can make an impression. GLORIOUS JOURNEY (2) settled back in the run last start and mowed down his rivals over this track and trip. He can settle closer in the run this time around from a good draw and he can make an impression. METAL KING (12) can fly home from the back of the pack as he did last time out. Building nicely and is not to be discounted.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
1	Last start made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 11 at this track on November 19 over 1 m, 1.5 len behind Glorious Journey with 134lbs at $8.40. The start before that 5th of 11 at this track on October 22 over 1 m, 2.5 len behind South Star with 120lbs at $8.70. Can improve again. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time. 1st Pick 1 Top Time Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: W Y So J: Zac Purton T: W Y So	176	-	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Last start made significant ground from the rear of the field 2nd of 11 at this track on November 19 over 1 m, 1.5 len behind Glorious Journey with 134lbs at $8.40. The start before that 5th of 11 at this track on October 22 over 1 m, 2.5 len behind South Star with 120lbs at $8.70. Can improve again. Big chance on the back of that encouraging effort last time.
5	Was well-supported at debut, 4th of 14 at Sha Tin on November 23 over 6f, 2 len behind Mabubu carrying 127lbs at $2.30. Sure to play a major role. 2nd Pick 5 Made For Life Jockey: Brenton Avdulla Trainer: Mark Newnham J: Brenton Avdulla T: Mark Newnham	73	-	-	-	10%	9/1
Analysis Was well-supported at debut, 4th of 14 at Sha Tin on November 23 over 6f, 2 len behind Mabubu carrying 127lbs at $2.30. Sure to play a major role.
2	Recent form sound. Last start won by 1.5 len at this track November 19 over 1 m defeating Top Time with 123lbs at $7.70. The run before that 4th of 14 at Sha Tin All Weather on October 30 over 1 m, 1.3 len behind Leslie carrying 125lbs at $8.70. Hard to beat again. 3rd Pick 2 Glorious Journey Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: F C Lor J: Vincent Ho T: F C Lor	125	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Recent form sound. Last start won by 1.5 len at this track November 19 over 1 m defeating Top Time with 123lbs at $7.70. The run before that 4th of 14 at Sha Tin All Weather on October 30 over 1 m, 1.3 len behind Leslie carrying 125lbs at $8.70. Hard to beat again.

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