Hong Kong Happy Valley - Race 1

Thoroughbred

12 Runners

Restricted

Turf

GOOD

111.6K

VIEW

Verdict

AUTUMN VIBES (5) heads the ratings after being given time to mature and looks the runner to beat. He was unsuited last start when failing to settle, but has trialled well since and a change of stable could spark a turnaround. TELECOM POWER (10) produced a powerful late burst to just miss over 1 m last time and another barnstorming finish can put him right in the finish. STORMY KNIGHT (4) is interesting dropping down the ratings and tackling cellar grade for the first time. He failed to place last season but was often competitive and can improve sharply here. ALWAYS FLUKE (6) resumes after 11 weeks and showed enough last campaign to suggest he can make his presence felt fresh. MARVEL AND GOLD (2) is worth respecting stepping into Class 5 after finishing last season with a close-up sixth. He was held up late and could be suited by this assignment.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
5	Gelding back from a spell of 11 weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation second last of 14 at Sha Tin June 27 over 6f, 7 len behind Circuit Victory with 134lbs at $5.30. First up last campaign eighth of 14 at Sha Tin May 3 over 6f, 4 len behind Triumphant Warrior carrying 134lbs at $2.50. Definite winning hope. 1st Pick 5 Autumn Vibes Jockey: Zac Purton Trainer: B Crawford J: Zac Purton T: B Crawford	106	-	-	-	20%
Analysis Gelding back from a spell of 11 weeks. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation second last of 14 at Sha Tin June 27 over 6f, 7 len behind Circuit Victory with 134lbs at $5.30. First up last campaign eighth of 14 at Sha Tin May 3 over 6f, 4 len behind Triumphant Warrior carrying 134lbs at $2.50. Definite winning hope.
10	Comes here off a 56-day let-up. Last start 2nd of 12 at this track on July 15 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind Fashion Legend with 126lbs at $6. The run before that 5th of 12 at this track on June 24 over 1m, 4 len behind Rosewood Fleetfoot carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Tough to beat. 2nd Pick 10 Telecom Power Jockey: Harry Bentley Trainer: Y S Tsui J: Harry Bentley T: Y S Tsui	115	-	-	-	34%
Analysis Comes here off a 56-day let-up. Last start 2nd of 12 at this track on July 15 over 1 m, 0.5 len behind Fashion Legend with 126lbs at $6. The run before that 5th of 12 at this track on June 24 over 1m, 4 len behind Rosewood Fleetfoot carrying 126lbs at $9.50. Tough to beat.
4	Comes off a 56 day let-up. Most recently from last on the turn 8th of 12 at this track on July 15 over 6f, 4 len behind Gratifide carrying 118lbs at $54. Before that 7th of 14 at Sha Tin on June 7 over 7f, 5 len behind Honorary carrying 122lbs at $103. Open to plenty of improvement. 3rd Pick 4 Stormy Knight Jockey: Brenton Avdulla Trainer: David A Hayes J: Brenton Avdulla T: David A Hayes	91	-	-	-	6%
Analysis Comes off a 56 day let-up. Most recently from last on the turn 8th of 12 at this track on July 15 over 6f, 4 len behind Gratifide carrying 118lbs at $54. Before that 7th of 14 at Sha Tin on June 7 over 7f, 5 len behind Honorary carrying 122lbs at $103. Open to plenty of improvement.

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