Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 3

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

8.2f

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

149.8K

VIEW

Verdict

QUICK CONTRIBUTION (10) just missed over 6f fresh before nothing went right at Sha Tin last time out when favourite. Out to this trip now looks ideal and the booking of Purton suggests he's re3ady to fire. Maps to get every chance off the inside and can shed the maiden tag. QUANTUM PATCH (2) flew home to just missed two back before a 2L defeat last time out over this course and distance. Guyon rides now and although he's likely to get back from the wide draw, he can be finishing off strongly. RAGGA BOMB (6) was 1.3L off the winner last start at this track and trip and has been back to the trials since that effort. The cheekpieces go on now and he looks well placed from the inside alley. Ticks a few boxes and can play a leading role. OUR LUCKY GLORY (11) hasn't been far away in his past couple, including at this track and trip two back. Can be in the finish once more.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
10	Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 11 at this track on November 2 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Dan Attack with 120lbs at $5.90. Last start 8th of 14 at Sha Tin on December 7 over 7f, 6 len behind Wukong Jewellery carrying 121lbs at $4.50. Great chance to atone. 1st Pick 10 Quick Contribution Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: David Hall J: Zac Purton T: David Hall	115	-	-	-	23%	7/2
Analysis Third-up today. First-up 2nd of 11 at this track on November 2 over 6f, 0.5 len behind Dan Attack with 120lbs at $5.90. Last start 8th of 14 at Sha Tin on December 7 over 7f, 6 len behind Wukong Jewellery carrying 121lbs at $4.50. Great chance to atone.
2	At the latest run 5th of 12 at this track on December 10 over 1 m, 2 len behind Corleone carrying 133lbs at $10. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track on November 12 over 1 m, 1.5 len behind Turin Warrior with 134lbs at $4.40. Has ability and is expected to run well. 2nd Pick 2 Quantum Patch Jockey: Maxime Guyon Trainer: Pierre Ng J: Maxime Guyon T: Pierre Ng	128	-	-	-	15%	6/1
Analysis At the latest run 5th of 12 at this track on December 10 over 1 m, 2 len behind Corleone carrying 133lbs at $10. The race before that 5th of 12 at this track on November 12 over 1 m, 1.5 len behind Turin Warrior with 134lbs at $4.40. Has ability and is expected to run well.
6	Comes off a 34 day let-up. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on November 19 over 1 m, 1.3 len behind Samarkand carrying 121lbs at $7.60. Before that 8th of 12 at this track on November 12 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Beauty Glory carrying 127lbs at $31. Working up to a win. Sure to be tough to beat from an inside barrier. 3rd Pick 6 Ragga Bomb Jockey: E C W Wong Trainer: David Eustace J: E C W Wong T: David Eustace	78	-	-	-	25%	3/1
Analysis Comes off a 34 day let-up. At the latest run made some head-way from midfield, 2nd of 12 at this track on November 19 over 1 m, 1.3 len behind Samarkand carrying 121lbs at $7.60. Before that 8th of 12 at this track on November 12 over 1 m, 2.25 len behind Beauty Glory carrying 127lbs at $31. Working up to a win. Sure to be tough to beat from an inside barrier.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Tack

The equipment the horse wears, including saddle and bridle. A jockey typically has their own racing saddle, placed on each horse they ride just before the race.

Firm

A dry turf course, equal to a ‘fast’ dirt track.

State-Bred

A horse bred in a particular state and thus eligible to race in restricted state-bred races. These can be anything from maiden races to stakes events.