Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 3

Thoroughbred

9 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

261.8K

VIEW

Verdict

ROMANTIC GLADIATOR (7) has taken a while to find form this prep but the last run was a good sign, working home well to be beaten half a length over this course and distance. Draws the fence and Purton goes on for the first time so there is plenty to like about his prospects. ALL ROUND WINNER (4) settled back in the field then finished too well for Romantic Gladiator here last time out. Meets him 2.5kgs worse for a 0.5 length margin so the task is harder. Does like racing here though and cannot be dismissed. FIVEFORTWO (1) easily took out a similar race here two back then had a six-week break before a midfield finish most recently. Can return to peak form with that last run under the belt. PRAY FOR JUSTICE (6) has been kept fresh since a sound return over 7f at Sha Tin a month ago. On trial at this trip but is lightly raced and has plenty of upside. IGOR STRAVINSKY (3) struggled in a better race last start. Can bounce back in this more suitable assignment.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
7	Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track on April 15 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind All Round Winner with 121lbs at $12. The race before that 6th of 12 at this track on April 8 over 1 m, 3 len behind Silvery Breeze with 121lbs at $25. Positive signs last time and he is ready to run a big race. 1st Pick 7 Romantic Gladiator Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: Danny Shum J: Zac Purton T: Danny Shum	212	-	-	-	58%	3/4
Analysis Last start made ground from midfield, 2nd of 11 at this track on April 15 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind All Round Winner with 121lbs at $12. The race before that 6th of 12 at this track on April 8 over 1 m, 3 len behind Silvery Breeze with 121lbs at $25. Positive signs last time and he is ready to run a big race.
4	Form hard to fault. Last start won by 0.5 len at this track April 15 over 1 m defeating Romantic Gladiator with 118lbs at $6. The run before that sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on April 8 over 1 m, 1.5 len behind Golden Brilliant carrying 134lbs at $6.30. Back in form and expected to be in the finish again. 2nd Pick 4 All Round Winner Jockey: Harry Bentley Trainer: David A Hayes J: Harry Bentley T: David A Hayes	114	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Form hard to fault. Last start won by 0.5 len at this track April 15 over 1 m defeating Romantic Gladiator with 118lbs at $6. The run before that sat on speed throughout when 3rd of 12 at this track on April 8 over 1 m, 1.5 len behind Golden Brilliant carrying 134lbs at $6.30. Back in form and expected to be in the finish again.
1	Most recently 5th of 11 at this track on April 15 over 1 m, 2.75 len behind All Round Winner with 133lbs at $8.80. The start before that won by 2 len at this track March 4 over 1 m defeating Samarkand with 121lbs at $7.50. Finally draws a decent gate and can bounce back. 3rd Pick 1 Fivefortwo Jockey: Luke Ferraris Trainer: K W Lui J: Luke Ferraris T: K W Lui	127	-	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Most recently 5th of 11 at this track on April 15 over 1 m, 2.75 len behind All Round Winner with 133lbs at $8.80. The start before that won by 2 len at this track March 4 over 1 m defeating Samarkand with 121lbs at $7.50. Finally draws a decent gate and can bounce back.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Scratch

A horse is a scratch when injury or other necessity causes it to be withdrawn from the race.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Bug

An apprentice jockey.