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5:15 AM

Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 2

Thoroughbred
12 Runners
8.2f
Restricted
Turf
GOOD
149.1K

All race stats and comments are provided by numberfire. Complex algorithms are used to calculate stats like the power rating. Numberfire picks are provided by horse racing experts that work with numberfire.

Verdict

LUCK IS BACK (9) is the one to beat after going under by only a head at this track last start when sent out favourite. His previous fourth behind Sunday's Serenade was sound and he has the recent consistency to justify top billing. EXCEED THE LIMIT (1) was also beaten a neck here last start and rates strongly on recent form, with his late work suggesting he is close to another win despite carrying the top weight. VERMILION TEMPEST (8) was within a length at this venue after being bumped and has Caspar Fownes' strong track profile in his corner, but seven previous starts around 1 m without a placing keeps the query alive. FLYING BOOM (5) brings the best last-start Sha Tin closing effort, beaten half a length by Jolly Brilliant, and his one win and three placings from seven starts at the distance make him a genuine danger if he handles this venue first time.
Horse Stats
#/SilkHorse#/HorsePower RatingHigh SpeedWin %Top 3%Win ProbOdds
1
Exceed The Limit silk
2nd Pick
1

Exceed The Limit

Jockey: Lyle Hewitson

Trainer: Danny Shum

J: Lyle Hewitson

T: Danny Shum

144---15%6/1
2
Class silk
2

Class

Jockey: James Orman

Trainer: P F Yiu

J: James Orman

T: P F Yiu

93---12%8/1
3
Grit Spirit silk
3

Grit Spirit

Jockey: Jerry Chau

Trainer: F C Lor

J: Jerry Chau

T: F C Lor

72---12%8/1
4
Sturdy Ruby silk
4

Sturdy Ruby

Jockey: Luke Ferraris

Trainer: Manfred Man

J: Luke Ferraris

T: Manfred Man

121---10%9/1
5
Flying Boom silk
5

Flying Boom

Jockey: Matthew Poon

Trainer: C W Chang

J: Matthew Poon

T: C W Chang

91---19%9/2
6
Take Action silk
6

Take Action

Jockey: Brenton Avdulla

Trainer: John Size

J: Brenton Avdulla

T: John Size

110---12%8/1
7
Quantum Wukong silk
7

Quantum Wukong

Jockey: Angus Chung

Trainer: A S Cruz

J: Angus Chung

T: A S Cruz

72---15%6/1
8
Vermilion Tempest silk
3rd Pick
8

Vermilion Tempest

Jockey: Alex Badel

Trainer: Caspar Fownes

J: Alex Badel

T: Caspar Fownes

108---10%9/1
9
Luck Is Back silk
1st Pick
9

Luck Is Back

Jockey: Vincent Ho

Trainer: Pierre Ng

J: Vincent Ho

T: Pierre Ng

115---20%4/1
10
Aca Fast silk
10

Aca Fast

Jockey: Britney Wong

Trainer: David Hall

J: Britney Wong

T: David Hall

47---4%32/1
11
Poet's Reign silk
11

Poet's Reign

Jockey: Richard Kingscote

Trainer: W Y So

J: Richard Kingscote

T: W Y So

62---3%36/1
12
Smiling Champion silk
12

Smiling Champion

Jockey: M Yeung

Trainer: D Whyte

J: M Yeung

T: D Whyte

46---3%35/1

Horse Racing Basic Terms

Sloppy

A wet racetrack condition, typically with a firm base and water settling on top.

Apprentice

A new jockey who has not ridden a certain number of winners in a specified time period.

Bobble/Stumble

A slip or a duck from a horse trying to leave the starting gates, often caused by the surface giving way under the feet. This can range from a mild misstep to a stumble down to their knees.