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Resulted

Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 3

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
111.6K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

VIGOR ELLEEGANT (7) looks ideally placed to put in a big run here, mapping perfectly from barrier 3 and is returning off an encouraging trial. He has already won once from two attempts in Class 5 and gets Jerry Chau back aboard, making him the one to beat. ORIENTAL SURPRISE (11) remains a maiden but has been consistent around the placings and won a recent trial. Barrier 2 gives him every chance to finally break through fresh up. WINNING DIAMOND (10) could improve sharply under new trainer David Eustace after a better trial. He has also dropped in the ratings and has the ability to feature despite the wide gate. LEAN MASTER (2) resumes after a short break and has since won a trial on the Sha Tin AW. He should be competitive with any improvement. LAKESHORE HERO (1) has a strong fresh record, winning first-up last season, while Purton stays aboard after riding him into second at his final run. He deserves plenty of respect on an each-way basis.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
7
Vigor Elleegant silk

Resuming today after a break of ten weeks. Finished off last campaign fifth of 12 at Sha Tin July 4 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Noble Fans carrying 133lbs at $20. Previously first up, fifth of 11 at this track September 10 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Bienvenue carrying 121lbs at $25. Excellent chance.

1st Pick
7

Vigor Elleegant

Jockey: Jerry Chau

Trainer: Manfred Man

J: Jerry Chau

T: Manfred Man

62---17%

Analysis

Resuming today after a break of ten weeks. Finished off last campaign fifth of 12 at Sha Tin July 4 over 6f, 2.25 len behind Noble Fans carrying 133lbs at $20. Previously first up, fifth of 11 at this track September 10 over 6f, 2.75 len behind Bienvenue carrying 121lbs at $25. Excellent chance.

11
Oriental Surprise silk

Resuming after ten weeks in the paddock. Finished off last campaign second of 14 at Sha Tin July 1 over 1m, a nose behind Frantanck with 120lbs at $6.90. When resuming last campaign fourth of 14 at Sha Tin Rating 40 September 7 over 6f, 1.0 len behind You'remyeverything carrying 133lbs at $10. Winning hope.

2nd Pick
11

Oriental Surprise

Jockey: Harry Bentley

Trainer: David A Hayes

J: Harry Bentley

T: David A Hayes

110---20%

Analysis

Resuming after ten weeks in the paddock. Finished off last campaign second of 14 at Sha Tin July 1 over 1m, a nose behind Frantanck with 120lbs at $6.90. When resuming last campaign fourth of 14 at Sha Tin Rating 40 September 7 over 6f, 1.0 len behind You'remyeverything carrying 133lbs at $10. Winning hope.

10
Winning Diamond silk

Resumes. Finished off last preparation ninth of 14 at Sha Tin June 27 over 6f, 4 len behind Circuit Victory carrying 127lbs at $11. When resuming last campaign 11th of 14 at Sha Tin November 9 over 5f, 7 len behind Sight Hermoso carrying 123lbs at $14. Sure to be ready to run well.

3rd Pick
10

Winning Diamond

Jockey: Andrea Atzeni

Trainer: David Eustace

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: David Eustace

48---17%

Analysis

Resumes. Finished off last preparation ninth of 14 at Sha Tin June 27 over 6f, 4 len behind Circuit Victory carrying 127lbs at $11. When resuming last campaign 11th of 14 at Sha Tin November 9 over 5f, 7 len behind Sight Hermoso carrying 123lbs at $14. Sure to be ready to run well.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Paddock

The area where horses gather before the race to be saddled and paraded for the public.