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11:10 AM

Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 2

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
6f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.4K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

NEBRASKAN (12) had a six-week let-up then returned with a commanding win over this course and distance last start, leading from the outset. Steps up in grade but drops 6kgs to compensate. Drawn to go forward again and will be tough to reel in. The speedy WORLD HERO (4) has won two in a row in similar races to this, the latest four weeks ago when he worked across from the same gate he draws this evening to win with authority. Getting up in the weights now but his form cannot be faulted. FORERUNNER (8) is going well with a couple of strong efforts here at this trip prior to a five-week break. Right in contention with the help of gate two. CHARMING BABE (2) has been disappointing but a key jockey switch could turn things around.
numberFire Picks
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
12
Nebraskan silk

Most recently won by 1.3 len at this track April 22 over 6f defeating Team Happy carrying 131lbs at $4.70. The race before that 8th of 12 at this track on March 11 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Elegant Life with 133lbs at $11. Back in form and can make it two on the bounce.

1st Pick
12

Nebraskan

Jockey: Andrea Atzeni

Trainer: John Size

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: John Size

166---15%6/1

Analysis

Most recently won by 1.3 len at this track April 22 over 6f defeating Team Happy carrying 131lbs at $4.70. The race before that 8th of 12 at this track on March 11 over 5f, 3.5 len behind Elegant Life with 133lbs at $11. Back in form and can make it two on the bounce.

4
World Hero silk

Racing well recently. At the latest run won by 1.0 len at this track April 15 over 6f defeating Argento Ocean carrying 123lbs at $8.20. Before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.75 len at this track March 18 over 6f defeating Superb King carrying 116lbs at $4. In rare form and should be in the finish again despite a tricky gate.

2nd Pick
4

World Hero

Jockey: Harry Bentley

Trainer: David A Hayes

J: Harry Bentley

T: David A Hayes

110---9%11/1

Analysis

Racing well recently. At the latest run won by 1.0 len at this track April 15 over 6f defeating Argento Ocean carrying 123lbs at $8.20. Before that raced right near the speed and boxed on, won by 1.75 len at this track March 18 over 6f defeating Superb King carrying 116lbs at $4. In rare form and should be in the finish again despite a tricky gate.

8
Forerunner silk

Recent form sound. Returns from a 35-day let-up. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at this track on April 8 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Smart Fighter with 125lbs at $17. Before that 2nd of 12 at this track on March 11 over 6f, nose behind Team Team Folks carrying 123lbs at $21. Draws a nice gate and must be considered.

3rd Pick
8

Forerunner

Jockey: Alex Badel

Trainer: W K Mo

J: Alex Badel

T: W K Mo

75---15%6/1

Analysis

Recent form sound. Returns from a 35-day let-up. Most recently sat on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 12 at this track on April 8 over 6f, 1.5 len behind Smart Fighter with 125lbs at $17. Before that 2nd of 12 at this track on March 11 over 6f, nose behind Team Team Folks carrying 123lbs at $21. Draws a nice gate and must be considered.

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Maiden Race

A race exclusively for horses who have not previously won.

Fast

A dry dirt track that is typically an ideal racing surface.

Furlong

One furlong is an eighth of a mile.