Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 10

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

237.1K

VIEW

R10

Verdict

FLYING WROTE (2) is the one to beat on the strength of two close runs this campaign, finishing fourth then fifth at this track while staying within a length and a half of the winner. He is third-up, has a strong 6f base and his record with Jerry Chau adds further confidence. THE HEIR (1) has the winning form, having scored at this track last start as a well-supported favourite, and his track-and-distance record is hard to ignore despite the wide draw. PACKING KING (11) can rebound sharply from a plain Sha Tin AW result if he gets back to the turf form that produced a close third at Sha Tin two runs ago. DANICA'S CHOICE (4) returns from a five-week freshening after beating Leading Agility here as favourite, and his consistency at this track and trip keeps him firmly among the better winning hopes.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
2	Has been building neatly this campaign, beaten just over a length first-up at this track before finishing fifth to Bright Day, beaten a length and a half, again at this venue. He has been respected in two open markets and now reaches his third run back with four wins and seven placings from 25 starts at this track and distance. Strong jockey-horse record helps make him the one to beat. 1st Pick 2 Flying Wrote Jockey: Jerry Chau Trainer: A S Cruz J: Jerry Chau T: A S Cruz	158	-	-	-	17%	5/1
Analysis Has been building neatly this campaign, beaten just over a length first-up at this track before finishing fifth to Bright Day, beaten a length and a half, again at this venue. He has been respected in two open markets and now reaches his third run back with four wins and seven placings from 25 starts at this track and distance. Strong jockey-horse record helps make him the one to beat.
1	Comes off a well-earned win at this track, finishing strongly to beat Live Wire by just under two lengths as a well-supported favourite. The start prior at Sha Tin also had merit when fifth to Absolute Heart, beaten just under two lengths at generous odds. The wide draw is the query, but the form says he is a major player. 2nd Pick 1 The Heir Jockey: Vincent Ho Trainer: Caspar Fownes J: Vincent Ho T: Caspar Fownes	117	-	-	-	12%	8/1
Analysis Comes off a well-earned win at this track, finishing strongly to beat Live Wire by just under two lengths as a well-supported favourite. The start prior at Sha Tin also had merit when fifth to Absolute Heart, beaten just under two lengths at generous odds. The wide draw is the query, but the form says he is a major player.
11	Returns from a five-week freshening after finishing last at Sha Tin Aw, beaten a long way behind Bustling City, which is best treated cautiously. His turf run prior was far stronger, when third at Sha Tin and beaten just over a length by Pi Legend after briefly taking over in the straight. Distance record keeps him a live danger. 3rd Pick 11 Packing King Jockey: Matthew Poon Trainer: Danny Shum J: Matthew Poon T: Danny Shum	68	-	-	-	10%	10/1
Analysis Returns from a five-week freshening after finishing last at Sha Tin Aw, beaten a long way behind Bustling City, which is best treated cautiously. His turf run prior was far stronger, when third at Sha Tin and beaten just over a length by Pi Legend after briefly taking over in the straight. Distance record keeps him a live danger.

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