Ellis Park - Race 5

Thoroughbred

6 Runners

Allowance

Dirt

Fast

102.0K

VIEW

Verdict

FRENCH BLUE has a rider in the saddle with few peers round here and looks to have good prospects. Rational Theory is back at a more suitable distance today and looks the one for the runner-up spot.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Baffert has one of the most competitive winning percentages at this D/S. Ran a strong last race. 1st Pick 6 French Blue Jockey: Geroux Florent Trainer: Baffert Bob J: Geroux Florent T: Baffert Bob	66	69	-	-	36%	9/5
Analysis Baffert has one of the most competitive winning percentages at this D/S. Ran a strong last race.
1	Asmussen has a very good win rate with horses going in dirt sprint races. Gets edge as like a front runner at the halfway point. 2nd Pick 1 Rational Theory Jockey: Hernandez, Jr. Brian J Trainer: Asmussen Steven M J: Hernandez, Jr. Brian J T: Asmussen Steven M	65	67	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Asmussen has a very good win rate with horses going in dirt sprint races. Gets edge as like a front runner at the halfway point.
3	3 True Princess Jockey: Saez Gabriel Trainer: Briley Lonnie J: Saez Gabriel T: Briley Lonnie	58	66	-	-	15%	6/1

Trackmaster Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob	Odds
6	Baffert has one of the most competitive winning percentages at this D/S. Ran a strong last race. 1st Pick 6 French Blue Jockey: Geroux Florent Trainer: Baffert Bob J: Geroux Florent T: Baffert Bob	66	69	-	-	36%	9/5
Analysis Baffert has one of the most competitive winning percentages at this D/S. Ran a strong last race.
1	Asmussen has a very good win rate with horses going in dirt sprint races. Gets edge as like a front runner at the halfway point. 2nd Pick 1 Rational Theory Jockey: Hernandez, Jr. Brian J Trainer: Asmussen Steven M J: Hernandez, Jr. Brian J T: Asmussen Steven M	65	67	-	-	20%	4/1
Analysis Asmussen has a very good win rate with horses going in dirt sprint races. Gets edge as like a front runner at the halfway point.
2	Could provide positive winnings based on recent Equibase Speed Figures averaging 83. Is worth pondering - strong Equibase Speed Figures at today's dist-surf recently. 3rd Pick 2 Overcome Adversity Jockey: Arrieta Francisco Trainer: Shirer Matt A J: Arrieta Francisco T: Shirer Matt A	63	73	-	-	29%	5/2
Analysis Could provide positive winnings based on recent Equibase Speed Figures averaging 83. Is worth pondering - strong Equibase Speed Figures at today's dist-surf recently.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Morning Line

An approximation of expected odds in a race, quoted before actual odds are determined.

Rabbit

Also known as a pacemaker; this is a horse with no expected chance of winning but is used to prompt a quick pace on the front end of the race to the benefit of a stablemate who is a closer.

Turf Course

A racetrack made of grass.