IE - Down Royal - Race 6

Thoroughbred

17 Runners

16f

Handicap

Turf

Good (Good to Firm in places)

11.5K

VIEW

Verdict

MEPHISTO shaped well on his return from six months off when fourth at Dundalk last month and rates the pick of the weights off an 8 lb lower mark here so looks the way to go. Maxwell Smart didn't enjoy the rub of the green when ninth at Leopardstown last time and could emerge as the main danger, with Tassarolo, Fine Print and Jurality also in the picture in this very open handicap.

numberFire Picks

Horse Stats

#/Silk	Horse#/Horse	Power Rating	High Speed	Win %	Top 3%	Win Prob
9	Completed a hat-trick over hurdles last August. 25/1, shaped encouragingly after 6 months off when fourth of 12 in handicap at Dundalk (1½m) 49 days ago, having to pick his way through. Weighted to go close here off an 8 lb lower mark. 1st Pick 9 Mephisto (Ire) Jockey: C. T. Keane Trainer: Gerard Keane, Ireland J: C. T. Keane T: Gerard Keane, Ireland	100	-	-	-	25%
Analysis Completed a hat-trick over hurdles last August. 25/1, shaped encouragingly after 6 months off when fourth of 12 in handicap at Dundalk (1½m) 49 days ago, having to pick his way through. Weighted to go close here off an 8 lb lower mark.
7	Course winner. 12/1, respectable ninth of 19 in handicap at Leopardstown (13f) 14 days ago, late headway having been hampered home turn. Not out of things stepping up in trip. 2nd Pick 7 Maxwell Smart (Ire) Jockey: J. J. G. Ryan Trainer: T. G. Mccourt, Ireland J: J. J. G. Ryan T: T. G. Mccourt, Ireland	92	-	-	-	10%
Analysis Course winner. 12/1, respectable ninth of 19 in handicap at Leopardstown (13f) 14 days ago, late headway having been hampered home turn. Not out of things stepping up in trip.
1	6/1, creditable fifth of 19 in handicap at Leopardstown (13f) 14 days ago. Back up in trip. Heading back in the right direction recently. 3rd Pick 1 Tassarolo Jockey: J. M. Sheridan Trainer: Denis Hogan, Ireland J: J. M. Sheridan T: Denis Hogan, Ireland	95	-	-	-	19%
Analysis 6/1, creditable fifth of 19 in handicap at Leopardstown (13f) 14 days ago. Back up in trip. Heading back in the right direction recently.

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Horse Racing Basic Terms

Track Bias

The term used to identify which parts of the track or running styles are producing more winners.

Underlay

A horse that is going off at lower odds than it deserves based on performance.

Main Track Only

A horse entered for main track only (MTO) is one hoping the weather forecast or track conditions will move the race off the turf course and onto the main track. They are scratched the morning of the race if the conditions stay dry.